Dynamic demand estimation and prediction for traffic urban networks adopting new data sources

Nowadays, new mobility information can be derived from advanced traffic surveillance systems that collect updated traffic measurements, both in fixed locations and over specific corridors or paths. Such recent technological developments point to challenging and promising opportunities that academics and practitioners have only partially explored so far.The paper looks at some of these opportunities within the Dynamic Demand Estimation problem (DDEP). At first, data heterogeneity, accounting for different sets of data providing a wide spatial coverage, has been investigated for the benefit of off-line demand estimation. In an attempt to mimic the current urban networks monitoring, examples of complex real case applications are being reported where route travel times and route choice probabilities from probe vehicles are exploited together with common link traffic measurements.Subsequently, on-line detection of non-recurrent conditions is being recorded, adopting a sequential approach based on an extension of the Kalman Filter theory called Local Ensemble Transformed Kalman Filter (LETKF).Both the off-line and the on-line investigations adopt a simulation approach capable of capturing the highly nonlinear dependence between the travel demand and the traffic measurements through the use of dynamic traffic assignment models. Consequently, the possibility of using collected traffic information is enhanced, thus overcoming most of the limitations of current DDEP approaches found in the literature.     

Environmental and transport effects of warehouse relocationing: evidence from Norway

Reducing traffic volumes and CO2-emissions from freight transport has proven difficult in many countries. Although the increasing suburbanization of warehouses is seen as a relevant land use trend, comprehensive analyses of their impact remain scarce. This study uses real data in modeling transport, costs, environmental and modal effects from warehouse relocations around Oslo and Trondheim (Norway). Results indicate that for Oslo, traffic performance (ton-km), CO2-emissions, and transport costs increase following warehouse suburbanization. For Trondheim, transport performance and CO2-emissions increase less, while transport costs decrease marginally. We conclude that specific case characteristics (geography and trade patterns) are important in determining the strength and direction of effects, and expect that common concomitant developments (warehouse centralization and consolidation) would lead to more pronounced results. Our findings confirm some, but challenge other, findings from the relatively scarcely literature available. Finally, the study's more general insights and observations can help advance similar analyses beyond Norway.     

Dynamic activity-travel assignment in multi-state supernetworks

The integration of activity-based modeling and dynamic traffic assignment for travel demand analysis has recently attracted ever-increasing attention. However, related studies have limitations either on the integration structure or the number of choice facets being captured. This paper proposes a formulation of dynamic activity-travel assignment (DATA) in the framework of multi-state supernetworks, in which any path through a personalized supernetwork represents a particular activity-travel pattern (ATP) at a high level of spatial and temporal detail. DATA is formulated as a discrete-time dynamic user equilibrium (DUE) problem, which is reformulated as an equivalent variational inequality (VI) problem. A generalized dynamic link disutility function is established with the accommodation of different characteristics of the links in the supernetworks. Flow constraints and non-uniqueness of equilibria are also investigated. In the proposed formulation, the choices of departure time, route, mode, activity sequence, activity and parking location are all unified into one time-dependent ATP choice. As a result, the interdependences among all these choice facets can be readily captured. A solution algorithm based on the route-swapping mechanism is adopted to find the user equilibrium. A numerical example with simulated scenarios is provided to demonstrate the advantages of the proposed approach.     

基于J2ME的手机移动电子邮件系统的研究

随着移动通信数据业务的发展,移动手机和智能化移动终端的实现和普及,移动邮件系统随之产生。目前常用的移动邮件业务需通过WAP网关访问Internet,进行在线交流时会增加服务器负荷,这导致无线Internet的应用受到很大限制。利用J2ME设计了一个新的移动邮件系统以解决上述问题,该系统利用设计的中间层服务器连接Web Mail的SMTP／IMAP／POP3服务器,执行中间业务逻辑的处理,最终实现移动邮件的所有操作。     

测力钢轨轮轨力连续输出算法

根据轮轨相互作用特点, 利用地面测试数据的信息, 采用阈值判断法提取有效的轮轨力数据。设计基于径向基函数神经网络的算法, 用以处理不同测试单元处的轮轨力的非线性关系, 用不同车轮不同作用点位置作用下的横、垂向力训练神经网络, 实现了测力钢轨轮轨力的连续测试, 并对3种工况进行了仿真试验。分析结果表明: 既存在干扰又存在应变片损坏时的连续轮轨力精度较只存在干扰及部分应变片损坏的低; 算法能对采样频率低于8 720.9 Hz的轮轨力信号进行实时处理, 算法具有很好的适用性。     

某好望角型散货船接船过程及体会

综合分析了接一条新船的全过程,并介绍了如何合理选择接船人员以及应注意的问题。     

Simulation on progressive collapse behaviour of whole ship model under extreme waves using idealized structural unit method

To ensure the safety of navigating ship, working loads and structural load-carrying capacity are two important aspects. In the present paper, a total simulation system combing load calculation and structural collapse analysis is applied to simulate progressive collapse behaviour of a single-hull Kamsarmax type bulk carrier. A three dimensional singularity distribution method is adopted to calculate pressure distribution with time history. A mixed structural model, collapse part simulated by ISUM elements and remaining part by elastic FEM elements with relative coarse mesh, is proposed for collapse analysis. Progressive collapse behaviour obtained by ISUM is good agreement with that by nonlinear software package, MARC. However, the calculation time of ISUM analysis is about 1/70 of MARC analysis. The applicability to structure system, high accuracy and sufficient efficiency of ISUM had been demonstrated.     

R/S分析法在盾构下穿机场过程中的地表变形规律研究

为保证机场的正常运营,在盾构下穿机场的施工过程中,对地表沉降变形控制的要求较高,因此对穿越过程中的施工控制和变形规律研究具有重要意义。首先,基于盾构下穿机场的工程条件,分析盾构下穿过程中的风险,并提出相应的控制措施;同时,根据现场监测数据,分析盾构下穿机场过程中的地表沉降变形规律,并利用R/S分析法对地表沉降的发展趋势进行研究。结果表明:盾构施工引起的机场地表变形均在控制值范围以内,且各监测点在不同序列条件下的Hurst指数均大于0.5,具有沉降持续减弱的趋势,验证下穿过程中风险控制措施的有效性,为类似下穿机场的盾构施工提供一定的实践经验,也为盾构施工引起的地表沉降变形规律研究提供参考。     

船舶推进同步电机PTI/PTO模式研究

PTI/PTO推进是最近发展起来的一种新型船舶推进方式,兼具传统柴油机推进和电力推进优点,可实现多种船舶工作模式,具有操控性好、安全、经济等特点,将是未来船舶推进方式发展方向之一.本文介绍了PTI/PTO推进模式理论和工作模式,便于理解该推进方式,希望有助于船舶推进技术的发展.     

STAAD/CHINA在搭架设计及强度校核中的应用

搭架作业是船舶修造日常工作中比较普通、常见的工程,合理、快速地设计和校验脚手架的强度,直接影响生产施工的安全性、经济性和效率。文章介绍了如何使用有限元软件STAAD/CHINA对搭架方案进行建模计算及校验,计算结果接近实际,提高了强度校验的效率。