Integrated models of land use and transportation for the autonomous vehicle revolution

ABSTRACT

The advent of the autonomous vehicle (AV) will affect not only the transportation system, but also future patterns of land development. Integrated land use and transportation models will be critical tools in assessing the path forward with this technology. Key questions with respect to land use impacts of AVs arise from potential changes in sensitivity to travel and reduced demand for parking. It is an open question whether AVs will induce urban sprawl, or whether spatial economies of agglomeration will mitigate any reductions in travel time sensitivity. The deployment of shared fleets of AVs would likely reduce parking demand, producing yet to be explored impacts on property development within existing urban footprints. We perform a critical assessment of currently operational models and their ability to represent the adoption of AVs. We identify the representation of time in such models as a vital component requiring additional development to model this new technology. Existing model applications have focused on the discrete addition of new infrastructure or policy at a fixed point in time, whereas AV adoption will occur incrementally through time. Stated adaptation surveys are recommended as tools to quantify preferences and develop relevant model inputs. It is argued that existing models that assume comparatively static equilibrium have been convenient in the past, but are insufficient to model technology adoption. In contrast, dynamic model frameworks lack sufficient structure to maintain reasonability under large perturbations from base conditions. The ongoing advancement of computing has allowed models to move away from being mechanistic aggregate tools, towards behaviourally rich depictions of individual persons and firms. However, much work remains to move from projections of existing conditions into the future, to the evolution of the spatial economy as it evolves through time in response to new technologies and exogenous stresses. Principles from complex and evolutionary systems theory will be important in the development of models with the capacity to consider such dynamics.     

轨道交通车辆抗侧滚结构形式的选型分析

介绍了抗侧滚刚度对轨道交通车辆性能的影响。通过对车辆的控制方式、抵抗侧风能力、动力学性能和柔度系数4个方面的分析研究来确定轨道交通车辆的抗侧滚结构形式,为车辆抗侧滚结构形式的选择提供了理论依据。研究表明:当车辆采用两点控制时必须设置抗侧滚扭杆来提高车辆的抗侧滚能力;当车辆采用四点控制时可考虑增大空气弹簧的跨距和设置抗侧滚扭杆来提高车辆的抗侧滚能力。     

Total cost analysis: An alternative to benefit-cost analysis in evaluating transportation alternatives

This paper explains the theory in support of total cost analysis (TCA) to compare transportation system alternatives. The full costs of each alternative are first aggregated, including travel time costs and monetizable environmental and social costs. Many costs which are considered on the benefits side of the equation in benefit-cost analysis (BCA) as "cost savings" are brought over to the costs side. Total cost differences among alternatives are then traded off against their estimated non-monetized benefits or impacts, just as a consumer trades off product quality against cost before deciding which product he or she will buy. One advantage of TCA over traditional BCA is that the concept of "total cost" is more easily understood by the public and by political decision-makers than BCA concepts such as "net present worth", "benefit-cost ratio" and "internal rate of return". A second advantage is that there is no suggestion that all "benefits" have been considered; decision-makers are free to use their own value judgements to trade off total cost against non-monetizable social, environmental and economic impacts, just as they trade off quality and convenience against cost when purchasing goods and services in their roles as consumers. The TCA approach is demonstrated in this paper through a case study of two systemwide alternatives for the Baltimore, MD urban area.     

基于火场信息的地铁车站智能疏散技术研究

火灾是城市轨道交通车站内影响最为严重的事故之一,科学合理的安全疏散方案是突发火灾时确保乘客出行安全的重要保障。然而,目前地铁车站火灾疏散方案中的疏散路线难以根据火场情况动态调整。针对地铁车站疏散路径固定单一的弊端,基于地铁车站内的监控系统,利用计算机视觉技术识别人员分布信息和火灾发生位置,建立空间拓扑模型,利用改进的蚁群算法规划出耗时最短且转弯次数较少的疏散路线,实现站内乘客更科学高效的疏散,最后通过3个场景的案例应用验证本文所提疏散方法的有效性。     

