考虑驾驶人风格的换道轨迹规划与控制（双语出版）

基于自动换道控制技术中融合个性化驾驶人风格的研究,建立考虑驾驶人风格的车辆换道轨迹规划及控制模型以提高换道规划控制模型对不同风格驾驶人的适用性,在保证安全性的基础上进一步满足驾驶人的个性化需求。首先通过问卷调查的方式采集得到了212份驾驶人风格量表数据,采用主成分分析法和K均值（K-means）聚类分析法将驾驶人按驾驶风格分为激进型、普通型和谨慎型,并通过驾驶模拟器试验采集不同风格驾驶人分别在自车道前车、目标车道前车和目标车道后车影响下的换道行为数据。然后对椭圆车辆模型进行改进,以描述不同风格驾驶人的行车安全区域,并据此构建3种典型工况下不同风格驾驶人的换道最小安全距离模型,结合驾驶舒适性约束、车辆几何位置约束以及不同风格驾驶人的换道行为数据,以换道纵向位移最短为目标,实现适应驾驶人风格的换道轨迹规划。最后以基于预瞄的路径跟踪模型作为前馈量,设计基于动力学的线性二次型最优（LQR）反馈控制器,通过调节控制权重矩阵实现3种工况下不同驾驶人风格的换道轨迹跟踪。PreScan和MATLAB/Simulink联合仿真结果表明：所设计的考虑驾驶人风格的换道轨迹规划及跟踪控制模型能够实现不同驾驶风格的自动换道轨迹规划及跟踪控制,可满足驾驶人个性化换道需求。     

路面沥青复合料基于孔隙水压力损坏的实验分析探究

集料-沥青界面强度实验,集料-沥青界面黏合机能影响要素分析,孔隙水压对沥青复合料的损坏原理。本研究经过界面拉拔实验,分析沥青老化、温度和水分等要素对集料-沥青界面黏合机能的影响,探讨车辆载荷作用下孔水压对集料-沥青黏合机能的影响及损坏原理,以为同类沥青复合料路面工程应用提供研究和技术参考。     

Consumer preferences for battery electric vehicles: A choice experimental survey in China

To accelerate the diffusion of battery electric vehicles (BEVs), consumer preferences for different products and policy attributes must be determined. Although previous studies have investigated consumer preferences for some product attributes, including purchase price, operation cost, driving range, and charging time, limited studies have discussed the broader aspects of product attributes, such as battery warranty and depreciation rate. Moreover, market-oriented incentives, including the personal carbon trading (PCT) scheme and the tradable driving credits (TDC) scheme, can theoretically be effective alternatives to expensive purchase subsidies. However, there is a lack of empirical evidence that confirms the influence of these two schemes on BEV adoption. To fill these gaps, we conducted a stated preference choice experimental survey in China and investigated the effect of product attributes, existing policy incentives, and two emerging market-oriented incentives on BEV adoption. Our results reveal that along with the main product attributes, battery warranty has a significant positive effect on inducing mainstream consumers to adopt BEVs while no preference difference occurs among existing policy incentives after purchase subsidies are abolished. For young consumers, almost all incentives that reduce the operation cost (e.g., PCT) or increase convenience (e.g., TDC) can increase their adoption of BEVs. These findings can provide important implications for the government with regard to designing novel incentives and promoting BEV adoption.     

The accuracy of proxy responses in a stated choice setting: A re-examination and some controversial conclusions

Data is typically gathered from an individual respondent who represents the group or the household. This individual is often identified as the “primary decision maker” and is asked to provide responses as a proxy for the group given that the cost of interviewing each member individually is impractical and/or expensive. The collection of joint preferences is rarely undertaken, with the use of proxy responses not uncommon in travel behaviour research. Under such a framework, there exists an assumption that the primary decision maker has perfect knowledge of other group member preferences, and bargaining behaviour, and is able to synthesise this information when providing a response on their behalf. The validity of such an assumption however remains an open question, with recent research calling the reliability of proxy responses into account (Bateman and Munro, 2009). In this paper, using three models estimated in willingness to pay space, we examine the accuracy of proxy responses in a stated choice experiment. We find that there is overlap between a proxy response and the own preferences of the individual providing the proxy choice, but while the proxy responses fail to represent the full preference heterogeneity that exists in the actual choices made by individuals, the proxy responses in aggregate provide a suitable replacement for actual data, subject to a number of caveats.     

