Stability and bifurcation in network traffic flow: A Poincaré map approach

Previous studies have shown that, in a diverge-merge network with two intermediate links (the DM network), the kinematic wave model always admits stationary solutions under constant boundary conditions, but periodic oscillations can develop from empty initial conditions. Such contradictory observations suggest that the stationary states be unstable. In this study we develop a systematic approach to investigate the stability property of stationary states in this and other networks within the framework of network kinematic wave theories. Based on the observation that kinematic waves propagate in a circular path when only one of the two intermediate links is congested, we derive a one-dimensional, discrete Poincaré map in the out-flux at a Poincaré section. We then prove that the fixed points of the Poincaré map correspond to stationary flow-rates on the two links. With Lyapunov’s first method, we demonstrate that the Poincaré map can be finite-time stable, asymptotically stable, or unstable. When unstable, the map is found to have periodical points of period two, but no chaotic solutions. We further analyze the bifurcation in the stability of the Poincaré map caused by varying route choice proportions. We apply the Poincaré map approach to analyzing traffic patterns in more general (DM)ⁿ and beltway networks, which are sufficient and necessary structures for network-induced unstable traffic and gridlock, respectively. This study demonstrates that the Poincaré map approach can be efficiently applied to analyze traffic dynamics in any road networks with circular information propagation and provides new insights into unstable traffic dynamics caused by interactions among network bottlenecks.     

Airline energy efficiency measures using the Virtual Frontier Network RAM with weak disposability

In this paper, airline energy efficiency is divided into three stages: the operations stage, the services stage and the sales stage. Greenhouse gas emissions are treated as an undesirable output of the services stage. This new three-stage strategic operating framework is a modification of existing models. A new model, Virtual Frontier Network Range Adjusted Measure with weak disposability, is proposed to evaluate the efficiencies of 22 international airlines, from 2008 to 2012. The results show that the new model can establish more reasonable rankings and confirm new benchmarking airlines and that inclusion in the European Union’s Emissions Trading Scheme has had little influence on the improvement of airline energy efficiency.     

北京通信段管内部分传输网络优化

北京铁路局管内京哈、津山、津秦沈等铁路,承担着大量客货运输任务。但该线路通信设备陈旧,处理能力不足。为此,分析北京铁路局重要干线的通信传输网络问题,利用新增传输设备,完成优化整改,提高网络安全性。     

GSM-R分布式基站在多隧道区段的应用

从GSM-R分布式基站的特性入手,对组网结构、设备性能以及可维护性三方面进行了分析,并进行了大秦线多隧道区段应用GSM-R分布式基站前后质量对比,为GSM-R分布式基站在多隧道区段应用提供了可靠的理论和实践依据.     

信号采样理论在交通流检测点布设中的应用

在对交通流检测点布设领域研究应用现状进行分析与抽象的基础上,提出交通流检测点布设本质上属于空间交通流信号采样问题。依据信号采样理论,建立了确定检测点间距或密度的方法与流程,该流程包括空间交通流信号产生、离散傅里叶变换、频谱分析、间距确定、误差分析5个步骤。对高速公路拥挤状态下的仿真分析表明:100 m的检测点间距可以满足对拥挤交通流状态的真实检测,该数值接近于实际应用中的最小值(125 m),说明该理论方法具有较好的实用性。     

物流集货中心作业单元布局方法

合理布局作业单无可以使集货中心节约物料搬运费用，降低物流成本，提高作业效率。在分析物流集货中心作业流程和作业单元构成的基础上，确定影响作业单元布局的主要因素——物流关系、管理关系、安全关系等，对作业单元的相互关系分别进行定量计算，得出作业单元综合相互关系量化表，依据此表及作业单元得分排序表进行物流集货中心作业单元布局设计。案例应用表明：此布局方法提高了物流集货中心作业单元布局的合理性。     

模糊决策理论在汽车内部设计方案评价中的应用

方案评价是产品设计过程中的重要环节。分别应用模糊综合评判法、基于模糊集重心的模糊评价法和二元对比排序法对汽车内部设计方案进行定性评价,并对3种方法的评价结果进行了比较。此外,还给出了一个关于A柱盲区定量评价的实例,并建立了整车内部布置与设计的多级评价体系。指出了进一步实现基于知识工程的整车设计评价还需要解决的其他关键技术。     

Short-term Hourly Traffic Forecasts using Hong Kong Annual Traffic Census

The need for acquiring the current-year traffic data is a problem for transport planners since such data may not be available for on-going transport studies. A method is proposed in this paper to predict hourly traffic flows up to and into the near future, using historical data collected from the Hong Kong Annual Traffic Census (ATC). Two parametric and two non-parametric models have been employed and evaluated in this study. The results show that the non-parametric models (Non-Parametric Regression (NPR) and Gaussian Maximum Likelihood (GML)) were more promising for predicting hourly traffic flows at the selected ATC station. Further analysis encompassing 87 ATC stations revealed that the NPR is likely to react to unexpected changes more effectively than the GML method, while the GML model performs better under steady traffic flows. Taking into consideration the dynamic nature of the common traffic patterns in Hong Kong and the advantages/disadvantages of the various models, the NPR model is recommended for predicting the hourly traffic flows in that region.     

The multi-criteria road network design problem in an urban area

In this paper, urban network design is analysed through a heuristic multi-criteria technique based on genetic algorithms. Both network layout and link capacity (link layout and traffic lights) are optimised. Different optimisation criteria are included for users, non-users and public system managers. Demand is considered elastic with respect to mode choice; both morning and afternoon peak periods are taken into account. In addition, choice of parking location is simulated. The procedure is applied to a test and to a real transportation system.     

基于公路线形影响的护栏布设方法探讨

从公路线形对护栏及交通安全的影响角度,分析了护栏设置以及公路线形对交通事故的影响,并针对不同线形条件下护栏布设方法进行了探讨。从而能以较少的资金投入,获得较高的社会效益,同时降低交通事故的发生,减少伤亡。