Forecasting electricity demand of electric vehicles by analyzing consumers’ charging patterns

The spread of electric vehicles (EVs) and their increasing demand for electricity has placed a greater burden on electricity generation and the power grid. In particular, the problem of whether to expand the electricity power stations and distribution facilities due to the construction of EV charging stations is emerging as an immediate issue. To effectively meet the demand for additional electricity while ensuring the stability of the power grid, there is a need to accurately predict the charging demands for EVs. Therefore, this study estimates the changes in electricity charging demand based on consumer preferences for EVs, charging time of day, and types of electric vehicle supply equipment (EVSE) and elucidates the matters to be considered for constructing EV infrastructure. The results show that consumers mainly preferred charging during the evening. However, when we considered different types of EVSEs (public and private) in the analysis, people preferred to charge at public EVSEs during the day. During peak load time, people tended to prefer charging using fast public EVSEs, which shows that consumers considered the tradeoffs between the full charge time and the price for charging. Based on these findings, this study provides key political implications for policy makers to consider in taking preemptive measures to adjust the electricity supply infrastructure.     

Assessing public opinions of and interest in new vehicle technologies: An Austin perspective

Technological advances are bringing connected and autonomous vehicles (CAVs) to the ever-evolving transportation system. Anticipating public acceptance and adoption of these technologies is important. A recent internet-based survey polled 347 Austinites to understand their opinions on smart-car technologies and strategies. Results indicate that respondents perceive fewer crashes to be the primary benefit of autonomous vehicles (AVs), with equipment failure being their top concern. Their average willingness to pay (WTP) for adding full (Level 4) automation ($7253) appears to be much higher than that for adding partial (Level 3) automation ($3300) to their current vehicles.Ordered probit and other model specifications estimate the impact of demographics, built-environment variables, and travel characteristics on Austinites’ WTP for adding various automation technologies and connectivity to their current and coming vehicles. It also estimates adoption rates of shared autonomous vehicles (SAVs) under different pricing scenarios ($1, $2, and $3 per mile), choice dependence on friends’ and neighbors’ adoption rates, and home-location decisions after AVs and SAVs become a common mode of transport. Higher-income, technology-savvy males, who live in urban areas, and those who have experienced more crashes have a greater interest in and higher WTP for the new technologies, with less dependence on others’ adoption rates. Such behavioral models are useful to simulate long-term adoption of CAV technologies under different vehicle pricing and demographic scenarios. These results can be used to develop smarter transportation systems for more efficient and sustainable travel.     

青藏铁路冻土路基合理路堤高度研究

从反映冻土路基热稳定性的路堤临界高度出发,结合青藏铁路冻土路基试验工程,对青藏高原冻土路基的合理路堤高度进行现场试验研究及数值模拟研究。现场试验结果表明:路基下冻土人为上限的变化与路堤高度呈非线性关系,路堤高度太小或太大都会造成路基下多年冻土上限的下降。数值计算结果表明:在相同年平均地温条件下,路基下冻土的人为上限随路堤高度的增大而上升,随路基运行时间的增长而下降;当路堤高度大于一定数值时,在路堤建成的第1个寒季过后,路堤内会残留融化夹层,并且融化夹层的厚度随路堤高度的增加而增大;年平均地温分别为-0.3,-0.5,-1.0,-1.5,-2.0℃条件下,路堤的下临界高度分别为6.8,4.2,1.1,0.6,0.5 m;上临界高度分别为3.4,3.4,3.9,4.1,4.4 m。路堤临界高度存在的年平均地温临界值约为-0.6℃。     

关于建立我国船舶油污损害赔偿机制问题研究

船舶一旦发生溢油事故,往往给受害人带来巨额的经济损失。为了减少该损失,世界上几乎所有的石油进出口大国都建立了船舶油污损害赔偿机制。然而我国目前并没有专门的油污损害赔偿立法,种种弊端突显。因此,我国亟待建立适合我国国情的油污损害赔偿机制,借鉴国际上的成熟经验,逐步与国际接轨。     

基于图形方式的平面度误差显示

本文提出的基于图形方式的平面度误差显示的方法，论述描述平板形状的方法，在平面度误差测量中，根据采样数据选择拟合方法和设计拟合算法，并设计图形显示算法。     

公路路基填挖交界处不均匀沉降原因及防治

道路填挖交界处出现不均匀沉降,是一个需要加强管理的质量问题。采用水稳定性好的填筑材料和相应的加固措施,可减小不均匀沉降量,保证路基的稳定性,延长道路的使用期限。     

铁路客车库(站)检列车制动机试验数据传输系统方案研究

铁路客车库(站)检列车制动机试验是保证行车安全的重要环节,利用高科技手段加强对列车制动机试验过程的监测,提高试验水平是车辆部门长期关注的课题。从试验作业过程监测技术、数据网络共享技术等方面论述了铁路客车库(站)检列车制动机试验数据传输系统的可行性、必要性及实现方案。     

TOA FOR RESECTION OF BULBAR CERVICAL VENTRAL COMPRESSION LESION

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Cyclic plastic deformation of overbend pipe during deepwater S-lay operation

In deepwater S-lay operations, the combined influences of stinger curvature, axial tension and roller support force can induce very large plastic deformation in the pipe. Dynamic loads from vessel motion and pipe sliding down the stinger lead the cyclic plastic deformation. This paper investigates the cyclic plastic stress history of the overbend pipe subjected to the dynamic pipelaying loading. The dynamic roller support forces are obtained through an innovative large scale hybrid substructure experiment constructed to simulate the pipe-stinger impact behavior. The measured roller forces are used to verify a 3D finite element analysis results developed with ABAQUS/Standard to observe the dynamic pipe stress history. The results confirm that the roller support can induce stress concentration in the pipe and the combined dynamic pipelaying loadings can cause extensive cyclic plastic deformation.     

先进柴油机试验测试技术

对近年国内外新出现的先进柴油机试验测试技术进行了跟踪,并对其中较有代表性并且应用前景非常看好的几种技术进行了介绍.主要涵盖计算机辅助模拟试验技术,可视化技术和传感器技术等几个方面.通过对这几种技术自身及其相互之间关系的分析,对柴油机试验测试技术的未来发展方向进行了推测.