公交站点交通拥挤的车流波动理论分析

公交站点是交通拥挤的常发地点。文章应用车流波动理论分析了公交站点的交通拥挤状况，分别对有公交专用道路和无公交专用道路两种情况下的交通拥挤进行了分析，并应用TSIS交通微观仿真软件对北京市西大望路上八王坟公交站点的交通状况进行了仿真研究，验证了文章的结论。     

灰色理论在土石混填路基工后沉降预测中的应用

运用灰色理论建立了土石混填路基的非等时距预测模型,同时,为了预测土石混填路基工后沉降,建立了土石混填路基工后沉降的GM(2,1)模型。通过实例计算表明,GM(2,1)模型预测精度较GM(1,1)灰色模型高,在土石混填路基工后沉降预测中具有较大的实用价值。     

城市交通区域智能协调控制研究

针对我国城市混合交通状态复杂多变，随机性大，具有分布式交通区域控制等特点，利用多智能体技术和融合技术对其进行研究，提出了基于多智能体技术和融合技术的城市交通区域控制系统框架和智能体的内部结构，并采用博弈再励学习方法进行优化控制和区域协调，实现城市交通控制区域智能协调和全局优化，最后通过仿真分析说明算法的有效性。     

20世纪中国正义问题研究综述

正义学说是西方政治哲学中关于评价社会制度和人的社会行为的基本道德标准的理论。2 0世纪 80年代以来 ,中国学者对当代西方正义理论进行了阐释与廓清 ,梳理了西方思想史上正义理论发展的理论脉络并分析了其特点 ;在此基础上 ,中国学者在指出了西方正义理论存在着严重缺陷后论证了马克思主义的正义观 ,又从多个角度对正义问题进行了探讨 ,分析了国内正义理论研究的特点和存在的问题 ,并对当代中国正义理论建构提出了看法。     

弹性停车激励机制下驾车者竞价行为演化机理研究

在获取通勤驾车者个体活动出行轨迹及停车竞价数据的基础上，构建基于生存分析理论的驾车者竞价行为演化模型，解析不同因素对停车竞价行为的影响机理；应用灵敏度分析方法，研究激励方案及职住区位设施供给对竞价持续时长的作用规律.结果表明：弹性停车激励机制使原本为“耐用品”的停车泊位转变为“消耗品”，可以通过竞价激励方式降低驾车者的小汽车依赖性，提高城市停车泊位利用率；在弹性停车激励机制作用下，驾车者的泊位共享积极性不仅受自身社会经济属性影响，还受职住区位特征及竞价激励方案的影响；随着通勤驾车者停车泊位共享积极性的增强，参与停车竞价的次数越多，竞价行为的持续时间越长.     

Mathematical model of steel lazy-wave riser abandonment and recovery in deepwater

To meet the increasing applications of the deepwater steel lazy-wave riser (SLWR), the riser abandonment and recovery (A&R) is a great challenge for SLWR installation and its mechanical analysis is necessary and significant. This paper is focused on the abandonment and recovery process which is of great importance to the installation feasibility and analysis. A comprehensive mechanical model based on the nonlinear large deformation beam theory for simulating the deepwater SLWR is proposed. And a simple and suitable model for analyzing the A&R cable is developed. The presented model with detailed boundary conditions is able to deal with three different A&R methods. Numerical analysis is conducted by the finite difference method to investigate the riser configurations and somev important mechanical parameters of the pipeline and cable which exert influences on the riser's performance and the A&R cable's requirement. Parametric comparison study is conducted to analyze the advantage of different method. The proposed model can help on development of deepwater SLWR A&R design and analysis.     

Applying the Value-Belief-Norm Theory to Marine Contexts: Implications for Encouraging Pro-Environmental Behavior

Encouraging pro-environmental behavior among protected area visitors and other stakeholders has become a priority for marine resource managers. However, there exists a lack of understanding of the human dimensions of resource management regarding the perceptions and attitudes of stakeholders. Using the value-belief-norm theory of environmentalism (VBN) as a framework, the purposes of this investigation were to: 1) test a model of variables that influence stakeholders' intentions to adopt pro-environmental behavior in two marine protected areas (i.e., the Great Barrier Reef Marine Park and the Florida Keys National Marine Sanctuary); and 2) using the relevant literature and information gleaned from the model, suggest techniques that managers can use to encourage pro-environmental intentions. Acceptable goodness-of-fit indices for both of the structural equation models (one for each protected area) provided empirical support for the usefulness of the VBN framework to guide both research in marine contexts and marine protected area management efforts to encourage stakeholders' intentions to engage in pro-environmental behavior. Specific suggestions include increasing stakeholders. knowledge about impacts via environmental education strategies, increasing their awareness of their impacts and their efficacy in mitigating those impacts (e.g., workshops), and developing interpersonal relationships among managers and stakeholders (e.g., implementation intention and follow-up strategies).     

地铁车站票务设备节能优化研究

为解决城市轨道交通车站售票能力冗余导致城市电力资源及地铁公司运营成本闲置的问题,分析普通车站日常客流分布,综合考虑地铁车站售票设备成本和乘客的时间成本因素,建立地铁车站售票设备开启数量优化模型,同时通过排队论和Lingo软件进行计算,获得最优化的地铁车站售票设备开启数量。以郑州地铁农业南路站的日常客流为例,应用地铁车站售票设备开启数量优化模型,计算得到农业南路站售票设备优化方案,通过优化方案进行节能成果分析证明,该方案可有效节约城市电力资源及地铁公司运营成本。     

基于规范载荷的舰船设计海况等级确定方法

针对军用规范载荷难以给出舰船设计海况等级的问题,本文通过三维时域非线性水弹性理论分析了舰船在典型航速、不同海况下的波浪载荷极值与规范载荷之间的对应关系,进而提出了一种明确舰船设计海况等级的方法。以某型舰船为例,基于该方法确定了该型舰船的设计海况等级。研究成果表明：该方法可有效明确舰船规范载荷对应下的设计海况等级,在一定程度上为舰船的安全使用提供参考。     

泥沙模型的粒径相似比尺问题

运用相似理论对泥沙模型的粒径比尺进行了分析,提出了推移质、悬移质和全沙模型泥沙粒径相似条件;给出了包括细沙在内的泥沙起动粒径比尺的统一计算式和适用不同流区的悬沙粒径比尺的统一计算式;指出模型砂的起动流速不等于模型的起动流速,需进行比尺效应修正。