气田集输管道钢材的选择

针对某气田的气质条件,对气田集输管道材料选择进行了专题研究。分析CO2和Cl-的腐蚀机理,选取了碳钢、不锈钢及双相不锈钢材料进行了气体集输管道腐蚀环境耐蚀模拟试验。实验结果表明：碳钢平均腐蚀速率最快,双相不锈钢腐蚀速率最慢。选取了4种不锈钢进行耐点蚀性能试验与评价。结果显示：马氏体不锈钢2Cr13抗点腐蚀能力最差,25Cr双相不锈钢因其抗点蚀、坑蚀能力强,适宜于某气质腐蚀环境。最后,分别从防腐效果和经济角度论证了采用25Cr双相不锈钢作为内部集输管线的材料优于碳钢＋缓蚀剂。     

Assessing the impact of reduced visibility on traffic crash risk using microscopic data and surrogate safety measures

Due to the difficulty of obtaining accurate real-time visibility and vehicle based traffic data at the same time, there are only few research studies that addressed the impact of reduced visibility on traffic crash risk. This research was conducted based on a new visibility detection system by mounting visibility sensor arrays combined with adaptive learning modules to provide more accurate visibility detections. The vehicle-based detector, Wavetronix SmartSensor HD, was installed at the same place to collect traffic data. Reduced visibility due to fog were selected and analyzed by comparing them with clear cases to identify the differences based on several surrogate measures of safety under different visibility classes. Moreover, vehicles were divided into different types and the vehicles in different lanes were compared in order to identify whether the impact of reduced visibility due to fog on traffic crash risk varies depending on vehicle types and lanes. Log-Inverse Gaussian regression modeling was then applied to explore the relationship between time to collision and visibility together with other traffic parameters. Based on the accurate visibility and traffic data collected by the new visibility and traffic detection system, it was concluded that reduced visibility would significantly increase the traffic crash risk especially rear-end crashes and the impact on crash risk was different for different vehicle types and for different lanes. The results would be helpful to understand the change in traffic crash risk and crash contributing factors under fog conditions. We suggest implementing the algorithms in real-time and augmenting it with ITS measures such as VSL and DMS to reduce crash risk.     

振华启东船厂产能升级布局规划

振华启东船厂前身为成立于2007年的道达船厂,针对厂区内各功能模块之间的能力匹配问题凸显、部分设施破损、部分设施严重制约厂区生产能力的问题,通过厂区现状平面布局、工艺流程系统梳理,根据企业发展定位和关键生产要素潜能制定科学合理的规划目标,以生产设施产能分析计算分析为理论支撑,提出一套各区域产能相匹配且适应未来规模化、精益化、规范化、安全化发展的产能升级布局规划方案,达到各功能模块布局合理、生产能力匹配、生产工艺流畅、生产设施规范的目的。针对既有港区的产能升级规划,采用以定量计算为支撑的规划方法,可供类似工程参考与借鉴。     

平顺抛石护岸水毁模式及机理

平顺抛石护岸工程在长江中下游应用较为广泛,能够增强堤岸的抗洪能力,保障沿江城乡防洪安全或控制有利河势。然而,护岸块石常常发生滑落导致抛石护岸破坏。针对抛石护岸的水毁破坏问题,进行了抛石护岸实际水毁情况调研及水槽试验研究,认为平顺抛石护岸水毁主要表现为护岸块石的流失、滑落以及岸坡变形,导致坡面土体裸露,提出了抛石护岸的3种水毁破坏模式并分析了相应的破坏机理。     

航道整治建筑物薄壁大圆筒结构水槽试验研究

基于薄壁大圆筒结构在国内外沿海港口码头和防波堤工程中研究及应用现状,设计一种薄壁大圆筒结构坝。采用水槽试验的技术手段,研究大水深、大流速情况下坝体稳定性和抗倾临界条件,得到无充填、充填天然沙及带基座的充填薄壁大圆筒结构在水深34 m条件下抗倾流速分别为2.90、3.18及4.95 m/s,认为其能满足不同河流的航道整治建筑物稳定要求,可作为丁坝、顺坝、导流坝及潜坝等多种结构形式在内河航道整治工程中推广运用。     

大深度浮力驱动式水下运载器的浮潜运动研究

基于模型试验,对大深度浮力驱动式水下运载器的上浮运动进行研究与分析,基于数值仿真,提出大深度浮力驱动式水下运载器浮潜运动的快速预报方法,并将预报结果与模型试验结果进行对比,证明快速预报方法的准确性。使用快速预报方法,针对水下运载器比重变化、流体密度变化、水下运载器初速度以及水流扰动4种因素对浮潜运动的影响进行研究.此外,对水下运载器作六自由度运动时所受的水动力进行计算,为后续的六自由度运动预报和研究提供基础。