The impacts of changing flight demands and throughput performance on airport delays through the Great Recession

Several significant events between 2007 and 2009 impacted flight demands and the abilities of the three major New York area airports to handle demand. This paper assesses the results of applying a probabilistic simulation method – which isolates the individual contributions of changes in flight demand and changes in airport throughput performance to changes in flight delays – to diagnose how these different events may have caused operational changes at these airports, and in turn, how the results may be used to inform policies for appropriate countermeasures. The analysis revealed two key observations. Firstly, certain patterns in throughput performance shifts caused the most significant delays, and were more likely to have been caused by controller staffing issues rather than caps. Secondly, relatively constant average delays from one year to the next may result from significant demand drops accompanied by large throughput performance degradations at an airport. This suggests that not only operational limitations on capacity encourage airlines to reduce schedules, but that changed demands can also impact throughput performance. Overall, the analysis indicates that caps may not have provided their fully intended delay benefits. Although they successfully reduced overall flight demands at LGA and JFK, they also directly limited throughput performance at critical times, in turn limiting delay benefits. In addition, demands at the busiest times of the day appear to be relatively inelastic to these operational limitations, insofar as demand profiles at EWR and JFK remained “peaky” in 2008 and 2009. Also, the recession was largely responsible for reducing demands at the airports in 2009, but the delay benefits of this were dampened by a corresponding throughput performance degradation. Based on the above observations, a more direct demand management policy combined with policies that focus on maintaining high staffing capabilities at critical times of the day may be considered, to reduce the likelihood of major queue formation on days that do experience sustained demands. The results also suggest that a more flexible caps system, particularly during times of heavy queues, could be explored. Although airport practitioners have keen understandings of how their airports operate, without the support of quantitative analysis tools, it can be more difficult to argue the need for appropriate countermeasures. An analysis such as the one presented here can provide the detailed quantitative substantiation required to build cases for these targeted policy directives and infrastructure investments.     

Towards a generic benchmarking platform for origin–destination flows estimation/updating algorithms: Design,demonstration and validation

Estimation/updating of Origin–Destination (OD) flows and other traffic state parameters is a classical, widely adopted procedure in transport engineering, both in off-line and in on-line contexts. Notwithstanding numerous approaches proposed in the literature, there is still room for considerable improvements, also leveraging the unprecedented opportunity offered by information and communication technologies and big data. A key issue relates to the unobservability of OD flows in real networks – except from closed highway systems – thus leading to inherent difficulties in measuring performance of OD flows estimation/updating methods and algorithms. Starting from these premises, the paper proposes a common evaluation and benchmarking framework, providing a synthetic test bed, which enables implementation and comparison of OD estimation/updating algorithms and methodologies under “standardized” conditions. The framework, implemented in a platform available to interested parties upon request, has been flexibly designed and allows comparing a variety of approaches under various settings and conditions. Specifically, the structure and the key features of the framework are presented, along with a detailed experimental design for the application of different dynamic OD flow estimation algorithms. By way of example, applications to both off-line/planning and on-line algorithms are presented, together with a demonstration of the extensibility of the presented framework to accommodate additional data sources.     

天然气爆炸对盾构隧道的作用机制及工后修复

为了使爆炸灾害后的盾构管片得到合理的修复方案,以某地铁盾构施工过程中挖破天然气管道导致爆炸事故为背景,通过介绍爆炸的基本特性、冲击波的传播特点及火焰波的伴生关系,归纳在天然气爆炸过程中,爆炸火焰和冲击波是决定事故危害程度的2个主要因素,同时这些因素中最危险、破坏力最强、破坏区域最大的是冲击波的破坏效应。通过计算隧道内满布天然气时的TNT当量,以及采用拟静力法模拟管片内部的超压分布并计算得到管片的变形,与第三方检测数据中的管片变形指标进行耦合,证明模拟的准确性,为提出合理的区间修复方案提供依据,同时也为类似工程事故的处理和预案提供经验。     

盾构隧道管片接缝三元乙丙橡胶密封垫力学性能影响因素敏感度分析

为研究盾构隧道管片接缝三元乙丙橡胶密封垫力学性能的影响因素,首先,以实际工程为背景,采用自主设计的试验系统进行试验,并以此验证数值模型的可靠性; 然后,利用数值模型,采用正交分析方法,对密封垫断面参数(开孔形状、断面开槽数量、断面开孔率)、密封垫橡胶材料硬度、密封垫拼装姿态(张开量、错位量)进行六因素三水平的密封垫力学性能影响因素的敏感度分析; 最后,结合力学性能研究与防水性能预测需求,提出以闭合压缩力、密封垫接触应力分布作为分析指标。研究结果表明: 1)针对密封垫装配时所需的闭合压缩力,其影响因素主次顺序为张开量、断面开孔率、橡胶硬度、开槽数量、开孔形状、其他因素以及错位量; 2)密封垫接触应力分布的影响因素主次顺序为开孔形状、断面开孔率、错位量、其他因素、张开量、橡胶硬度、开槽数量。根据研究结果选取对密封垫力学性能影响较为显著的因素进行单因素分析,然后根据分析结果及橡胶垫密封垫防水性能预测方法, 提出背景工程管片接缝密封垫的优化方案。     

