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The paper proposes a “quasi-dynamic” framework for estimation of origin–destination (o–d) flow from traffic counts, under the assumption that o–d shares are constant across a reference period, whilst total flows leaving each origin vary for each sub-period within the reference period. The advantage of this approach over conventional within-day dynamic estimators is that of reducing drastically the number of unknowns given the same set of observed time-varying traffic counts. Obviously, the gain in accuracy depends on how realistic is the underlying assumption that total demand levels vary more rapidly over time than o–d shares. Firstly, the paper proposes a theoretical specification of the quasi-dynamic estimator. Subsequently, it proposes empirical and statistical tests to check the quasi-dynamic assumption and then compares the performances of the quasi-dynamic estimator of o–d flows with both classical off-line simultaneous dynamic estimators and on-line recursive Kalman filter-based estimators. Experiments are carried out on the real test site of A4–A23 motorways in North-Eastern Italy. Results confirm the acceptability of the assumption of quasi-dynamic o–d flows, even under the hypothesis of constant distribution shares for the whole day and show that the quasi-dynamic estimator outperforms significantly the simultaneous estimator. Data also suggest that using the quasi-dynamic estimates instead of the simultaneous estimates as historical o–d flows improves significantly the performances of the Kalman filter, which strongly depends of the quality of the seed o–d flows. In addition, it is shown that the aggregation of quasi-dynamic o–d estimates across subsequent time slices represents also the most effective way to obtain o–d estimates for larger time horizons (e.g. hourly estimates). Finally, a validation based on an hold-out sample of link flows (i.e. counts not used as inputs in the o–d estimation/updating process) revealed the quasi-dynamic estimator to be overall more robust and effective with respect to the other tested estimators. 相似文献
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T. A. Wenzel K. J. Burnham M. V. Blundell R. A. Williams 《Vehicle System Dynamics: International Journal of Vehicle Mechanics and Mobility》2006,44(2):153-171
The article demonstrates the implementation of a model-based vehicle estimator, which can be used for combined estimation of vehicle states and parameters. The estimator is realised using the dual extended Kalman filter (DEKF) technique, which makes use of two Kalman filters running in parallel, thus 'splitting' the state and parameter estimation problems. Note that the two problems cannot be entirely separated due to their inherent interdependencies. This technique provides several advantages, such as the possibility to switch off the parameter estimator, once a sufficiently good set of estimates has been obtained. The estimator is based on a four-wheel vehicle model with four degrees of freedom, which accommodates the dominant modes only, and is designed to make use of several interchangeable tyre models. The paper demonstrates the appropriateness of the DEKF. Results to date indicate that this is an effective approach, which is considered to be of potential benefit to the automotive industry. 相似文献
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In recent years, rapid advances in information technology have led to various data collection systems which are enriching the sources of empirical data for use in transport systems. Currently, traffic data are collected through various sensors including loop detectors, probe vehicles, cell-phones, Bluetooth, video cameras, remote sensing and public transport smart cards. It has been argued that combining the complementary information from multiple sources will generally result in better accuracy, increased robustness and reduced ambiguity. Despite the fact that there have been substantial advances in data assimilation techniques to reconstruct and predict the traffic state from multiple data sources, such methods are generally data-driven and do not fully utilize the power of traffic models. Furthermore, the existing methods are still limited to freeway networks and are not yet applicable in the urban context due to the enhanced complexity of the flow behavior. The main traffic phenomena on urban links are generally caused by the boundary conditions at intersections, un-signalized or signalized, at which the switching of the traffic lights and the turning maneuvers of the road users lead to shock-wave phenomena that propagate upstream of the intersections. This paper develops a new model-based methodology to build up a real-time traffic prediction model for arterial corridors using data from multiple sources, particularly from loop detectors and partial observations from Bluetooth and GPS devices. 相似文献
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吴塍勤 《武汉船舶职业技术学院学报》2009,8(6):25-28
介绍了防火墙的概念、原理、分类及比较,指出了传统防火墙存在的不足之处,提出了一种新型防火墙系统——嵌入式防火墙系统,并对防火墙的发展作了前景展望。 相似文献
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为研究谐波抑制方法在电力推进船舶电网中的应用,提出了一种基于感应滤波方式,同时具有自耦补偿和谐波抑制作用的新型推进变压器结构。该变压器二次侧采用延边三角形接线,它将传统滤波和无功补偿装置移至绕组内部且公共绕组的等效短路漏电感为零设计,使船舶大功率变流设备在电能变换过程中产生的谐波源无法进入交流网侧,有效地抑制了谐波对船舶电网的污染。对比船舶电网传统滤波方法,对新型推进变压器的结构设计,滤波原理进行了介绍,并分别对基于新型和传统推进变压器的6相交直交推进方式船舶电力系统进行了SIMU-LINK仿真,仿真结果的电流波形和电流频谱验证了方案的正确性和可行性。 相似文献
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结合工程实际,介绍了集汇水、过滤、灌溉、储水和自动排水功能为一体的道路雨水资源收集与利用系统的设计,有关经验可供相关专业人员参考。 相似文献
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