拉索非线性振动参数敏感性分析及其频率区间估计

为准确把握拉索的动力学规律并指导工程应用,以拉索非线性振动理论(拉索自振频率的摄动法公式)为基础,以工程中常用的典型拉索为例,对拉索非线性自振频率的边界条件效应、参数敏感性以及区间估计方法进行研究.研究结果表明:拉索的边界条件效应随拉索长度、索力以及频率阶次的不同而不同;索力、线密度、弦长、抗弯刚度4个参数对于拉索各阶自振频率在影响程度、影响方式方面均存在显著差异,总体而言,自振频率偏差与索力和抗弯刚度2个参数的偏差成正比,与线密度和弦长2个参数的偏差成反比;根据拉索参数的概率统计特征能够获得拉索自振频率的区间估计.     

不完全信息下的CGF主体决策行为及模型研究

着重分析了决策的风险特性,建立了CGF主体的决策行为模型。分析加入感知行为后对决策行为复杂性的影响;提出了一种不确定型决策方法用于处理不完全感知信息对决策行为的影响;最后用示例说明了该方法的有效性。     

一种单脉冲末制导雷达抗质心干扰算法

为了提高单脉冲末制导雷达的抗质心干扰能力,结合信号到达方向（DOA）的极大似然估计法和卡尔曼滤波,提出了一种新的算法。首先,在假设目标和干扰数量、参数已知的情况下,建立雷达多次接收信号匹配滤波后跟踪回波附近的多个相邻采样点的似然函数。其次,计算得到目标和干扰信号DOA、延迟和功率的极大似然估计,并应用最小描述长度（MDL）准则判断目标和干扰数量。最后,设计了合适的卡尔曼滤波器用于正确跟踪目标。仿真结果验证了算法的有效性。     

舰船风浪航行失速的估算方法

将舰船常用的在风浪中失速的估算方法概括为7种,比较了各种方法的普适性、精确性和局限性,以便使用者选用.     

The price of uncertainty in pavement infrastructure management planning: An integer programming approach

Currently there is a true dichotomy in the pavement maintenance and rehabilitation (M&R) literature. On the one hand, there are integer programming-based models that assume that parameters are deterministically known. On the other extreme, there are stochastic models, with the most popular class being based on the theory of Markov decision processes that are able to account for various sources of uncertainties observed in the real-world. In this paper, we present an integer programming-based alternative to account for these uncertainties. A critical feature of the proposed models is that they provide – a priori – probabilistic guarantees that the prescribed M&R decisions would result in pavement condition scores that are above their critical service levels, using minimal assumptions regarding the sources of uncertainty. By construction of the models, we can easily determine the additional budget requirements when additional sources of uncertainty are considered, starting from a fully deterministic model. We have coined this additional budget requirement the price of uncertainty to distinguish from previous related work where additional budget requirements were studied due to parameter uncertainties in stochastic models. A numerical case study presents valuable insights into the price of uncertainty and shows that it can be large.     

Real time queue length estimation for signalized intersections using travel times from mobile sensors

We study how to estimate real time queue lengths at signalized intersections using intersection travel times collected from mobile traffic sensors. The estimation is based on the observation that critical pattern changes of intersection travel times or delays, such as the discontinuities (i.e., sudden and dramatic increases in travel times) and non-smoothness (i.e., changes of slopes of travel times), indicate signal timing or queue length changes. By detecting these critical points in intersection travel times or delays, the real time queue length can be re-constructed. We first introduce the concept of Queue Rear No-delay Arrival Time which is related to the non-smoothness of queuing delay patterns and queue length changes. We then show how measured intersection travel times from mobile sensors can be processed to generate sample vehicle queuing delays. Under the uniform arrival assumption, the queuing delays reduce linearly within a cycle. The delay pattern can be estimated by a linear fitting method using sample queuing delays. Queue Rear No-delay Arrival Time can then be obtained from the delay pattern, and be used to estimate the maximum and minimum queue lengths of a cycle, based on which the real-time queue length curve can also be constructed. The model and algorithm are tested in a field experiment and in simulation.     

对等网络视频点播系统中的用户行为研究

随着p2p VoD业务的快速增长,用户行为对整个系统性能的影响也越来越明显.掌握用户行为特点对提高p2p网络带宽利用率、优化资源替代算法、调整服务器带宽分配策略等一系列问题有重要的指导意义.本文通过分析实测VoD系统中的用户日志数据,建立了数学模型描述用户观看行为.仿真结果表明,该模型能够较为准确的反映用户行为的统计特征,较为全面地刻画出整个VoD系统中用户行为的基本规律,为进一步研究VoD系统的服务性能提供了理论依据.     

多分量相移键控信号码速率盲估计

为解决单通道接收机同时截获到同一频带范围内的多分量相移键控信号的参数估计问题,提出了一种不经信号分离直接提取各独立信号分量码速率的盲估计算法.从理论上推导了多分量相移键控信号的二阶共轭循环自相关具有线性特性,因此可以不受干扰地提取各信号分量的码速率;进而提出了简单而有效的谱峰增强方法,与基于二阶共轭循环自相关获得的谱峰相比,用此法获得的谱峰更为清晰.仿真实验表明:用提出的算法,当双分量信号功率比为1:1且信噪比为-5 dB时,码速率估计的正确率可达98％;尤其是在单分量环境下,该算法比现有算法的性能提高4 dB以上.     

水泥比表面积检验不确定度评定

根据《水泥比表面积测定方法勃氏法》（GB/T 8074—2008）对水泥比表面积进行测定,运用不确定度评定的相关理论,进行水泥比表面积检验的不确定度评定,可为实践提供借鉴。     

基于马尔可夫过程的快速路OD矩阵估计方法

为得到城市快速路网络的OD矩阵,引入马尔可夫理论.运用吸收马尔可夫过程对快速路网络进行建模分析,给出相应求解算法推导路段流量,小区OD矩阵表达式,并介绍了运用MATLAB软件进行矩阵求解的方法.最后进行了算例分析,利用VISSIM仿真,通过布设线圈检测器,对OD矩阵估计模型及算法进行精度评价.结果显示,模型可很好地拟合...