全文获取类型
收费全文 | 812篇 |
免费 | 49篇 |
专业分类
公路运输 | 203篇 |
综合类 | 364篇 |
水路运输 | 119篇 |
铁路运输 | 74篇 |
综合运输 | 101篇 |
出版年
2023年 | 2篇 |
2022年 | 18篇 |
2021年 | 26篇 |
2020年 | 25篇 |
2019年 | 19篇 |
2018年 | 21篇 |
2017年 | 21篇 |
2016年 | 29篇 |
2015年 | 42篇 |
2014年 | 74篇 |
2013年 | 49篇 |
2012年 | 59篇 |
2011年 | 64篇 |
2010年 | 56篇 |
2009年 | 61篇 |
2008年 | 67篇 |
2007年 | 82篇 |
2006年 | 49篇 |
2005年 | 21篇 |
2004年 | 19篇 |
2003年 | 11篇 |
2002年 | 3篇 |
2001年 | 8篇 |
2000年 | 3篇 |
1999年 | 2篇 |
1998年 | 7篇 |
1997年 | 2篇 |
1996年 | 3篇 |
1995年 | 2篇 |
1994年 | 1篇 |
1993年 | 5篇 |
1992年 | 2篇 |
1991年 | 1篇 |
1990年 | 3篇 |
1989年 | 1篇 |
1988年 | 1篇 |
1986年 | 2篇 |
排序方式: 共有861条查询结果,搜索用时 15 毫秒
21.
针对标准回归树建立在统计分析基础上所存在的缺陷,提出一种基于支持向量机的回归树预测模型。首先,根据原始振动信号趋势序列构建回归树;然后,针对回归树上包含样本数过少的节点,利用支持向量机,建立能够反映重要变量与响应变量之间映射关系的回归模型。仿真结果表明:即便由于设备出现异常,导致振动信号趋势序列出现非平稳、突变情况,该方法也能准确地预测,性能优于标准分析方法,具有一定的工程实用性。 相似文献
22.
23.
航道条件对船舶航行可靠性的影响 总被引:4,自引:0,他引:4
运用可靠性理论及回归分析来研究航道条件对船舶航行可靠性的影响,并建立其航道条件诸因素影响的可靠性模型,以提供驾驶员对航道条件影响船舶运行的直观认识,并为驾驶自动化提供数理模型。 相似文献
24.
针对绞吸式挖泥船产量预测困难的问题,对挖泥船作业实时反馈的数据进行研究。利用Relief权重算法提取出影响挖泥船产量的主要工艺参量,并在此基础上采用偏最小二乘回归,建立主要工艺参量与产量之间的数学模型,实现对挖泥船产量的预测。结果表明,利用偏最小二乘回归建立的数学模型能够很好地对挖泥船的产量进行预测,可为预测挖泥船的产量提供一种有效的方法。 相似文献
25.
Significant efforts have been made in modeling a travel time distribution and establishing measures of travel time reliability (TTR). However, the literature on evaluating the factors affecting TTR is not well established. Accordingly, this paper presents an empirical analysis to determine potential factors that are associated with TTR. This study mainly applies the Bayesian Networks model to assess the probabilistic association between road geometry, traffic data, and TTR. The results from this model reveal that land use characteristics, intersection factors, and posted speed limits are directly associated with TTR. Evaluating the strength of the association between TTR and the directly related variables, the log odds ratio analysis indicates that the land use factor has the highest impact (0.83) followed by the intersection factor (0.57). The findings from this study can provide valuable resources to planners and traffic operators in their decision-making to improve TTR with quantitative evidence. 相似文献
26.
船舶动力设备因故障监测信号样本少、变化缓慢且数据特征呈非线性,使得设备故障模式的准确识别和状态预测比较难。鉴于此,文章研究了基于隐马尔科夫模型的故障模式识别方法,利用该模型将微弱变化的信号特征转换为变化较大的对数似然概率对故障模式实现有效识别。在此基础上进一步提出基于HMM-SVR的设备状态预测模型,将遗传算法用于支持向量回归模型参数寻优,并结合隐马尔科夫模型,实现对设备状态的预测。对船用柴油机进行仿真,结果表明上述模型具有较高的识别率,能准确预测船舶动力设备的当前状态。 相似文献
27.
28.
Due to the difficulty of obtaining accurate real-time visibility and vehicle based traffic data at the same time, there are only few research studies that addressed the impact of reduced visibility on traffic crash risk. This research was conducted based on a new visibility detection system by mounting visibility sensor arrays combined with adaptive learning modules to provide more accurate visibility detections. The vehicle-based detector, Wavetronix SmartSensor HD, was installed at the same place to collect traffic data. Reduced visibility due to fog were selected and analyzed by comparing them with clear cases to identify the differences based on several surrogate measures of safety under different visibility classes. Moreover, vehicles were divided into different types and the vehicles in different lanes were compared in order to identify whether the impact of reduced visibility due to fog on traffic crash risk varies depending on vehicle types and lanes. Log-Inverse Gaussian regression modeling was then applied to explore the relationship between time to collision and visibility together with other traffic parameters. Based on the accurate visibility and traffic data collected by the new visibility and traffic detection system, it was concluded that reduced visibility would significantly increase the traffic crash risk especially rear-end crashes and the impact on crash risk was different for different vehicle types and for different lanes. The results would be helpful to understand the change in traffic crash risk and crash contributing factors under fog conditions. We suggest implementing the algorithms in real-time and augmenting it with ITS measures such as VSL and DMS to reduce crash risk. 相似文献
29.
This paper analyses how the high-speed rail construction in Northeast Japan (Tohoku) has affected total demand and interregional travel patterns. We use annual interregional passenger data from 1989 to 2012 and apply regression analysis with the demand between Tokyo and the Tohoku prefectures as the dependent variable. We distinguish particularly between the ‘Full-’ and the ‘Mini-’ Shinkansen, where the latter are branch services running with reduced speed. We find that the ‘Full-Shinkansen’ quickly increases rail and total public transport trips and generates additional rail demand year on year. The ‘Mini-Shinkansen’ impacts are less pronounced. Furthermore, our analysis shows that the Shinkansen has shifted some demand from air to rail once it started operation and increased rail share gradually. We therefore suggest that predictions of demand impacts should carefully distinguish immediate from gradual impacts. We also discuss differences in regional demand in that not all prefectures have gained equally from Shinkansen construction. 相似文献
30.