交通需求OD估计与预测的现状研究分析

目前，对于静态OD矩阵估计问题已经有很多研究者，对于动态OD前沿的研究工作则非常有限。关于对OD估计和预测的研究可分为封闭网络和开放网络。介绍了研究封闭网络的Bell，Van der Zijpp，Chang and Wu和Chang and Tao等人的方法，以及研究开放网络动态估计的3种方法，即Cascetta、Okutani、Ashok和Ben—Akiva等人的方法。并指出可以将OD估计问题陈述为具有不同误差特性、多个来源的不同类型信息的综合性和一致性的结合体，此联合估测就是经济计量学的混合估计的问题。     

改进的水泥混凝土路面温度应力系数经验公式表达

现行规范水泥混凝土路面的温度应力系数需要人工查图读取，不可避免地存在主观性，也不利于计算机技术的应用。通过查图读取数据，应用双线性函数、一般化的二次方程、以及其他简单函数拟合，得到了含有13个常量的改进的温度应力系数Bx经验公式。分析表明，基于查图数据，对应99％的保证率，使用公式引起的温度疲劳应力的误差不超过水泥混凝土弯拉强度的1％。公式对温度应力系数的解析描述，不但克服了查图的缺点，也为进一步的研究工作准备了条件。     

影响沥青路面平整度因素分析及处治措施

从影响沥青路面平整度的各个方面查原因、找对策,总结对道路施工平整度的控制,特别是沥青路面施工平整度控制的经验,为公路设计和施工提供一定的参考.     

京秦线提速路涵过渡段动力仿真与试验对比

结合京秦线提速改造工程进行了列车 路基动力仿真计算。在不同速度条件下,通过对路涵过渡段加固前后状态下机车车辆运行安全舒适性指标、轨道及路基主要动力性能指标的分析计算,对京秦既有线路涵过渡段提速到200km/h的适应性及加固方案的可行性提出了相应评价意见与建议,并与随后的实车试验进行了对比。试验测试结果验证了仿真分析的可靠性。     

Mobile phone use while driving: public opinions on restrictions

This paper reviews two road-user surveys on the use of mobile phones on the road in Finland where the mobile phone ownership rate is highest in the world (70% in August 2000). From 1998 to 1999 the proportion of drivers that chose to use a mobile phone while driving rose from 56% to 68%, while the proportion of phone using drivers who experienced dangerous situations due to phone use rose from 44% to 50%. The proportion of drivers who used their phones in some way to benefit safety on the road remained at about 55%. The youngest, novice drivers had the highest level of phone usage of all age categories. Over 48% of the interviewees believed that the government should ban the use of hand-held mobile phones while driving, and another 27% believed that all types of mobile phone use should be banned while driving. Those drivers who used their phones the most each day were more likely to want some form of restrictions, than those who had lower usage. This is a strong message to the elected lawmakers and raises the problem of exactly how regulatory bodies would go about controlling the future growth of new driver support and non-driving related communication devices in road vehicles. It was concluded that legislating for hands-free use only would be a reasonable course of action. Mandating that the current generation of equipment should be optimized for hands-free use should result in future generations of in-vehicle equipment also being optimized for hands-free use as a minimum criterion.     

盐渍土地区公路边坡的生物防护

结合实践经验论述了盐渍土地区公路边坡生物防护技术的意义,介绍了公路边坡生物防护的主要模式、护坡植物的选择原则以及主要的护坡植物类型。     

成昆线红层地区泥石流沟侵蚀程度量化分析

以成昆铁路红层地区的3个小流域为研究区,计算3个年份的地面割裂度及其年平均变化率,分析用地面割裂度表征泥石流沟侵蚀程度的不足及其原因。基于泥石流沟发育的物理模型,以原来的地面割裂度定义为基础,引入表述沟谷分布零散程度的异型度因子,导出新侵蚀系数公式。以3个小流域固体物质的年平均流失量作为侵蚀程度强弱的标准,采用非参数统计推断方法,将侵蚀系数、地面割裂度的年变化值和固体物质的年平均流失量作秩统计和次序统计。对秩统计参数和次序统计参数比较结果表明:在表征泥石流沟侵蚀程度方面,侵蚀系数优于地面割裂度。     

Estimation of origin‐destination matrices for a multimodal public transit network

This paper presents a procedure for the estimation of origin‐destination (O‐D) matrices for a multimodal public transit network. The system consists of a number of favored public transit modes that are obtained from a modal split process in a traditional four‐step transportation model. The demand of each favored mode is assigned to the multimodal network, which is comprised of a set of connected links of different public transit modes. An entropy maximization procedure is proposed to simultaneously estimate the O‐D demand matrices of all favored modes, which are consistent with target data sets such as the boarding counts and line segment flows that are observed directly in the network. A case study of the Hong Kong multimodal transit network is used to demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed methodology.     

豫西农村公路的选择——水泥砼路

修建水泥砼路面具有施工方便，后期养护成本低，经济适用等优点，是豫西山区农村公路的最佳选择。     

杭州城市交通拥挤现状及对策

在分析杭州市交通供需现状的基础上,提出了规划多中心结构和混合功能区,以减少不必要的出行以及合理配置交通源,并对改善中心区交通提出切实可行的对策。