基于TMS320C6416 DSP/BIOS的FLASH引导方式的实现

通过FLASH来引导DSP是实际应用中一种常见的应用方式,基于TMS320C6416 DSP/BIOS ,详细讨论如何配置存储区、代码段和数据段, 如何编写二次引导程序,生成复制表,以及怎样将COFF文件转换为便于FLASH 烧写的.hex文件.     

西安地铁隧道中隔墙加台阶法施工诱发的邻近桥桩变形及其控制措施

采用FLAC3D软件预测了地铁中隔墙加台阶法施工诱发的邻近桥桩变形规律,结果表明:桥桩最大水平变形和倾斜率均超出变形允许值,必须对既有桥桩采取加固措施才能确保其在地铁施工期间的安全使用。提出了采用袖阀管注浆技术控制桥桩变形的措施,并制定了现场监测方案。实测结果表明,加固措施能够确保桥桩变形在允许范围内,证明了提出的变形控制措施合理有效。     

Assessment of the volume of fluid method for free-surface wave flow

This study was concerned with the free-surface wave flow around a surface-piercing foil. The volume of fluid method implemented in a Navier–Stokes computational fluid dynamics code was employed. Three widely used discretization schemes for the volume of fluid method were assessed for a test case that involved general ship waves, spilling breaking waves in front of the leading edge, and bubbly free surfaces in separated regions. A single computational approach was selected for the comparison, and a grid-dependence study was carried out. The computational results were validated against existing experimental data, showing good agreement. The validation results suggest that all three discretization schemes perform well, but the best and most efficient results were obtained using the high-resolution interface capturing scheme.     

EFFECT OF EPIMEDIUM FLAVONE TOTAL(EFT) ON THE IMMUNOFUNCTION OF EHRLICH ASCITES CANCER(EAC) BEARING MICE

ＥｐｉｍｅｄｉｕｍｇｒａｄｉｆｌｏｒｕｍＭｏｒｒｉｓａｋｉｎｄｏｆｔｒａｄｉｔｉｏｎａｌｈｅｒｂｓｗｈｉｃｈｈａｓｔｈｅｅｆｆｅｃｔｓｏｆｒｅｉｎｆｏｒｃｉｎｇｔｈｅｋｉｄｎｅｙａｎｄｐｒｏｍｏｔｉｎｇＹａｎｇ，ｓｔｒｅｎｇｔｈｅｎｉｎｇｔｈｅｂｏｄｙａｎｄａｎｔｉｒｈｅｕｍａｔｉｃｓ．Ｍｏｄｅｒｎｒｅｓｅａｒｃｈｈａｄｆｏｕｎｄｏｕｔｔｈａｔｅｐｉｍｅｄｉｕｍｇｒａｄｉｆｌｏｒｕｍｍｏｒｒｈａｓｔｈｅｆｕｎｃｔｉｏｎｏｆｒｅｇｕｌａｔｉｎｇｉｍｍｕｎｏｆｕｎｃｔｉｏｎ，ｉｎｃｒｅａｓｉｎｇｔ…     

组合预测在港口吞吐量预测中的应用研究

以某港口1996—2002年吞吐量为原始数据,按照“误差平方和最小”的准则,把一元线性回归模型和GM(1,1)模型组合起来,对某港口2004—2008年的吞吐量进行了组合预测。     

THE QUANTITATIVE MEASUREMENT OF BCL-2, P53 PROTEIN AND PCNA EXPRESSION IN BREAST CARCINOMA AND THEIR CORRELATION WITH PROGNOSIS

Recently,alargenumberofresearchesindicatedthatoccurenceanddevelopmentofbreastcarcinomaswerecorrelatedwithhighexpressionofblockingapoptosisoncogene,mutationofantioncogeneandexpressionofcontrollingcellproliferativeoncogene.Therewerefewreportsondocumentsofquantitativestudyofexpressionaboutblockingapoptosisoncogene--hcf--2(Bcellleukaemia/lymphomagene),productofP53proteinandproliferatingcellnuclearantigen(PCNA)inbreastcarcinoma.Ourpurposewastoinvestigatequantitativeindexinrelationtoclinicalpathol…