Shockwave-based queue estimation approach for undersaturated and oversaturated signalized intersections using multi-source detection data

With the progress of information and sensing technologies, estimating vehicular queue length at signalized intersections becomes feasible and has attracted considerable attention. The existing studies provided a solid theoretical foundation for the estimation; however, the studies have some restrictions or limitations more or less. This paper presents a new methodology for estimating vehicular queue length at signalized intersections using multi-source detection data under both undersaturated and oversaturated conditions. The methodology applies the shockwave theory to model queue dynamics. Using data from probe vehicles and point detectors, analytical formulations for calculating the maximum and minimum (residual) queue lengths of each cycle are developed. Ground truth data were collected from numerical experiments conducted at two intersections in Shanghai, China, to verify the proposed methodology. It is found that the methodology has mean absolute percentage errors of 17.09% and 12.28%, respectively, for maximum queue length estimation in two tests, which are reasonably effective. However, the methodology is unsatisfactory in estimating the residual queue length. Other limitations of the proposed models and algorithms are also discussed in the paper.     

Monitoring marine plankton ecosystems: Identification of the most relevant indicators of the state of an ecosystem

The number of variables involved in the monitoring of an ecosystem can be high and often one of the first stages in the analysis is to reduce the number of variables. We describe a method developed for geological purposes, using the information theory, that enables selection of the most relevant variables. This technique also allows the examination of the asymmetrical relationships between variables. Applied to a set of physical and biological variables (plankton assemblages in four areas of the North Sea), the method shows that biological variables are more informative than physical variables although the controlling factors are mainly physical (sea surface temperature in winter and spring). Among biological variables, diversity measures and warm-water species assemblages are informative for the state of the North Sea pelagic ecosystems while among physical variables sea surface temperature in late winter and early spring are highly informative. Although often used in bioclimatology, the utilisation of the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) index does not seem to provide a lot of information. The method reveals that only the extreme states of this index has an influence on North Sea pelagic ecosystems. The substantial and persistent changes that were detected in the dynamic regime of the North Sea ecosystems and called regime shift are detected by the method and corresponds to the timing of other shifts described in the literature for some European Systems such as the Baltic and the Mediterranean Sea when both physical and biological variables are considered.     

城市道路交叉口借道右转车道设置方法

为了弥补交叉口空间布局中对借道右转车道研究的不足,分析了借道右转车辆在两相邻交叉口间的运行过程,将两交叉口间距分为四部分。采用波动理论、考虑驾驶员的操作顺适性以及采用概率论方法,建立了借道右转的右转车道适宜开口位置模型、借道右转的绿化带开口长度模型和路段右转车辆的合流段长度模型,在此基础上得到了实施借道右转的两交叉口最小间距模型。实例分析表明,所得模型符合两相邻交叉口间的交通流运行实际,对于判断两相邻交叉口是否适合于设置借道右转,以及设置借道右转时如何对各构成部分进行分析具有指导意义。     

舰艇作战系统时统应用初析

保持分布式系统内时间统一是实现以网络为中心的信息化战争的必要前提条件。剖析了紧耦合系统中时间对准的若干实现方案的特点及存在的问题，提出了适应分布式作战系统的模块化、标准化系统对时的实现途径。     

负温混凝土冻害及防冻模型的探讨

通过分析温度对混凝土的损伤机理,尤其是混凝土冻害机理,发展了抗冻临界强度理论和早期结构形成学说,从微观角度定性地描述了负温混凝土防止早期冻害所要形成的结构为抗冻临界界面结构。     

一种三维时域格林函数计算方法

如何高效地计算出三维时域格林函数是线性时域方法能否有效地求解船舶水动力问题的关键.本文在前人工作的基础上,采用了一种半解析的数值求积方法,对三维时域格林函数及其导数作了计算,这种方法十分有效,计算结果令人满意.     

一种短时交通流组合预测模型

为提高短时交通流预测的精度,提出利用BP神经网络、RBF神经网络和ARIMA模型构建组合预测模型,该组合预测模型利用最优化原理进行权系数的分配,并且满足分配到的权值始终具有实际意义。通过对分配的权系数进行显著性检验,以确保组合预测模型中选用的单项预测方法显著相关。通过实例分析,验证了组合预测模型的有效性,结果表明,相比较单一的预测模型,组合预测模型具有更高的预测精度。     

表面损伤斜拉索雷诺数临界区气动力与流场分析

斜拉索由于具有自身质量轻、结构刚度差、结构阻尼小和自身长细比大的特点，极容易发生风（雨）致振动，对桥梁结构的安全性能产生很大的影响，而斜拉索作为斜拉桥的重要受力构件，准确掌握其风荷载对于桥梁抗风设计具有重要意义，特别是斜拉索在生产、运输和安装过程中表面可能受到损伤，该斜拉索在临界雷诺数区的气动力特性和流场特性更是值得研究的问题。针对此种状况，通过同步测力风洞试验，对表面无损伤斜拉索模型和表面损伤斜拉索模型在不同风攻角下的升力系数进行时程分析，得到边界层转捩的3个区域；将升力系数时程进行快速傅里叶变换计算得到升力时程频谱图，并通过频谱图分析随机信号的频域特征；对比从雷诺数亚临界、临界到超临界区表面无损伤和表面损伤斜拉索的流场变化，并从周围流场变化的角度分析雷诺数临界区斜拉索气动稳定性及可能的机理。研究结果表明：表面无损伤和表面损伤模型的升力系数随雷诺数的变化规律基本一致，二者的升力时程在TrBL0向TrBL1阶段和TrBL1向TrBL2阶段过渡过程中会出现双稳态现象，损伤会影响斜拉索尾流区旋涡脱落的情况，进而对不同雷诺数下的Strouhal数值变化产生一定的影响。     

基于图论与故障树结合的控制系统故障诊断

探讨了一种图论与故障树结合的方法，可用于复杂控制系统的故障诊断，主要采用故障树图论模型的算法实现系统的故障诊断。图论（有向图）可直观反映故障传播关系，把故障节点分层，用矩阵表示节点与顶事件的关系，通过矩阵运算出各层节点到顶事件的通路长度，通过底事件的失效率算出各节点关键重要度，确定每条通路的权值，进而确定每一层故障节点的排查次序。矩阵表示便于计算机处理，避开了寻找故障树割集或路集的困难，提高了诊断效率。     

Second-order sum-frequency wave diffraction by a truncated surface-piercing cylinder in bichromatic waves

This work considers the second-order sum-frequency diffraction problem for a stationary truncated surface-piercing circular cylinder in bichromatic waves. The solution method was based on a semianalytical formulation of the second-order sum-frequency diffraction potential. The boundary conditions were properly satisfied by introducing the “locked” and the “free” wave components of the nonlinear velocity potential. The method was validated by comparing the calculated results with numerical data previously reported by other authors. Particular attention was paid to the second-order sum-frequency heave forces and the change in the wave run-up configuration due to the existence of the lower fluid domain underneath the truncated cylinder.