基于Logit模型的大连市居民通勤出行行为研究

针对大连市主城区进行通勤出行方式的意向偏好调查.选取7家企事业单位的200名驾车通勤者作为研究对象,建立以私家车、公共汽车为选择对象的二元Logit模型,研究停车收费及公交服务水平的变化对不同特性停车者的出行选择方式影响.结果表明:停车收费费率及公交服务水平对城市居民的通勤出行方式选择有显著影响.将合理的停车收费体系与提高公共交通服务水平相结合,是一种优秀的交通需求管理手段.     

服役混凝土梁桥承载能力时变模型分析与应用

阐述分析了锈蚀钢筋与混凝土粘结性能、混凝土碳化衰减性能、混凝土抗压强度的时变性能、锈蚀钢筋力学性能及不同受力状况等对混凝土梁桥性能退化的影响。通过工程实际和研究,在已有资料的基础上,改进了服役钢筋混凝土梁桥承载能力模型。研究的理论基本上解决了服役混凝土梁桥的承载力评定和预测问题,为旧桥的可靠性评估奠定了基础。最后,通过工程实例的计算,具体说明了梁桥承载力验算的方法以及理论与实际的符合情况。     

北京市公共交通服务需求量双指数平滑法预测分析

根据近9 a来的历史数据,以双指数平滑法,估计了北京市公交服务需求数量近期和中期的变动趋势及需求相关特征.研究发现:(1)未来5 a的显性公交服务需求总量平均约为50亿人‘次,年均动态自适应服务需求增量区问约为0.6亿～1.4亿人.次;(2)北京市的公共交~-ffi求量对经济增长、常住人IZl总量增长和旅游人数的变动等因素高度不敏感,具有明显的粘性特征,(3)单纯的公交服务价格变动不足以从根本上改变潜在公交消费者的消费倾向.因此,需要进一步考察对于公交财政补贴的传递渠道.并结合路权的再配置方案,以便更好地改善公交消费环境,从而有效刺激公共交通服务需求量的提高.     

集包线电务设备顺利开通运用的几点经验体会

从人员、制度、培训、生产资料到位,信息沟通与协调配合,强化管理、创新思路、精细组织,做好开通后设备复查整治等4个方面总结集包铁路电务设备顺利开通运用的经验,对今后电务设备的验收、接管具有一定的借鉴意义。     

浅谈重大建设项目设计咨询驻场服务

该文根据多项重大建设项目设计咨询驻场服务的经验,详细介绍了设计咨询驻场服务的目的及意义,设计咨询驻场机构的组织架构,设计咨询驻场服务的任务及工作方法,驻场服务的主要成果等。同时推荐了一种当前比较规范、高效的设计咨询驻场服务方式,即设置设计咨询驻场机构。     

基于大数据的新能源汽车个性化售后服务推荐系统

国内新能源汽车售后服务市场起步较晚,用户满意率不高,服务体系亟待完善,在大数据的时代背景下,跳脱出固有的被动服务的思维模式,借助信息化的强大力量刻画用户画像,构建符合时代发展和用户个性化需求的主动推荐售后服务系统,由"用户主动预约"向"主动预约用户"转变,扭转我国新能源汽车售后服务市场态势,将成为我国新能源汽车售后服务发展的一大趋势。     

隧道渗漏水监测系统研究与设计

南京定淮门长江隧道为超大直径盾构隧道。为保证该隧道使用期间的安全,引入了渗漏水监测系统对隧道渗漏水病害进行监测。详细介绍了隧道渗漏水监测方案,同时,对视频监控系统、水浸监测预警系统以及现场布设方案进行了详细说明。渗漏水监测系统实现了视频图像与数据连续同步采集、自动储存数据、自动生成报表、自动报警和多方式显示等功能,为隧道的安全服役提供可靠的保障。     

Factors Influencing the Participation of Local Governmental Officials in the National Estuary Program

Participation by local governmental officials is not given the same attention in the literature as that of citizens, publics, technical experts, or stakeholders. Yet, local governments are often a keystone to successfully implementing and enforcing coastal management policies. Qualitative analysis of open-ended interviews with local government officials from three national estuary program applications in New England revealed factors related to nine themes that shaped decisions to participate or not. Three categories of factors help to clarify the different types of influence agencies have over local government officials' decisions about whether or not to participate: factors associated with the character of individuals, with the context, and with the process. This taxonomy helps to clarify the kinds of opportunities available to project leadership to influence local government officials toward participating in regional coastal management processes. An important finding is that project staff should listen and learn about the concerns of local government officials and then create a process that accommodates and overcomes barriers to their participation.     

A macroscopic taxi model for passenger demand,taxi utilization and level of services

In most urban areas taxi services are subject to various types of regulation such as entry restriction and price control. However, effective intervention depends on generating and using suitable information on the demand-supply equilibrium of the taxi market. This paper develops a simultaneous equation system of passenger demand, taxi utilization and level of services based on a taxi service situation found in the urban area of Hong Kong over the last ten years. A set of variables is introduced including number of licensed taxis, taxi fare, disposable income, occupied taxi journey time as exogenous variables and daily taxi passenger demand, passenger waiting time, taxi availability, taxi utilization and average taxi waiting time as endogenous variables. These variables are coupled together through a system of nonlinear simultaneous equations whose parameters are estimated from survey data. The simultaneous equation system can be used to obtain useful regulatory information to assist with the decisions concerning the restriction over the number of taxi licenses and the fixing of the taxi fare structure as well as a range of service quality control. This revised version was published online in June 2006 with corrections to the Cover Date.     

旅游公交出行信息服务系统设计研究

在对旅游出行信息服务需求进行分析的基础上，提出了基于旅游公交的面向旅游者的出行信息服务系统的总体结构和逻辑结构，指出了系统建设涉及的关键技术，并给出了对于整个系统的设计方案。