城市轨道交通道岔转辙机 智能运维系统研究

道岔转辙机是信号系统核心设备,其维护量大、维保难度高、设备故障影响程度较广,随着智能运维研究在城市轨道交通行业的兴起,道岔转辙机智能运维是实现城轨信号维护智能化、运维生产组织模式智能化的基础。总结传统微机监测系统的不足,结合行业道岔转辙机维保难点和痛点,提出一套智能运维系统,主要包括关键状态感知、故障智能诊断、关键状态预警及健康评估等,并提出具体的实现方法。该系统目前已成功应用于南宁轨道交通 4、5 号线,具有显著效益。     

高速铁路智能交通综合信息系统中关键问题的探讨

阐述了在我国实现铁路智能交通综合信息系统的必然性，提出了铁路智能交通综合信息系统的体系结构，强调了需要发展通信信号系统的关键，并着重分析了通信信号系统急需解决的问题。     

奇瑞A3轿车电子智能防盗系统解析

汽车防盗控制系统是现代汽车电控的一个主要组成系统,其功能是防止汽车被非法起动或开走,本文对奇瑞A3轿车的电子智能防盗系统主要原理、组成以及防盗系统使用与维修方法:等进行介绍。     

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排队长度作为评价信号交叉口运行效率的一个重要指标,能有效反映交叉口处的运行状况.传统排队检测模型大多基于线圈检测器,且模型假设过于理想化,本文提出一种面向低采样率浮动车数据、具有良好数据驱动性的信控交叉口在线排队长度检测方法,方法关键在于利用队尾浮动车位置估算最大排队长度.检测过程采用固定时间间隔,主要步骤包括地图匹配、等距划分交叉口进口道并统计停车点数量、判定队尾浮动车的位置、修正得到最大排队长度估计值.实测数据表明,此方法的精度与浮动车比率有直接的关系,在浮动车比率较高的许多主干路交叉口,精度可以达到理想效果,30 m以内的平均绝对误差对高峰期的排队检测依旧具有很大价值.     

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为确保动车组高级修的安全、有序、高效、优质,结合未来高速铁路检修业务的客观发展需要,提出了面向动车高级修的RFID应用技术方案和智能信息系统框架.首先,提出动车基地在配件物流、人员作业流、动车组车流、检修设备设施中的RFID应用技术方案,以及应用难点的解决对策;四种应用是有机整体,以配件应用为核心.然后,指出了将RFID全面应用于动车检修生产各环节,结合数据集成与语义融合,可以极大强化既有应用系统的性能与功能;并且重点对运用RFID为检修产能的提升进行了量化评估.文中涉及的几类RFID应用已在动车基地投入使用,或者经过试点、试验.     

A design methodology for mechatronic vehicles: application of multidisciplinary optimization,multibody dynamics and genetic algorithms

A design methodology for mechatronic vehicles is presented. With multidisciplinary optimization (MDO) methods, strongly coupled mechanical, control and other subsystems are integrated as a synergistic vehicle system. With genetic algorithms (GAs) at the system level, the mechanical, control and other relevant parameters can be optimized simultaneously. To demonstrate the feasibility and efficacy of the proposed design methodology for mechatronic vehicles, it is used to resolve the conflicting requirements for ride comfort, suspension working spaces and unsprung mass dynamic loads in the optimization of half-vehicle models with active suspensions. Both deterministic and random road excitations, both rigid and flexible vehicle bodies and both perfect measurement of full state variables and estimated limited state variables are considered. Numerical results show that the optimized vehicle systems based on the methodology have better overall performance than those using the linear quadratic Gaussian (LQG) controller. It is shown that the methodology is suitable for complex design optimization problems where: (1) there is interaction between different disciplines or subsystems; (2) there are multiple design criteria; (3) there are multiple local optima; (4) there is no need for sensitivity analysis for the optimizer at the system level; and (5) there are multiple design variables.