经验过程的一般加权大数定律

研究了经验过程中加权系数具有某些较弱性质的加权和收敛问题.利用经验过程中已有的几个概率不等式与一般加权和的对称化不等式,得到了经验过程中的独立同分布随机元序列的这类加权和的强、弱大数定律成立的充分条件(E‖f(X0)‖1/αG<∞).同时,对经验过程中的Cesaro大数定律和欧拉弱大数定律进行了推广.     

大型小水线面双体船纵向运动稳定性及纵向运动分析

以大型小水线面双体船为研究对象,观察其在静水中的纵向运动稳定性以及根据STF方法结合粘性修正方法预报其在波浪上的纵摇、垂荡运动等。首先根据ROUTH稳定性准则从定性角度观察其稳定性,然后从定量角度进行分析,给出其稳定性运动品质评价指标,并与配置稳定鳍后进行对比。最后给出配置稳定鳍后小水线面双体船的纵向运动预报。     

The use of demand correlation in the modeling of air carrier departure delays as first‐order autoregressive random processes

A method for modeling air carrier departure delays at commercial‐service airports as autoregressive random processes is presented. This method employs the correlation of a priori demand data to significantly reduce prediction error in the optimal least‐squares estimator for additive white noise. The reduction factor of the prediction error is demonstrated to be on the order of 10² over that of the unbiased estimator. Copyright © 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

法兰克福机场航空性收费研究

文章分析了法兰克福机场起降费、旅客服务费、安保费、停场费等航空性收费的收费标准,以北京至法兰克福航线为例介绍了各项收费的计算方法,分析表明北京至法兰克福航线的航班在1：45~15：44时间段内起飞,能够最大限度的降低在法兰克福机场的噪音费。     

薄壁高墩大跨连续刚构桥地震时程反应参数研究

运用大质量法,建立并推导了长大跨度桥梁考虑行波效应的分析模型及解析方程。以内蒙古小沙湾黄河特大桥为工程背景,选取墩身刚度、地震波视波波速、地震波激励方向等主要参数,建立动力计算模型,对该桥上述各种参数工况下地震时程反应作了参数对比分析研究。利用分析结果,探讨了同类桥梁在各种参数变化情况下墩顶位移和墩底内力的变化规律。     

一种适用于大变形支护的新型可伸长锚杆

支护理论的发展对锚固技术提出了新的要求,即要与围岩变形相协调,允许围岩可控变形,充分发挥围岩的自支撑能力。基于此设计了一种适用于大变形支护的新型可伸长锚杆,该型锚杆在达到初始锚固力后,在保持与围岩协调变形的伸长过程中锚固力可基本保持恒定,达到围岩许用变形形值后,锚固力急速上升。室内与现场试验证实了新型可伸长锚杆协调围岩大变形的优良性能,可在围岩大变形支护中推广应用。可伸长。     

高等级道路通过机场飞行区的设计要求

高等级道路通过机场飞行区时,需根据无线电导航设施及其保护区范围、按照机场净空要求、考虑道路灯光对地面航空灯的影响,同时结合道路本身线形设计要求来确定最终道路线位方案。该文介绍了机场无线电导航设施及其保护区范围内场地要求,同时以南五环路穿过南苑机场无线电导航设施保护区的线位选择为例,详细介绍在满足机场要求的前提下,南五环路在通过机场飞行区范围内合理调整线位,使五环路通过机场飞行区时,满足飞行区技术标准。     

五河口斜拉桥超长大直径工程试桩研究

为获取五河口斜拉桥超长大直径工程桩的极限承载力值，对2根直径2．5m桩长95m的工程桩，采用桩基静栽试验自平衡法单、双荷载箱技术进行试桩研究，为最终确定桥墩桩基础设计提供了直观的参考依据。该试桩方法适合特大型桥梁桩基施工场地小、试验时间短、试桩荷载大的要求，试桩经注浆补强工艺后可作工程桩应用。     

Demand for rail travel to and from airports

Rail access to airports is becoming increasingly important for both train operators and the airports themselves. This paper reports analysis of inter-urban rail demand to and from Manchester and Stansted Airports and the sensitivity of this market segment to growth in air traffic and the cost and service quality of rail services. The estimated demand parameters vary in an expected manner between outward and inward air travellers as well as between airport users and general rail travellers. These parameters can be entered into the demand forecasting framework widely used in the rail industry in Great Britain to provide an appropriate means of forecasting for this otherwise neglected market segment. The novel features of this research, at least in the British context, are that it provides the first detailed analysis of aggregate rail flows to and from airports, it has disaggregated the traditional generalised time measure of rail service quality in order to estimate separate elasticities to journey time, service headway and interchange, and it has successfully explored departures from the conventional constant elasticity position.