基于在线有向无环图的船舶轨迹压缩算法

为了解决船舶轨迹数据的压缩问题, 提出了一种船舶轨迹在线压缩算法; 使用多次滑动推算船位判断方法清洗船舶轨迹, 使用在线有向无环图在干净轨迹上建立压缩路径树并输出采样点; 为了提高轨迹队列和路径树在内存中的查询速度, 使用哈希表对其进行管理; 为了验证提出算法的效果, 比较了真实船舶自动识别系统数据与方向保留算法、道格拉斯-普克算法的压缩时间和误差, 采用可视化方法分析了原始轨迹、清洗轨迹和压缩轨迹。试验结果表明: 在压缩时间方面, 方向保留算法和道格拉斯-普克算法的压缩时间分别约为提出算法的1.1、1.3倍, 说明提出的算法比其他2种算法的处理时间更短; 提出的算法在压缩过程中保留了时间信息, 平均同步欧氏距离误差在任何压缩率下都能保持在10 m以下, 最大同步欧氏距离误差在压缩率为1%时仅有127 m, 而其他2种算法的平均同步欧氏距离误差和最大同步欧氏距离误差不受控制, 会随机变化; 在垂直距离误差方面, 提出的算法与道格拉斯-普克算法在压缩率不小于5%的条件下, 都能保证垂直距离误差小于20 m, 而方向保留算法的垂直距离误差会随机变化; 在显示效果方面, 提出的算法能有效清除轨迹噪声点, 压缩轨迹能够较好地代表原始轨迹的宏观交通流情况。可见, 提出的算法能更高效地保留原始轨迹的形状和时间信息。     

船舶操纵的FARMA模型模糊控制器研究

船舶操纵是一个非线性过程,传统控制方式的操纵性能不能令人满意。本文提出了一种不依靠任何系统模型的模糊控制器设计方法。仿真结果表明了它在船舶操纵应用中切实可行,在一定程度上改善了操纵性能。     

移动平均法在公交运行时间预测中的应用

运用概率论与数理统计中的移动平均法,本文对公交车运行时间问题进行了研究。利用移动平均法的基本原理和检验方法,结合采集到的长春市公交306路的运行时间数据进行了实证研究,结果表明该方法可以用于公交车运行时间的预测。     

陕西省6岁和12岁儿童患龋情况调查分析

对陕西省城乡２０４２名６岁儿童及２０５６名１２岁儿童进行了患龋情况的调查。结果表明：６岁儿童乳牙龋均和患龋车男女间无显著性差异；１２岁儿童恒牙龋均和患龋中女性明显高于男性；城市）Ｌ童乳恒牙龋均和患龋率均较农村儿童显著升高。与本省１９８３年的资料比较，虽然有些指标已达到ＷＨＯ所要求的目标，但城市儿童乳牙患塘中较高。提示今后应进一步加强城市学龄前儿童的口腔预防保健工作。     

公差设计中公差单位计算合理性的研究

本文给出了几何平均值与算术平均值最大相对误差关系的证明，并通过对尺寸分段内按中线值的相对误差的比较，进一步论述了按几何平均值计算公差单位的合理性。     

天原化工码头引桥海损后的工程修复技术

化工码头发生严重海损,属小概率事件,但后果严重。针对天原化工码头引桥严重海损,采取抢修和加固两步走的修复方案,先在受损引桥结构边缘补打大直径钢管桩、安装特殊钢牛腿支撑不稳定结构,解决了码头临时生产作业问题,然后进行加固,同时满足结构耐久性的要求,为类似工程抢修起提供借鉴。     

Applications of intuitionistic fuzzy set aggregation operators in transport multi-factor project evaluation

Abstract

An intuitionistic fuzzy set (IFS) is a generalisation of a fuzzy set characterised by a truth membership function and a false membership function. The former is a lower bound on the grade of membership of the evidence in favour of a particular element belonging to the set and the latter is a lower bound on the negation of that element belonging to the set derived from evidence against that element belonging to the set. A similar concept is a vague set, though vague sets have been shown to be identical to IFSs. In the context of project evaluation, an IFS may be used to represent the degree to which a project satisfies a criterion and the degree to which it does not. Aggregation of such IFSs has been considered in recent years to identify a best project in terms of several criteria or factors. A particular desirable way to aggregate IFS is in terms of an ordered weighted average (OWA) which can be expressed in different forms such as arithmetic and geometric. In an OWA operator, weights are applied to the position of an element in the aggregation. In addition, hybrid OWA operators may be developed to not only weight the position of elements in the aggregation but the element itself. An example is given relating to the Kuranda Range Road upgrade (Queensland, Australia) which is limited by grade, poor overtaking opportunities, poor horizontal alignment and other constraints and the road is expected to become increasingly congested over the next few years. A more flexible multi-factor decision method is used to identify a ‘best’ project from a set of four alternative projects.     

Modelling waiting time for passengers transferring from rail to buses

This paper develops a mathematical model to calculate the average waiting time for passengers transferring from rail transit to buses based on the statistical analysis of primary data collected in Beijing. An important part of the average waiting time modelling is to analyse the distributions of passenger arrival rates. It is shown that the lognormal and gamma distributions have the best fit for direct transfer and non-direct transfer passengers, respectively. Subsequently, an average waiting time model for transferring passengers is developed based on passenger arrival rate distributions. Furthermore, case studies are conducted for two scenarios with real and estimated data, resulting in relative errors of ?3.69% and ?3.77%, respectively. Finally, the paper analyses the impacts of bus headway, the headway of rail cars, and the proportion of direct transfer passengers on average waiting time.     

组合预测在港口吞吐量预测中的应用研究

以某港口1998~2004年吞吐量为原始数据,按照“误差平方和最小”的准则,把移动平均法和GM(1,1)模型组合起来,对某港口2006~2010年的港口吞吐量进行了组合预测。     

软土路基分级加载沉降预测模型及应用

沉降量和沉降速率控制是路堤工程设计的关键性问题.由于固结理论的局限性和参数的不确定性,理论预测的精度较低,而基于现场实测资料的观测法显示出较高的精度,但是现有的大多数计算方法只能适用于一级荷载下沉降预测.在灰色理论的基础上发展了一种预测地基分级加载沉降预测的方法,结合某拓宽改造工程实例进行了沉降预测分析.