Impact assessment of extreme weather events on transport networks: A data-driven approach

The present paper presents a data-driven method for assessing the resilience of the European passenger transport network during extreme weather events. The method aims to fill in the gap of current research efforts regarding the quantification of impacts attributed to climate change and the identification of substitutability opportunities between transport modes in case of extreme weather events (EWE). The proposed method consists of three steps concerning the probability estimation of an EWE occurring within a transportation network, the assessment of its impacts and the passengers’ flow shift between various transport modes. A mathematical formulation for the proposed data-driven method is provided and applied in an indicative European small-scale network, in order to assess the impacts of EWE on modal choice. Results are expressed in passenger differentiated flows and the paper concludes with future research steps and directions.     

一种基于动态分析的突变和异常波动预警方法

针对模拟量的突变和异常波动预警,给出一种基于动态分析的、可以应用于各种模拟量的统一预警方法,该方法已被应用于CSM-TH型集中监测程序和智能分析系统中,在多条线700余站现场运行的7年中,收到良好效果,得到用户认可。     

Are technology myths stalling aviation climate policy?

Emissions from aviation will continue to increase in the future, in contradiction of global climate policy objectives. Yet, airlines and airline organisations suggest that aviation will become climatically sustainable. This paper investigates this paradox by reviewing fuel-efficiency gains since the 1960s in comparison to aviation growth, and by linking these results to technology discourses, based on a two-tiered approach tracing technology-focused discourses over 20 years (1994–2013). Findings indicate that a wide range of solutions to growing emissions from aviation have been presented by industry, hyped in global media, and subsequently vanished to be replaced by new technology discourses. Redundant discourses often linger in the public domain, where they continue to be associated with industry aspirations of ‘sustainable aviation’ and ‘zero-emission flight’. The paper highlights and discusses a number of technology discourses that constitute ‘technology myths’, and the role these ‘myths’ may be playing in the enduring but flawed promise of sustainable aviation. We conclude that technology myths require policy-makers to interpret and take into account technical uncertainty, which may result in inaction that continues to delay much needed progress in climate policy for aviation.     

乾元公司铁路专用线场站模式探讨

目前,传统的铁路专用线建设模式是铁路专用线自接轨站接轨,通过区间正线引入厂区的建设模式,这种模式的区间正线受地形条件、厂区位置和沿线规划影响较大,这些影响将不可避免地导致铁路专用线建设工程投资的增加,如能根据运输性质考虑缩短区间正线长度,在接轨站旁边设装车作业站,将大大减少专用线工程投资.以乾元公司铁路专用线建设模式为例来研究铁路专用线场站模式,就如何在接轨站旁边设装车作业站,实现接轨站设备与铁路专用线共用进行探讨.     

温度变化引起桥梁裂缝的分析与预防

温度裂缝是桥梁裂缝常见形式之一,通过对温度裂缝产生原因的分析,提出了可以借鉴和使用的预防方法,希望对桥梁施工有所帮助。     

采用变化基本体的授课方法以提高教学效果

在《机械（工程）制图》教学中,学生对基本体的变化及其在实际中的应用难以理解,文中介绍提高基本体教学效果的方法。     

���ڹ��ܷ����ij��е�·�����ν������о�

城市道路网络中,各等级道路之间衔接的合理与否直接关系到相关道路乃至整个道路网络期望功能的实现。本文以不同等级道路功能分析为基础,提出城市综合交通规划的道路网规划,以交通功能为主要目标的城市道路网络系统专项规划,以服务功能为主要目标的道路网络衔接规划的总体思路。结合以概率统计为基础的蒙特卡罗算法,分别计算交通功能和服务功能的系统可靠度,以作为不同阶段道路网络衔接的主要评价指标,并探讨道路网络衔接中的越级交叉问题。最后以郑州市某区域道路网络为例,验证了本文方法的可行性与适用性。     

T型接头横向埋藏裂纹扩展特性

基于断裂力学理论和有限元分析,研究T型接头横向埋藏裂纹扩展特性,实现了双向拉伸载荷作用下T型接头横向埋藏裂纹扩展形状变化的数值模拟。结果表明:T型接头横向埋藏裂纹扩展至结构表面时的形状为近圆形,与裂纹埋藏位置和初始形状无关;埋藏于焊趾端部板材中的裂纹扩展快于埋藏于焊缝中的裂纹扩展。     

成都铁路枢纽应急应战工程保障方案设计原则

结合成都铁路枢纽所处的重要战略地位,依据当前军事斗争铁路保障准备要求,提出了战时枢纽编组站线路、桥梁、隧道、车站、迂回线等遭到敌人精确制导武器打击破坏时,抢修抢建、迅速恢复通车的设计原则,以指导铁路枢纽保障方案设计,提高工程保障方案实施的针对性和可操作性。     

Phase change analysis of an underwater glider propelled by the ocean's thermal energy

The phase change characteristic of the power source of an underwater glider propelled by the ocean's thermal energy is the key factor in glider attitude control. A numerical model has been established based on the enthalpy method to analyze the phase change heat transfer process under convective boundary conditions. Phase change is not an isothermal process,but one that occurs at a range of temperature. The total melting time of the material is very sensitive to the surrounding temperature. When the temperature of the surroundings decreases 8 degrees,the total melting time increases 1.8 times. But variations in surrounding temperature have little effect on the initial temperature of phase change,and the slope of the temperature time history curve remains the same. However,the temperature at which phase change is completed decreases significantly. Our research shows that the phase change process is also affected by container size,boundary conditions,and the power source's cross sectional area. Materials stored in 3 cylindrical containers with a diameter of 38mm needed the shortest phase change time. Our conclusions should be helpful in effective design of underwater glider power systems.