非饱和黏性地基土的土-水特征曲线试验及模拟

内地港口地基土在地下径流和降雨入渗作用下,多为非饱和土,其土-水特性影响港口地基稳定性。以安徽淮北港非饱和黏性地基土为研究对象,开展不同初始含水率、初始干密度、竖向应力以及干湿循环次数下的土-水特征曲线(SWCC)试验。研究发现:初始干密度和竖向应力对非饱和黏性地基土SWCC的影响相似,对进气值、初气值、脱湿速率、吸湿速率和残余饱和度影响较大;初始含水率对土体脱湿、吸湿速率影响较小,随着初始含水率的提升,进气值、吸气值、残余饱和度递增;随着干湿循环作用的增强,进气值和出气值的衰减逐渐削弱。结合地基土土-水特性,修正几种常用的SWCC模型,模拟不同工况下的SWCC,通过评分的方式得到适用于淮北港非饱和黏性地基土的推荐模型。研究成果可为不同工况下非饱和黏性地基土的土-水特性及港口地基稳定性研究提供参考。     

Time-variant ultimate longitudinal strength of corroded bulk carriers

Many bulk carrier losses have been reported of late, and one of the possible causes of such casualties is thought to be the structural failure of aging hulls in rough weather. In aging ships, corrosion and fatigue cracks are the two most important factors affecting structural safety and integrity. This paper uses a set of the time-dependent corrosion wastage models for 23 different member locations/categories of bulk carriers previously developed by the authors, based on the available corrosion measurements for existing large bulk carrier structures. Differences due to the location and corrosion severity of every member type are taken into account. The nominal design corrosion values for the primary members are suggested based on the annualized corrosion rates obtained in the present study. The effect of time-variant corrosion wastage on the ultimate hull girder strength as well as the section moduli is studied. The criteria for repair and maintenance of heavily corroded structural members so as to keep the ultimate longitudinal strength at an acceptable level are discussed. Important insights and conclusions developed are summarized.     

道路交通统计生命价值测算模型及其验证

基于参数服从SB分布的混合Logit 模型进行道路交通统计生命价值的测算研究. 首先，结合意愿选择法和正交实验法设计出行路径选择调查问卷；然后，基于死亡风险系数服从对数正态分布和SB分布的混合Logit 模型，构建统计生命价值测算模型；接着以大连市私家车出行者为调查对象获得调查数据，并利用Monte Carlo 仿真方法进行模型参数标定；最后，对模型进行比较分析，并获得统计生命价值的测算值. 研究结果表明：死亡风险参数服从限制域为(0.0, 0.5)SB分布的混合Logit 模型，精确性更高且更合理；道路交通统计生命价值测算值为 105.76万元，这一结果可以作为道路交通安全项目经济评价的参考数据.     

120阀试验过程的计算机仿真——紧急阀模型及仿真结果

建立了１２０紧急阀和试验台计算仿真模型，仿真了１２０紧急阀在试验台上的试验过程，结果表明：该模型能很好的仿真１２０阀在试验台上紧急阀试验，利用模型预测了试验台管径变化对紧急阀试验性能的影响，计算发现：管径主要影响紧急灵敏度和列车管排气时间。压力表安装位置分析表明：对于气体流速较快工况，测量结果与压力表的位置相关性较大，需要慎性确定压力表位置。该工作为试验台设计、试验规范制定和１２０紧急阀性能改进提     

隧道数字化火灾预警系统的在线量化评估

为检查和评价隧道及地下空间火灾预警系统的实际功能,需要一套可行的在线评估手段。根据近年来国内外全尺寸隧道火灾发展曲线的试验结果,提出隧道火情的定义依据;引用运营隧道内准分布式光纤光栅感温火灾探测器的实测数据,证明运营中隧道报警系统的个性化现象;提出合格的数字化报警系统应存在一个在统计学意义上使漏报率和误报率同时达到期望值的合理阈值取值区间;建议以该区间的尺度作为该系统功能完好性的评估指标;对日常隧道运行温度数据的统计分析可估计合理阈值取值区间的下限,对规定条件下的现场点火试验温度数据分析可估计合理阈值取值区间的上限。在隧道运营期该区间尺度可实时在线自动更新。     

Multimodal travel groups and attitudes: A latent class cluster analysis of Dutch travelers

For developing sustainable travel policies, it may be helpful to identify multimodal travelers, that is, travelers who make use of more than one mode of transport within a given period of time. Of special interest is identifying car drivers who also use public transport and/or bicycle, as this group is more likely to respond to policies that stimulate the use of those modes. It is suggested in the literature that this group may have less biased perceptions and different attitudes towards those modes. This supposition is examined in this paper by conducting a latent class cluster analysis, which identifies (multi)modal travel groups based on the self-reported frequency of mode use. Simultaneously, a membership function is estimated to predict the probability of belonging to each of the five identified (multi)modal travel groups, as a function of attitudinal variables in addition to structural variables. The results indicate that the (near) solo car drivers indeed have more negative attitudes towards public transport and bicycle, while frequent car drivers who also use public transport have less negative public transport attitudes. Although the results suggest that in four of the five identified travel groups, attitudes are congruent with travel mode use, this is not the case for the group who uses public transport most often. This group has relatively favorable car attitudes, and given that many young, low-income travelers belong to this group, it may be expected that at least part of this group will start using car more often once they can afford it. Based on the results, challenges for sustainable policies are formulated for each of the identified (multi)modal travel groups.     

Improving the estimation of total and direction-based heavy-duty vehicle annual average daily traffic

Abstract

The estimation of annual average daily traffic (AADT) is an important parameter collected and maintained by all US departments of transportation. There have been many past research studies that have focused on ways to improve the estimation of AADT. This paper builds upon previous research and compares eight methods, both traditional and cluster-based methodologies, for aggregating monthly adjustment factors for heavy-duty vehicles (US Department of Transportation Federal Highway Administration (FHWA) vehicle classes 4–13). In addition to the direct comparison between the methodologies, the results from the analysis of variance show at the 95% confidence level that the four cluster-based methods produce statistically lower variance and coefficient of variation over the more traditional approaches. In addition to these findings – which are consistent with previous total volume studies – further analysis is performed to compare total heavy-duty monthly adjustment factors, both directions of traffic, with direction-based monthly adjustment factors. The final results show that the variance as well as the coefficient of variation improve on average by 25% when directional aggregate monthly adjustment factors are used instead of total direction.     

语料记忆在英语教学中的价值辩护与实施策略

外语学习离不开记忆，记忆的形式有多种多样。本文从多角度为语料记忆作价值辩护，阐述它的实施策略及要注意的问题，旨在说明语料记忆是在外语学习环境下提高英语学习效率的重要途径。     

关于一类二阶共轭矩阵方程的解

考虑一类二阶共轭矩阵方程 B*X*AXB+B*X*C+C*XB+D=O 其中，B∈Cp×m，A∈n×n，C∈Cn×m，D∈Cm×m，在A＞O及A≥O，C或B为列满秩阵两种情况 下，此方程可解的充分必要条件，并在有解的情况下，给出了通解的显式表示。     

奇摄动三阶非线性边值问题

利用微分不等式技巧和Volterra型积分算子，研究了三阶非线性奇摄动边值问题εx^(3)=f(t,x,x′,w(ε）x^(3)，ε），g（x′（0），x″（0）=0，x（1）=A，x′（1）=B的存在性及渐近估计。