Conjoint Analysis Based Transit Service Quality Research

Transit quality service is an important factor that affects the bus split rate. This paper studies the passenger's preference of the bus service with the conjoint analysis. Through the actual survey and data analysis, the utility values of the reliability, frequency, walking time, etc. are measured. And the attributes' weights are determined through the utility values. The results show that the bus reliability is passengers' first concern, which is followed by in-bus environment, walking time and frequency. And the station environment and the price weight low. Then the bus service quality in Nanjing was investigated based on the attributes. The results show that passengers' evaluations about reliability, in-bus environment and frequency in the peak period are much lower than that in the non-peak period. And their evaluation on reliability is very low. The peak period in-bus environment and frequency also get bad evaluation.     

Urban Traffic State Estimation Considering Resident Travel Characteristics and Road Network Capacity

Urban traffic state is usually measured by vehicle average travel speed. It reflects the resident travel behavior on urban road network, and changes with the actual matching status of traffic demand and supply. In this paper, the traffic supply is estimated by the ideal carrying capacity, and the traffic demand is evaluated by vehicle traffic intensity considering resident travel characteristics. In this way, the network carrying capacity and traffic intensity are compared by equative unit. By introducing the intensity/capacity ratio, the matching degree between traffic demand and supply is determined, and the traffic state is identified based on average vehicle speed. In the last section, the 2005 field data of Beijing city is used to test and verify the proposed method.     

公交浮动车辆到站时间实时预测模型

根据公交浮动车辆实时GPS数据,考虑不同时段的路段平均速度、公交车站、信号灯等多因素的影响,建立了一种新的公交车辆到站时间预测模型.通过估计到达下游最临近站点的时间和判断道路上GPS数据的有效性等方法,改善了预测模型的精度,并应用重庆公交车辆数据对模型进行验证.计算结果表明:该模型能够实时预测公交浮动车辆到达下游站点的...     

基于合理路径的拥挤路网交通状态分析方法

为防止路网交通拥堵的扩散,考虑路段状态指标饱和度和行程时间的影响,建立了基于合理路径集的路网分析模型.将非拥挤区域从内到外分为控制层、诱导控制层、诱导层和无关层4个层次,反映了路网状态的空间分布和潜在演化趋势.基于交通分配得到的流量,对本文的状态分析模型进行了数值验证,仿真结果表明:各层次路段在路网中的比例随流量的增大而变化,且拥堵区域呈现扩张趋势;高峰时段各层次路段的比例为20%、5%、10%、10%和56%;同层次中饱和度越大的路段对拥堵区域的影响越大.     

高速公路立交入口区域行车风险评价模型

分析了高速公路立交入口区域车辆行车特征,提出了碰撞危险指数概念,考虑了碰撞可能性系数、碰撞车辆速度差、目标车道跟驰车辆在碰撞时的速度、加速度、前后车辆间距5个因素,将入口区域车辆可能发生的碰撞行为分为5种情形,研究了5种情形的发生条件,建立了相应的风险评价模型。针对不同的主线车辆运行车速、车头间距和匝道驶入车辆运行车速...     

山区公路交通安全保障措施模拟评价

以云南小磨路K109+600～K122+024路段上的隧道群、陡坡与混行路段为试验样本路段,应用虚拟视景生成系统建立了路段三维静态与动态模型。在隧道内设置倒伏示警柱、视觉标线与常规标线3种中央隔离设施,在爬坡路段与混行路段上均设置附加车道,对比分析了3种路段上的平均车速与车辆平均横向位置,并评价了3种安全保障措施的效果。分析结果表明:在隧道内,3种中央隔离设施下的平均车速标准差分别为9.74、10.01、10.40 km.h-1,车辆平均横向位置标准差分别为0.54、0.70、0.69 m,说明设置倒伏示警柱后,车辆保持较好车速和横向位置;在爬坡路段上,当交通流量不超过1 000 pcu.h-1时,设置附加车道有利于主线路车辆车速的提高;在混行路段上,当非机动车流量分别为500、800 pcu.h-1时,设置附加车道后,车速增大,车速标准差减小,车辆横向位置变大,说明设置附加车道有利于提高和稳定车速,并可减少与对向车辆的冲突。     

黄山市慢行交通系统规划研究

在当前能源供应趋紧、城市交通拥堵加剧的背景下,规划完善的慢行交通系统,对于促进城市综合交通体系的可持续发展具有重要意义。基于黄山市慢行交通现状,明确黄山市慢行交通的功能定位和发展策略,构建主次搭配的分级慢行交通网络,并提出慢行设施的设置标准。     

重庆观音桥商圈交通拥堵改善对策研究

文中从观音桥的区位、发展现状、交通问题等方面进行了深入的分析与研究,找出现状商圈交通存在的问题及根本原因,然后针对问题和商圈未来发展需求,从路网、轨道、公交、停车、步行五个方面提出了交通拥堵改善的思路、措施与对策.     

山区高速公路事故多发点的组合鉴别方法

基于国内外交通事故鉴别方法,结合山区高速公路特点及其事故特点,提出改进的鉴别指数与非定长分段法相结合的适合山区高速公路的混合鉴别方法,最后在包茂高速(西安—榆林)铜川段进行实例验证,证明了该方法的有效性。