船上实施听力保护的技术要求及应用

船舶噪声对船员的听力损伤是众所周知的,甚至发生部分船员的永久性听力损失。国际海事组织第91届海安会通过了新的《船上噪声等级规则》,围绕实施噪声规则,分析了听力保护的技术要求和正确选用听力保护器的技术依据,探讨了佩戴听力保护器对语言交流和感受听觉信号造成的影响。强调必须开展听力损伤的风险评估,并对识别听力损伤的特殊风险因素提出了建议。     

基于船舶领域和MMG的最晚施舵点/CRI研究

提出了一种基于MMG和船舶领域的LSP计算模型,以及改进的空间碰撞危险度（space collision risk index,SCRI）/时间碰撞危险度（time collision risk index,TCRI）模型,并进行了计算机仿真.结果表明：水动力模型精度可满足研究与实践要求;基于二分法的LSP模型能快速、可靠收敛;LSP和SCRI/TCRI模型更符合海员通常做法和避碰规则的公认理解.     

Examining the influence of firm performance on business risk-taking and the mediation effect of scale of operations in the container terminal industry

Container shipping and its related service sectors help accelerate globalization of the world economy. This industry has been experiencing rapid growth, prompting container terminal operators to increase their handling capacity in response. Providing container terminal services requires substantial capital investment in physical assets such as cargo handling facilities and information systems. On the other hand, operating container terminals is a long-term investment that typically spans several business cycles. Hence prudent asset management using appropriate tools is critical for container terminal operators to sustain their businesses. Generally, due to risk-adverseness, investors are unwilling to take more risk in their investment unless they can reap a higher return. Contrary to this argument, this study finds no direct influence of better firm performance as a proxy of higher return on business risk-taking by container terminal operators. Instead, scale of operations is positively associated with business risk-taking, suggesting that container terminal operators with a larger scale of operations are willing to take more business risk.     

A new composite decision support framework for strategic and sustainable transport appraisals

This paper concerns the development of a new decision support framework for the appraisal of transport infrastructure projects. In such appraisals there will often be a need for including both conventional transport impacts as well as criteria of a more strategic and/or sustainable character. The proposed framework is based on the use of cost-benefit analysis featuring feasibility risk assessment in combination with multi-criteria decision analysis and is supported by the concept of decision conferencing. The framework is applied for a transport related case study dealing with the complex decision problem of determining the most attractive alternative for a new fixed link between Denmark and Sweden – the so-called HH-connection. Applying the framework to the case study made it possible to address the decision problem from an economic, a strategic, and a sustainable point of view simultaneously. The outcome of the case study demonstrates the decision making framework as a valuable decision support system (DSS), and it is concluded that appraisals of transport projects can be effectively supported by the use of the DSS. Finally, perspectives of the future modelling work are given.     

重庆水下立交隧道施工期风险分析

隧道及地下工程建设面临着大而多的风险,尤其是越江隧道的建设更为突出。因此隧道工程项目风险管理也越来越受到工程建设领域的关注。以规划中的重庆两江隧道为依托,采用风险分析方法中常用的专家打分法,对该工程采用钻爆法可能遇到的风险因素实施风险分析与评估,并给出了相应的处置措施。希望能对该工程以及类似工程的实施提供一些参考。     

高速公路项目投资风险量化分析

结合高速公路项目投资的特点和一般规律，运用量化分析方法对高速公路项目风险及其敏感性进行估测。项目投资风险量化分析的方法包括盈亏平衡分析法、敏感性分析法等，研究了高速公路项目量化分析的数据因素和量化分析过程，利用上述方法对案例项目进行了实际分析，并据以判断投资项目的风险大小并做出决策。     

城市高快速路先行建设智能交通系统之我见

分析了城市高快速路现状普遍存在的突出问题及城市高快速路建设智能交通系统的意义，从实际需求和将来发展预留空间出发，结合工作实践，提出了城市高快速路智能交通系统的系统定位和功能架构。     

存在车辆干扰的车道线识别

为避免道路上行驶的其它车辆对车道线识别的干扰,提出了一种结合车辆识别的车道线识别方法。融合雷达数据,车辆识别模块首先在图像中识别出车辆占据的区域;对于每一个车道线识别模块挑出的车道线候选点进行判断,去除处于车辆区域的车道线点;如果有效车道线点数目不足,则利用卡尔曼滤波的跟踪结果,确定符合最小风险函数的车道线位置。经过多种工况下的试验验证,该方法能够稳定地对车道线进行识别,准确地提取车道线参数,并且算法对车辆干扰有良好的抵抗能力。     

“麦莎”台风对苏州河的水位影响分析

该文分析了苏州河水系遭遇“麦莎”台风的雨情和水情,并利用相应实测资料对苏州河水系河网水量模型进行验证计算,检验结果精度较高,在此基础上,分析研究出现状和未来远期规划工况条件下,遭遇“麦莎”台风影响的苏州河沿线高水位变化分布。     

桥梁风险评估方法与发展研究

桥梁在其生命过程的每时每刻都面临着风险,为了解并正确评价这些风险,该文对目前桥梁风险评价的方法和发展作了简要的总结。首先列举了桥梁发生的灾害事故及桥梁在各个生命阶段可能遇到的各类风险;介绍了目前国内外桥梁风险评价的发展状况;总结了目前对桥梁进行风险评价的方法;最后对桥梁风险评价的发展方向进行了展望。