Risk assessment framework for exposure of cargo and ports to natural hazards and climate extremes

There is an increase in risks and catastrophic losses in maritime transport including ports and cargo. Significant losses have been associated with large scale natural hazards, such as earthquakes, tsunami, cyclones, and other extreme weather events. This paper identifies the main gaps in understanding maritime risks in transportation research. The gaps are attributed to insufficient empirical work available from the maritime transport and logistics research community to guide multi-risk and natural hazards impact assessment on seaport and cargo. In addition, disaster studies communities have barely made adequate efforts to understand and assess port and cargo risks arising from multi-hazards and disaster events. This paper examines existing conceptual frameworks concerning exposure and risk assessments of natural catastrophe’s impacts. Furthermore, the paper identifies trends and gaps in risk assessment frameworks in the field of disaster studies that can be beneficial for maritime risk research. The authors propose a new risk assessment framework that can guide future research and multi-hazard risk assessment processes at different scales of maritime risks.     

基于一个二维水弹塑性方法和极限强度评估的集装箱船结构优化研究

海上极端波过去常常导致船舶结构的极限破坏,而船舶的极限崩溃涉及到船体结构的动态极限强度和结构非线性.该文通过二维的水弹塑性方法研究了集装箱船在极端波中的非线性动态强度,该方法考虑了船体的极限强度以及船体结构的非线性和波浪之间的耦合.并通过该二维水弹塑性方法和极限评估方法研究了船体结构的结构优化.文中还通过二次规划法(SQP)来优化基于非线性的动态强度的集装箱船体结构.最少的结构成本是本优化的目标函数,约束条件保证船体的强度要小于结构的极限强度,并且结构设计尺寸要满足规范的要求.随着设计波高的变化,这些优化的设计变量的变化趋势得以发现,一些研究的结论可用于船舶规范的参考.     

航海气象传真图的降噪处理

气象传真图是船舶驾驶员预知航行区域的气象信息及海况的主要途径.受电磁波和收发装置的影响,气象传真图在传输、接收的过程中会产生高斯噪声和椒盐噪声,严重时会导致接收到的气象传真图模糊不清和失真,这会影响船舶驾驶员的分析和决策.为此,基于偏微分方程(PDE)建立数学模型,对含有噪声的气象传真图进行降噪处理,取得了明显的效果,这为提高气象传真图的质量提供了一种可行方法.同时,这种方法也可运用于船舶其它的电子图像设备(如电子海图,雷达,AIS),有效降噪、提高图像质量.     

深海极限波浪运动特性的简便算法(英文)

本文基于五阶Stokes规则波理论,提出了一种快速求解深海极限波浪运动特性的数学模型.研究中,按照上跨零点和下跨零点的方法由计算或实测的极限波浪波面时间历程确定包含极限波峰或波谷的相邻两个周期的平均值为五阶Stokes规则波的波浪周期,然后根据极限波峰或波谷值反推确定波浪入射波幅.通过与已有的数值结果和实验数据对比,验证了本文所建立的数值模型可以快速准确的计算出极限波浪下的速度场,相比其他模型,更适合于工程应用.     

不良天气对交通信号配时的影响分析

天气条件是道路交通运营的重要影响因素之一.从理论上分析不良天气对信号配时的影响,然后运用SYNCHR0和SIMTRAFFIC仿真软件,对正常和不良天气两种条件下的交叉口信号配时进行配时优化和微观交通仿真,研究表明:不良天气对交叉口信号配时的绩效将产生明显的负面影响,针对不良天气专门制定的配时优化方案将改善交通状况、减少延误和提高车速,但是改善程度还与许多因素有关.     

基于CAN总线的船舶自动气象站的研究

为提高船舶气象站的可集成性和维护性,本文构建基于CAN总线的船舶自动气象站。文章对系统总体结构、软硬件设计、传感器选型作了具体描述,以期对实现通用、可扩展的船舶自动气象站具有借鉴作用。     

基于MSP430的低功耗水中低频信号采集系统

为了采集水中低频信号,提出基于MSP430F1611单片机和Flash存储器的水中低频信号数据采集与存储系统,实现了水中目标测量中的低噪声、低功耗、智能自动记录和大容量存储等关键技术,海上试验结果表明该系统精度高、性能可靠。     

Response-based extreme value analysis of moored offshore structures due to wave, wind, and current

Floating moored offshore structures have a significant future in offshore operations as an attractive economic alternative to fixed structures in deep waters and/or in areas where there is no existing infrastructure. This paper describes an analysis procedure based on the structure variable approach to estimate load and response values of a moored offshore platform at a given return period by taking into account the joint occurrence of wave, wind, and current. The results show that the most severe mooring loads may not occur when wind, wave, and current are collinear and are at their maximum design values, i.e., the 50- or 100-year case. It is recommended that the extreme mooring design loads for moored offshore systems should be determined through a range of physical or numerical simulations where wave, wind, and current are noncollinear and act with less severe magnitudes than the 50- or 100-year case. This recommendation has also been adopted in the ITTC/Ocean Engineering Committee recommendations to the ITTC Conference held in September 1996.     

华光轮避离“利奇马”和“罗莎”台风的气象保障

2007年10月1日~10月8日华光轮在八所港到南通航行中先后避离"利奇马"和"罗莎"台风,现回顾和总结了这次避台的气象保障工作,并对中国沿海船舶防台的气象保障工作进行了探讨。     

气象监测系统在港口的应用

介绍如何运用气象监测系统实现对港口气象信息数据实时显示、分析和事故预报,从软硬件设计两方面阐述系统的构成和原理.