高速客运专线客流分担率模型及其应用研究

目前,我国客运专线已在积极修建,2008年后,高速客运专线网将逐步形成,高速客运专线的建成将大幅度提高铁路的竞争能力。本文研究客运专线的建成对通道上其他运输方式的影响,即各种方式分担率的变化。Logit模型是预测运输通道上各种运输方式客流分担率的一种比较成熟的方法,它在交通运输领域有着广泛的应用。基于此,首先研究高速客运专线客流分担率模型(Logit模型),选择经济性、快速性、方便性、舒适度、安全性为5个衡量指标,并建立其广义费用函数,利用相关研究结果和极大似然估计法,确定模型参数,最后以北京~太原间各种运输方式的竞争为例来研究该模型的应用。结果显示建成后的北京~太原间高速客运专线将吸引大量客流,使铁路客流分担率增加10%。     

Modelling the adoption intention and installation choice of an automotive after-market mild-solar-hybridization kit

Despite the recent commercial success of hybrid, plug-in hybrid and electric vehicles their market share is still insufficient to produce either a significant impact on energy consumption on a global basis or a profitable automotive segment. In this context, the possibility of upgrading conventional vehicles to hybrid electric vehicles is gaining increasing interest.To this aim this paper investigated and modelled the intention to install an after-market hybridization solar-kit (HySolarKit) in order to ascertain the main behavioural determinants of the choice process and set up an operational model with which to estimate the market potential of such technology. In particular, two behavioural stages of the choice process were analysed and modelled: (i) the intention to adopt the HySolarKit; (ii) the choice to install the HySolarKit. Both issues were addressed through ad hoc stated preference surveys carried out in two different Italian cities, and through the specification and the calibration of discrete choice models based on the behavioural paradigm of random utility theory. Different modelling solutions (homoscedastic and heteroscedastic) were compared in terms of goodness-of-fit and sensitivity to level-of-service attributes. The results showed the technological potential of the HySolarKit, and that both behavioural stages may be effectively modelled through random utility theory. Estimation results allowed an interpretation of the main determinants of the investigated phenomena, making it possible to quantify the potential effects and the concerns towards such a green solution, and making it possible to draw up operative marketing strategies. In particular, the intention to adopt the kit mainly depends on socio-economic factors as well as activity-related and attitudinal attributes, whereas the probability of installing the kit is greatly affected, to the same extent, by installation cost, the charging cost and the weekly mileage driven.     

国产化列车网络控制系统安全完整性等级评估与认证

在对国产化列车网络控制系统SIL认证核心工作进行分析的基础上,得出TCMS开发安全生命周期SIL过程活动评估的关键内容及其指标评估的具体方法.针对TCMS系统的安全要求及可容忍风险故障率的确定及分配进行了清晰的示意说明,对安全功能的时间故障数的计算方法进行了详细的例解分析.     

脉冲扰动系统的集合稳定性

研究了具有扰动影响的脉冲微分系统的稳定性的判断定理,通过运用Lyapunov函数和脉冲微分不等式理论,并结合扰动项的范数有上界的条件,得到了扰动脉冲系统解的一致渐近稳定性的充分条件；根据定理的条件,便可以容易的判断出一些复杂脉冲扰动系统的稳定性；利用脉冲微分不等式理论研究具有扰动的脉冲微分系统的集合稳定性是本文的主要的创新点.     

计算机网络的管理技术及应用

首先论述了计算机网络管理协议的概念和网络管理所包含的内容,并结合实际工作应用的实例进一步加以阐述.     

一个基于插件的地理信息组件功能扩展模型

从地理信息系统应用的分类出发,分析其应用的特点和难点,在此基础上,研究提出一个基于插件的地理信息组件功能扩展模型.模型通过插件技术来扩展地理信息系统的应用,并使其他系统得以使用地理信息系统的资源和功能.定义了这样的系统必需的组成部分和各个组成部分之间的接口、以及它们的功能和满足的要求,给出了一个实际应用的结构.     

文化要素——企业可持续发展的源动力

本文阐述了企业文化的形成、内涵、个性及表达方式方面的特点,说明了企业文化的作用,同时结合中铁隧道集团公司的企业文化的创建,阐述了如何创建优良的企业文化。     

基于API函数的模拟终端串行通信设计

通过对模拟终端串口通信设计的介绍,阐述在Windows 9X/NT操作系统中,API函数和多线程技术在串行通信中的应用.该方法能更加灵活、高效地控制串口操作.     

Analysis of solution findings in the conceptual design of function structures

In the conceptual stage the function design process is realized by the computer aided application. After surveying on the function specification methods and the function modeling, a computer aided function design environment is analyzed. Subsequently based on a module library and principle catalogue, a solution finding process as a part of conceptual design is proposed for a creative design. In addition, a search algorithm to find the solution of adaptable function structure is also discussed. The concepts proposed in this paper can support the subsequent design stages, especially simulation for checking the function structure defects.     

十年磨一剑——铁路运输管理信息系统(TMIS)建设纪实

回顾运输管理信息系统(TMIS)建设的10年奋斗历程,简明扼要地介绍TMIS实现的功能,并畅想了铁路运输管理信息系统的发展方向.