万州晒网坝滑坡变形机理及稳定性规律跟踪研究

针对万州晒网坝滑坡地质勘查与长期监测滑移趋势不一致的现状,进行滑移机理跟踪,并通过物探验证跟踪结论。研究了135～175 m范围变化库水位及24 h强降水对该滑坡稳定性的影响,揭示了真实滑移面地质状况,纠正了地勘存在的不足,同时分析了滑移破坏机理。结果表明:该滑坡整体稳定、局部缓慢滑移;并提出了埋入式抗滑桩、裂隙封闭及地表排水的维护方案。     

A cause of oversupply and failure in the shipping market: measuring herding behavior effects

ABSTRACT

The shipping market is volatile. In general, the shipping market cycle shows four stages, through—recovery—peak—collapse, while a upward trend lasts for 7~8 years and a downward trend for another 7~8 years. So the market’s bubble is not sustainable but always ends in a recessionary trend. The economic cycle is common knowledge and an axiom of the shipping industry, but many ship-owners take no account of it. Previous study stated that ship-owners’ fears, triggered by a violently changeable market, make them mimic the crowd mind or herd mentality, following market sentiment. This study aims to measure the effects of herding behavior (HB), triggered by market sentiment, on the shipping market. We attempt to address two research questions: (1) How does HB arise, and what course does it follow? (2) How many vessels (or how many tons) were purchased under the influence of HB? We estimate that 50.5% (227.8 vessels) of the total vessels or 30.4% (3,670.2 tons) of the total tonnage were purchased under the influence of HB. Looking at international finance, we found that ship investment HB is a very strong factor of the recent shipping market, at least in Korea.     

巴东红层路堑边坡失稳机理分析及治理措施

巴东组红层是中国红层的典型代表。以湖北宜巴高速公路红层路堑边坡为例,采用定性分析与定量分析相结合的方法,对其失稳机理进行分析。结果表明:降雨作用是诱发滑坡的主要原因,并对路堑边坡治理,提出以抗滑挡墙与锚杆框架梁等相结合的加固措施,达到了较好的治理效果。     

基于破坏概率分析的滑坡稳定性评价

结合三峡库区某滑坡的治理工程,利用Slope/W软件将破坏概率分析对滑坡的稳定性进行评价。研究结果表明:基于破坏概率分析的滑坡稳定性评价,可以降低由于抗剪强度参数的随机性、测试的误差、地质体的不均匀性、外界因素变化的随机性等对于滑坡稳定性评价结果的影响,能较为客观地反映岩性的实际分布状况。相比单一稳定性系数评价滑坡稳定性的方法,将滑坡破坏概率与传统的稳定性系数相结合,可较客观地评价滑坡的实际稳定状态。分析结果表明:在滑坡含水饱和+地震条件下,该滑坡处于破坏状态。     

电站柴油机润滑不良导致气缸损伤的故障分析与排除

介绍了一起电站柴油机润滑不良导致气缸损伤的故障分析与排除,指出柴油机润滑机油一定要按牌号要求添加,并注意观察柴油机的工作情况,出现异常情况应尽早分析并解决。     

公路独柱窄幅桥梁倾覆稳定性能

基于公路、铁路相关规范关于桥梁抗倾覆性能条文的不同规定,采用剪力-柔性梁格分析方法,对一座多跨独柱曲线预应力混凝土桥梁进行横向整体抗倾覆稳定性分析。采用桥梁结构专用分析程序,针对两种典型支座布置下的算例桥梁进行计算简化并建立空间网格分析模型。认为,针对公路独柱曲线窄幅桥梁,采用公、铁2种计算方法的结果基本接近。建议采用公路桥梁计算表达式进行结构设计,以增大其安全储备;采用铁路桥梁计算表达式对其进行结构验算,可有效简化验算工作,并能真实反映结构的横向整体抗倾覆性能。     

高水位环境下沉管隧道模袋砂围堰破坏模式研究

为研究高水位环境下沉管隧道模袋砂围堰的破坏形态与破坏机制,依托广州市洲头咀沉管隧道,通过室内试验和理论分析,探讨高水位环境下沉管隧道高坡率模袋砂围堰失稳破坏形态,提出相应的破坏控制指标与评价方法,并通过数值计算验证。研究结果表明： 1) 硬质地基中,模袋砂围堰在竖向荷载作用下会出现边角处应力集中张拉破坏与砂袋界面处应变局部化破坏,水平荷载作用下表现为内部或整体滑动; 2) 软弱地基中,由于地基承载力不足,会引起围堰局部脱离或底层模袋张拉破坏; 3) 实际工程中,模袋砂围堰中的模袋难以被贯穿撕裂,无法形成围堰内部整体弧形滑动; 4) 模袋砂围堰存在明显的包裹增强效应,能有效提高整体稳定性,高水位环境中模袋砂围堰设计坡率显著大于常规土石坝围堰设计坡率。     

大吨位CFRP拉索锚固系统静力性能研究

为研究大吨位CFRP拉索锚具的锚固性能及极限承载力,实现CFRP拉索的可靠锚固,设计了19根CFRP筋大吨位机械夹持-黏结型复合式锚具,对其进行了静载试验研究和理论分析.试验中对筋材滑移、筋材应变和钢套筒应变分布进行测试;利用ANSYS软件建立大吨位锚具有限元模型,对筋材滑移量、钢套筒环向和纵向应变进行分析,探明了锚固...     

Strength reliability analysis of stiffened cylindrical shells considering failure correlation

The stiffened cylindrical shell is commonly used for thepressure hull of submersibles and the legs of offshore platforms.There are various failure modes because of uncertainty with thestructural size and material properties, uncertainty of the calculationmodel and machining errors. Correlations among failure modesmust be considered with the structural reliability of stiffenedcylindrical shells. However, the traditional method cannot considerthe correlations effectively. The aim of this study is to present amethod of reliability analysis for stiffened cylindrical shells whichconsiders the correlations among failure modes. Firstly, the jointfailure probability calculation formula of two related failure modesis derived through use of the 2D joint probability density function.Secondly, the full probability formula of the tandem structuralsystem is given with consideration to the correlations among failuremodes. At last, the accuracy of the system reliability calculation isverified through use of the Monte Carlo simulation. Result of theanalysis shows the failure probability of stiffened cylindrical shellscan be gained through adding the failure probability of each mode.     

动车组故障知识管理系统技术的研究

动车组作为一种铁路客运货运设备,具有快速、安全和高标准的服务功能.如何保障动车组安全高效运行是工作重点,动车组故障数据对动车检修及制造具有极大的参考作用.此外,合理的知识管理能够增强综合竞争实力,利于做出更为合理的决策,能够将最需要的知识及时传送给最需要的人,实现组织和个人之间的信息共享,并以不同的方式加以实践,最终达到提高业绩的目的.正是基于对上述知识管理优点的考虑,本文将知识管理引入到对动车组故障数据的分析中,以实现动车组故障知识的共享、交流和转换.论文在分析动车组故障知识管理系统业务需求的基础上设计了系统总体架构及其内部功能模块.