Mental models of driving and speed: biases,choices and reality

This paper provides a review of research performed by Svenson with colleagues and others work on mental models and their practical implications. Mental models describe how people perceive and think about the world including covariances and relationships between different variables, such as driving speed and time. Research on mental models has detected the time-saving bias [Svenson, O. (1970). A functional measurement approach to intuitive estimation as exemplified by estimated time savings. Journal of Experimental Psychology, 86, 204–210]. It means that drivers relatively overestimate the time that can be saved by increasing speed from an already high speed, for example, 90–130?km/h, and underestimate the time that can be saved by increasing speed from a low speed, for example, 30–45?km/h. In congruence with this finding, mean speed judgments and perceptions of mean speeds are also biased and higher speeds given too much weight and low speeds too little weight in comparison with objective reality. Replacing or adding a new speedometer in the car showing min per km eliminated or weakened the time-saving bias. Information about braking distances at different speeds did not improve overoptimistic judgments of braking capacity, but information about collision speed with an object suddenly appearing on the road did improve judgments of braking capacity. This is relevant to drivers, politicians and traffic regulators.     

Analysis of cross effect on inherent deformation during the line heating process – Part 1 – Single crossed heating lines

This paper describes the effect of previous heating on inherent deformation by a subsequent heating line, more specifically, the case of two heating lines intersecting (crossing) each other. The paper has been divided into two parts. In the first part, the case of single crossed heating lines is studied in detail. The second part of the paper, discusses the case of more than one crossed heating lines. The novelty of the work lies in revealing the cross effect and how, factors such as, for example, the heating condition and the plate geometry, influence the resulting inherent deformation of crossed heating. In addition, relationships to easily get these influences are provided. The results are suitable for a wide range of heating conditions and plate thickness.     

关于木材运输船安全运输的几点分析

木材船海上运输具有一定的风险,一旦积载和绑扎不当或管理不妥,造成货物滚动、移位、货垛倒塌,就会引发安全事故甚至导致船舶倾覆。因此,加强木材船的安全管理,落实各项安全保障措施,是确保木材船安全运输生产的重要举措。     

废气旁通阀开度对增压直喷汽油机部分负荷性能的影响

汽油机节气门产生的节流损失对增压发动机泵气损失的影响相当严重,尤其是在中小负荷时,针对这一问题采用试验的方法研究了中小负荷下旁通阀开度对增压直喷汽油机性能的影响。研究结果表明,在节气门开度较小的小负荷工况下,涡轮增压器不宜工作,否则排气背压过大,对发动机非常不利;而废气旁通阀全开可以减小排气背压,能使发动机的动力性和经济性提高3%左右。对废气旁通阀的合理控制可以实现发动机在自然吸气和涡轮增压两种模式之间的转换。     

轴流式涡轮机动叶片的叶顶间隙对其气动性能影响

采用数值方法对不同叶顶间隙下某型号船用轴流式涡轮机的气动性能进行了对比分析.结果表明,叶顶间隙对喷嘴环前缘的压力分布和涡轮内的温度分布影响明显,过小和过大的叶顶间隙都会导致喷嘴环前缘高压力区的产生,并导致涡轮内局部高温度区域扩大;随着叶顶间隙的增大,喷嘴环后缘底部、吸力面及叶顶间隙内局部高熵区随之增大,燃气能量损失增大.     

沉船油舱抽油加热过程的热力学分析

本文对沉船倾斜油舱抽油过程进行了数值模拟研究,在相同的蒸汽加热功率,不同的加热位置条件下,分析了油舱内重质燃油和原油的加热过程,分别取得了在不同时刻油舱内重质燃油和原油的温度分布情况,以及油温随加热时间的变化规律。     

球扁钢肋骨三角形加热仿真研究

针对球扁钢肋骨三角形加热矫正纵向弯曲变形,利用ANSYS软件和APDL语言编写仿真程序,实现了热-结构耦合场的数值模拟,得到了加热过程中温度场和结构场的求解结果。对于不同的加热速度与气流输入量,计算了肋骨表面最高温度和高度方向的变形量,利用MATLAB曲面拟合,得到了最高温度和变形量关于加热速度和气流流量的函数。并对这两个参数进行了优化,得到了满足温度约束下变形量最大的参数组合。研究内容和结果对球扁钢肋骨三角形加热的更深入研究和现场施工提供了一定的参考和指导。     

防空装备战场抢修保障模型研究*

防空武器装备作战任务重、遭受打击强,给装备保障工作提出了较高的要求。在分析了其战场环境下受损规律的基础上,对防空武器装备战场抢修任务组织实施流程进行了研究,并运用Ex tendSim平台进行了仿真,对进一步开展防空武器装备战场抢修组织决策的研究具有一定的帮助。     

海面浮标通信电波传播损耗研究与仿真

论文从海上无线电通信特点出发,采用Longley-Rice模型对海面浮标中继通信系统电波传输损耗进行仿真研究,确立了海面浮标通信与海洋环境及通信系统结构的关系,通过对海面浮标通信电波传播损耗进行研究,为浮标通信系统设计特别是对浮体结构设计提供必要的理论依据。