边坡稳定可靠性分析程序研制

研制了一个具有四大功能的边坡稳定可靠度分析系统.可以对基本随机变量异常值进行剔除和从7种常用的分布函数中选出最优的拟合函数.介绍了验算点计算过程,研究了基于稳定性系数计算式为隐函数的边坡滑动模式的响应面可靠度计算方法.将各模块功能集成系统后,对系统分析结果的准确性进行了验证.作为系统部分功能的展示,分析了某边坡工程最终可靠度对基本参数的变异性和相关性的敏感性.研究结果表明,本系统具有工程实用价值和理论意义.     

船模快速性试验的分析计算系统及其应用

介绍交通部上海船舶运输科学研究所最近开发的船模快速性试验分析计算程序系统。该系统是在原ＶＡＸ机上使用的３套计算机程序基础上发展而来的，具有精度高、程序中各种选择可灵活组合、拟合插值量与试验点值之间的偏差和标准差可显示等特点。因此该系统比以往使用的计算程序更能适合船模试验委托方所提出的种种要求，是一个比较理想的程序系统。作为系统的应用，给出了阻力、敞水、自航中试验点处的标准差，其值可作为快速性试验在计算阶段引起的不确定度基础。另外用４条船为例，考察了计算中因不同选择引起的结果差异。本系统还能作为快速性预报应用软件中的一个功能模块。     

列控系统动态检测计划管理辅助工具的研究与实践

列控系统动态检测计划的编制与管理,贯穿了整个高速铁路列控系统动态检测的全过程,从测试前期的计划编制,到测试过程中计划的改动,再到测试结束后计划的统计、查询。传统的计划管理方法对动态检测序列的管理通常比较分散,不容易查询,提出一种基于Excel VBA实现的高速铁路列控系统动态检测计划管理辅助工具,利用Excel非常强大的数据统计与数据处理能力,实现对动态检测计划的增、删、改、查、核对与输出功能,并通过实践,验证计划管理辅助工具的有效性与可靠性。     

基于Java语言的安全性分析

在网络应用中发挥着重要作用的Java是一种优秀的编程语言.Java的目标是为了满足在不同操作系统平台的网络开发软件,适合于分布式计算环境的面向对象编程语言,其安全性能显得尤其重要.现从网络应用、语言机制、运行环境3方面入手,分析比较Java和C 的安全规范,从而使我们能认识到Java在安全机制上的优势.     

数控回转头冲床自动编程系统

介绍了《数控回转头冲床自动编程系统》的功能和设计特点。它利用中Ｗｉｎｄｏｗｓ９５作为系统工作平台，直接利用产品设计时零件在计算机内的图形信息，采用人机交互方式进行数控编程，此系统适用于数控回转头冲床的自动编程，它是板金计算机辅助设计与制造（ＣＡＤ／ＣＡＭ）开发的关键。     

潜艇耐压液舱区域有限元应力计算

针对目前潜艇耐压液舱结构应力解析公式精度不高的情况,根据其受力特点建立了同心圆和准同心圆式耐压液舱结构有限元分析的力学模型,编程通过实例计算表明自编有限元程序可靠性很高,可单独作为一个模块取代传统的近似解析法进行应力分析及后续的优化设计。     

Recreational Leasing of Alaska Commercial Halibut Quota: The Early Years of the GAF Program in Alaska

The Pacific Halibut Catch Sharing Plan formalized the process for allocating halibut between the Alaska commercial and recreational charter sectors. It included a new program intended to allow for “flexibility” through inter-sectoral trading, permitting charter operators to lease commercial halibut pounds to relax client harvest restrictions. Here we evaluate the first two years of lease market activity and participation. Participation from some commercial quota holders in the lease market suggests that the program provided beneficial flexibility; in fact, the number of transfers to the charter sector was greater than transfers within the commercial sector for some quota types. We also identified a high proportion of self-leasers. However, transfers to the charter sector were on average smaller than within-sector commercial transfers, and total poundage leased by the charter sector was low compared with commercial transfers. Usage of leased quota by the recreational charter sector enables the harvest of larger fish or additional fish, and provides flexibility in catch composition on halibut closure days. Finally, the value-per-pound may be higher in the charter sector, as commercial-to-charter transfer prices approached the commercial ex-vessel price.     

德尔菲法在边坡支挡设计方案优选中的应用

针对边坡支挡设计前期信息少且设计方案影响因素多的问题,提出用德尔菲法优选边坡支挡方案的新方法。以昆洛线K1+440～+780边坡为例,聘请15位专家,经两轮征询,对边坡支挡稳定性、造价、工期、结构耐久性、对环境影响和施工安全6项方案优选的权重进行了研究,应用加权求和法得到方案的优劣排序。研究结果表明:优选方案与实际相符,可为工程设计提供重要依据。     

东莞水道大桥施工加载程序设计

东莞水道大桥是东莞五环路西环段上的一座特大桥,主桥采用三孔50 m+280 m+50 m的中承式钢管混凝土系杆拱桥。该文重点介绍该桥主桥施工加载程序设计。     

Modeling capacity flexibility of transportation networks

Flexibility of the transportation system is one of the important performance measures needed to deal with demand changes. In this paper, we provide a quantitative assessment of capacity flexibility for the passenger transportation network using bi-level network capacity models. Two approaches for assessing the value of capacity flexibility are proposed. One approach is based on the concept of reserve capacity, which reflects the flexibility with respect to changes in terms of demand volume only. The second approach allows for variations in the demand pattern in addition to changes in demand volume in order to more fully capture demand changes. Two models are developed in the second approach to consider two types of capacity flexibility. The total capacity flexibility allows all users to have both route choice and destination choice when estimating capacity flexibility. The limited capacity flexibility estimates how much more demand volume could be added to a fixed demand pattern by allowing the additional demand to deviate from the fixed demand pattern. Numerical examples are provided to demonstrate the different concepts of capacity flexibility for a passenger transportation system under demand changes.