不同数值积分方式对海洋结构物疲劳裂纹扩展模拟结果的影响

海洋结构物的疲劳寿命预报是当前的研究热点,文章根据第二作者率领的课题组提出的海洋结构物疲劳寿命预报统一方法比较了疲劳裂纹扩展模拟的三种数值积分方法：逐周数值积分法、△N积分法和△a积分法,并分析了每种方法的适用条件。随后,以中心表面裂纹承受单向交变拉伸载荷的平板为例,分别运用三种方法计算了裂纹扩展寿命和最终裂纹尺寸。同时,研究了△N和△a取值不同对结果的影响。最后,综合考虑计算耗时和计算结果精度,给出了△N积分法和△a积分法的建议值,即△N/N≤1.0%,△a≤0.1 mm。     

某型潜艇尾流自导鱼雷命中概率方法研究*

尾流自导鱼雷命中概率是考核鱼雷作战效能的重要指标之一,它同鱼雷自身性能和目标尾流特性有直接关系。论文在研究水面舰艇尾流特性的基础上,建立了直航目标和机动目标的尾流区域模型,分析了鱼雷的攻击态势和射击方法,提出了鱼雷捕获概率和追踪概率的计算方法。该方法对计算鱼雷武器系统命中概率有一定的指导作用。     

基于支持向量机回归树的内燃机振动信号趋势预测

针对标准回归树建立在统计分析基础上所存在的缺陷,提出一种基于支持向量机的回归树预测模型。首先,根据原始振动信号趋势序列构建回归树;然后,针对回归树上包含样本数过少的节点,利用支持向量机,建立能够反映重要变量与响应变量之间映射关系的回归模型。仿真结果表明:即便由于设备出现异常,导致振动信号趋势序列出现非平稳、突变情况,该方法也能准确地预测,性能优于标准分析方法,具有一定的工程实用性。     

基于灰色层次法的指挥信息系统作战效能评估

从指挥信息系统的概念人手介绍了目前评估系统效能的各种方法,指出了它们各有其适用性和局限性,并依据灰色系统理论介绍了一种改进的评估方法：灰色层次分析法,描述了利用该方法进行评估的基本步骤。通过给出一个灰色评估案例,验证了应用灰色层次分析法来评估指挥信息系统作战效能的正确性和实用性。     

AUV动力电池技术的应用现状及展望

从能量密度、循环寿命和安全性等方面介绍常用动力电池的特点,主要类型包括铅酸电池、锌银电池等传统电池和锂电池、燃料电池等新型电池。结合AUV的发展前景,对AUV对动力电池的发展要求进行分析,对AUV的充电方式进行总结,介绍锂电池管理系统的功能,以期能为新能源驱动的AUV研究提供一定参考。     

Optimal joint distance and time toll for cordon-based congestion pricing

This paper addresses the optimal toll design problem for the cordon-based congestion pricing scheme, where both a time-toll and a nonlinear distance-toll (i.e., joint distance and time toll) are levied for each network user’s trip in a pricing cordon. The users’ route choice behaviour is assumed to follow the Logit-based stochastic user equilibrium (SUE). We first propose a link-based convex programming model for the Logit-based SUE problem with a joint distance and time toll pattern. A mathematical program with equilibrium constraints (MPEC) is developed to formulate the optimal joint distance and time toll design problem. The developed MPEC model is equivalently transformed into a semi-infinite programming (SIP) model. A global optimization method named Incremental Constraint Method (ICM) is designed for solving the SIP model. Finally, two numerical examples are used to assess the proposed methodology.     

A stochastic optimization approach for the selection of reflective cracking mitigation techniques

PurposeIn Hot Mix Asphalt (HMA) overlays, the existing cracks in the underlying pavements can propagate upward to the new added overlay and may cause Reflective Cracks (RC). These cracks allow water infiltration to the underlying layers and causes further moisture damage as well as weakening the unbound layers. Over the years, several methods have been developed for mitigating the RCs. This study aims to investigate the current reflective cracking mitigation methods and develop a methodology for the selection of appropriate mitigation technique. The developed model is then applied to a case study in the state of Florida.MethodTo accomplish this goal, a nationwide literature review was conducted to better understand the current in practice methods in the United States. Moreover, a life cycle cost analysis (LCCA) in five different road types was performed to find the annuity of roadway rehabilitation for each of the mitigation methods. The uncertainty in the LCCA results is represented using Exploratory Modeling and Analysis (EMA) method. Then through a Multi Criteria Decision Making (MCDM) model, a stochastic optimization model was developed to find the appropriate reflective cracking mitigation solution under Florida’s climate and road conditions, based on different cost and performance weights.ResultsBased on the available data for the state of Florida, the LCCA results indicate that the annuity of maintaining the roadway with Fabrics and ISAC are lower compared to other methods. However, the results of stochastic optimization model reveal that while looking at the performance and cost at the same time, different methods would be more feasible. For instance, while the cost of the used method does not matter at all and only performance matters, STRATA® is more probable to be the appropriate mitigation technique. The findings of this research are critical for decision makers to better understand the most cost-effective mitigation technique in different conditions.     

荷坳隧道四洞小净距段支护结构设计研究北大核心CSCD

多洞空间小净距隧道支护结构参数量化设计与安全性分析是当前设计中的一大难题。文章针对深圳机荷高速公路荷坳隧道四洞小净距段的设计,采用总安全系数法对四洞的开挖与支护模式、各洞的开挖顺序及支护参数进行了研究比较,并采用隧规荷载-结构法、增量法、地层-结构法对支护结构的安全系数进行了对比计算,得出以下结论:(1)提出了基于总安全系数法原理的多洞空间小净距隧道设计方法;(2)根据总安全系数法得出了荷坳隧道四洞小净距段应采用“先行洞二次衬砌完成后再开挖下一孔隧道”的开挖与支护模式,且应按洞1→洞2→洞3→洞4的开挖顺序施工;(3)隧规荷载-结构法、增量法、地层-结构法虽无法得出结构的总承载安全系数,但在一定程度上可以反应部分支护结构的安全性。     

基于湿度应力场理论的膨胀土边坡稳定分析

边坡土体中的膨胀力是导致膨胀土边坡失稳的主要原因之一。文章基于湿度应力场理论,采用ANSYS软件的热传导分析功能模拟分析边坡的降雨入渗以及膨胀变形,并采用有限元强度折减法对不同条件下边坡安全系数进行计算,分析了膨胀土边坡稳定规律,为膨胀土边坡处治提供理论依据。     

橡胶粉改性MAC沥青混合料路用性能的研究

主要讨论了橡胶粉在MAC沥青混合料中的应用,研究了橡胶粉干法改性沥青混合料高温性能、抗水损害性能及混合料的抗飞散性能,证明了其优良的路用价值。