“定机移船”卸煤码头装卸工艺设计

在海港煤码头设计中应用＂定机移船＂码头工艺。根据印度尼西亚风港2×115 MW燃煤电厂卸煤码头工程设计,分析研究＂定机移船＂卸煤码头的合理工艺流程和最佳平面布置;推导出码头主尺度、移船阻力、移船绞车功率和码头通过能力的计算公式;并提出固定式悬链斗卸船机的选型和配备方法。实践证明,＂定机移船＂卸煤码头工艺是接卸以大舱口浅底驳船为主的卸煤码头的最佳设计方案。     

基于Hoek理论考虑地震力作用的楔形体稳定性计算分析

Hoek理论是楔形体问题分析及计算的常用理论,它假定各滑面均为平面,以各滑面总抗滑力与楔形体总下滑力的比值来确定安全系数。但传统的Hoek理论未考虑地震力的影响,对需要考虑地震作用的地区其应用受限。基于Hoek理论采用极限平衡法的分析原理,将地震对楔形体的作用力纳入Hoek理论,从而得到一个考虑地震作用下楔形体稳定性的计算方法,并应用在临岳高速公路边坡的稳定性分析上,与实际情况吻合,说明推导的计算方法是正确的。     

Transition to a cyclable city: Latent variables affecting bicycle commuting

An understanding of the key factors influencing bicycle commuting is essential for developing effective policies towards a cyclable city. This paper contributes to this line of research by proposing a methodology for including cycling-related indicators in mobility surveys based on the Theory of Planned Behaviour (TPB), and applying an exploratory factor analysis (EFA) to evaluate the structure of latent variables associated with bicycle commuting. The EFA identified six cycling latent variables: Lifestyle, Safety and comfort, Awareness, Direct disadvantages, Subjective norm, and Individual capabilities. These were complemented with a latent variable related to habit: Non-commuting cycling habit. Statistical differences and regression analysis were applied with the cycling latent variables. The study also includes the relationship between objective factors and bicycle commuting, which reveals minor associations. This methodology was applied to the “starter cycling city” of Vitoria-Gasteiz (Spain). The results confirm that in this context – in transition to a cyclable city – safety and comfort issues are not the main barriers for all commuters, although more progress needs to be made to normalise cycling. A set of customised policy initiatives is recommended in the light of the research findings, including marketing campaigns to encourage non-commuting cycling trips, bicycle measures to target social groups as opposed to individuals, bicycle-specific programs such as “Bike-to-work Days”, and cycling courses.     

大客流扰动下的北京地铁脆弱性研究

近年来大客流对北京地铁的冲击使车站负荷强度不断增大,车站日常运营存在安全隐患,地铁系统逐渐呈现出脆弱性。地铁脆弱性表现为暴露度、易感度和适应度。鉴于地铁脆弱性体系具有层级性、定性定量结合性、多专家决策性、指标灰性等特点,综合运用层次分析法、灰色理论、模糊综合评价以及多专家决策理论,构建群体灰色层次模糊评价法(GGAHP)。基于指标体系评价法,根据现场考察、专家座谈等方式完成大客流扰动对北京地铁安全运营的影响因素识别,通过模糊德尔菲法建立评价指标体系,通过定量分析与定性评价相结合的方法,对北京地铁客流压力较大的典型车站进行脆弱性评价,并对评价结果进行分析总结。     

Intention and willingness to pay for green freight transportation: An empirical examination

The objective of this paper is to explore what motivates consumer intention and willingness to pay for green transportation. The model is based on the theory of planned behavior and explains the relationship between consumer attitude, perceived behavioral control and peer pressure on intention and willingness to pay for a t-shirt that was transported using energy efficient fuel. Data from a survey of U.S. consumers is analyzed. Results suggest consumer attitude and peer pressure are positively associated with intention which is positively associated with willingness to pay. High levels of consumer attitude, perceived behavioral control and intention suggest a positive outlook for organizations investing in green transportation initiatives. Results also suggest a need for organizations and government to market and educate consumers and citizens about the positive implications of green transportation and using energy efficient fuel.     

预测和确定汽车气动特性的新理论模型

本文以汽车空气动力学的“升力面理论”为出发点，提出一种预测和确定汽车空气动力学特性的新理论模型，并就其在评价空气动力学因素对汽车性能的影响，在研究开发气动阻力最小且同时满足汽车工程各方面要求的近地形体及车身优化设计等方面的应用价值进行了探讨。     

基于北斗救援和ISPS规则的船舶人员安保管理系统研究

研究了基于北斗短报文通信方式的船用ISPS人员管理及救援管理的系统,具体包含天地海北斗卫星网络、船舶通信网络、低功耗高可靠性的BDS北斗通信基站,提出了基于模糊集合和贝叶斯的多对多Super-Bluetooth算法,设计了手环检索和定位的BR通信基站方案,提升和实现了基于北斗救援的ISPS人员管理。     

基于双模量理论的高强度钢环肋圆柱壳 总体稳定性塑性修正方法

文章基于矩形截面压杆的双模量理论和高强度钢的材料弹塑性本构关系,建立了环肋圆柱壳结构总体稳定性塑性修正曲线及修正方法,结果表明,模型的计算结果与静水外压试验测得的塑性失稳压力值及有限元结果符合情况较好,压杆双模量理论模型虽然和环肋圆柱壳实际结构存在差异,但由此得到的塑性修正方法仍具有较好的工程精度,在应用于高强度钢环肋圆柱壳总体稳定性计算时适应性好,且形式简单,便于运用。     

轨道交通站点购票客流预测及优化技术研究

将地铁中高峰时段购票客流看成排队论系统,结合排队论知识进行数据优化,利用MATLAB编制BP神经网络模型的程序,建立仿真并预测站点购票客流及自动售票机的需求量,从而达到应急售票服务的优化,提升乘客服务满意度.并以某市大客流站点的客流数据进行论证.     

基于模糊集理论的公路建设项目综合评价

建立了一种基于模糊集理论的公路建设项目综合评价方法,分别通过评价语言变量和权重语言变量将评价指标体系的定性指标和定量指标及权重全部转化为三角形模糊数,克服了定性与定量评价指标不具可比性的缺点;基于最优度概念,将权重模糊评价矩阵转化成模糊单一评价矩阵,避免传统模糊数之间比较的复杂性和不精确性;考虑到评价者在模糊评价环境下对风险的态度,将乐观系数引入评价过程;采用TOPSIS方法计算出评价方案的综合评价分数并进行排序。实例研究结果与主成分分析法的结果一致,表明了方法的合理性和有效性。