主导产业理论对区域汽车产业战略选择的挑战

在我国经济发展中,确定汽车产业是主导产业是十分重要的。目前在各省经济界对汽车产业是否为支柱产业,是否为主导产业有不同的意见。从理论和实践层面,从产业间产业结构演变规律和汽车业自身发展规律入手,说明了汽车产业在我国国民经济发展中的主导作用。     

应用交通仿真软件PARAMICS验证交通分配模型

为了考察交通分配模型能够在多大程度上反映现实的交通状况，需要对交通分配模型进行验证，本文阐述了利用微观交通仿软件PARAMICS对交通分配模型进行验证的研究思路。通过建模工具Modeller提供的图形界面，研究者不但能够非常直观地观察交通分配模型的效果，而且可以利用其分析工具Analyser对结果全面分析。因此RARAMICS是一个验证交通分配模型性能优良的平台。     

大型购物中心诱增交通量预测方法研究

近年来，随着人们生活水平的提高和消费观念的改变，shopping mall正在中国越来越热。shopping mall由于体量庞大，它的建设无疑会对城市道路交通体系产生较大的影响。本文在对北京mall交通影响分析实践的基础上，根据购物(休闲娱乐)出行需求的特点，提出了大型购物中心诱增交通量预测的思路，并重点阐述了商圈分析法和非集计模型在诱增交通量预测中的应用，取得了较好的效果。     

一种新的交通流矢量场微观模型

在分析非机动车行驶特性的基础上 ,根据场的理论与相关的交通流理论 ,用矢量表示非机动车的速度与加速度 ,综合考虑周围所有运动物体与道路的影响 ,建立了一种新的非机动车流矢量场微观模型 ,仿真与回归分析的结果证明该模型能准确地实现非机动车的交通特点     

车辆碰撞事故空间模拟再现系统开发研究

在完成了车辆碰撞事故分析计算方法研究的基础上,建立汽车三维四轮动力学计算模型,并引入OpenGL标准图形库与VisualC 编程环境相结合的三维真实感图形技术,开发了针对实际车辆碰撞交通事故的空间模拟再现系统。     

基于灰色评价理论的自适应最优路径选择

充分考虑了驾驶员在路径选择中的不同要求,依据层次分析法和灰色评价理论建立了一种根据驾驶员的偏好自适应选择最优路径的方法,并设计了相应的决策支持系统,为智能交通流诱导系统的进一步发展铺平了道路。     

城市道路交通噪声影响模糊评价

采用模糊综合多级评判方法评价城市道路交通环境噪声污染,其中包含了道路交通噪声对居民的实际冲击影响的综合比较评价,能够清晰地确定所测小区受噪声影响的程度,并通过实例验证了该方法的有效性和科学性。     

Spatial econometric analysis of automobile and motorcycle traffic on Indonesian national roads and its socio-economic determinants: Is it local or beyond city boundaries?

The purpose of this paper is to verify the justification provided for a centralized national road policyin Indonesia, namely, that trips on national roads are typically inter-urban, by measuring the spatialdimensions of automobile and motorcycle trips on national roads in Indonesia. The study finds thatmotorcycle trips are characteristically local; by contrast, automobile trips extend beyond city boundaries,although to a limited extent. The results suggest the decentralization of transportation policies for thedevelopment and maintenance of national roads by granting autonomy to local governments when nofiscal externality exists. The results also indicate that road capacity, gasoline prices, income, populationand worker density, city size, and the number of public buses are strong predictors of vehicle kilometerstraveled.     

Development of analytical procedure for selection of control measures to reduce congestions at various freeway bottlenecks

Variable speed limit (VSL) and ramp metering (RM) affect freeway traffic operations in different ways and, accordingly, result in different effects on system travel time. The primary objective of this study is to propose an analytical procedure to help determine which control measure should be selected given different freeway bottlenecks and traffic conditions. The bottlenecks considered included an isolated merge bottleneck, a merge bottleneck with a closely spaced upstream off-ramp, and a diverge bottleneck with a closely spaced upstream on-ramp. Two RM and a VSL control strategies were considered, including the ALINEA, ALINEA/Q and feedback based VSL. The maximum achievable improvements in system efficiency by various control measures were calculated and the results were tested using modified cell transmission models. A coordinated control strategy that combined ALINEA/Q and VSL control was also proposed. The effects of VSL and RM control on system travel time at different freeway bottleneck areas were compared to identify the applicable conditions of different control measures. The analytical procedure was proposed for the selection of control measures at different bottlenecks and the ex-ante estimation of control effects were also discussed.     

快速公交系统离散仿真框架 的设计和实施

世界范围内,快速公交系统是缓解许多城市交通拥挤问题的有效方法之一.然 而,系统的成功与否依赖多种因素,如服务规划、基础设施、车站设计、乘客信息系统及系 统的集成和接口等.本文基于离散事件系统,构建了快速公交系统（BRT）的计算机仿真 框架.这种方法在评估各种变量对BRT 运行效果的影响时能够节约成本.结果表明,一部 分子系统能够直接用于模拟典型的BRT 系统.数值试验证明,开发的子系统能够合理地 再现实际BRT 系统中的常见情况.