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通过分析美国、英国、日本和我国目前的交通影响分析方法、过程和亟待解决的一些问题，探讨了在交通影响分析中增加环境影响评价、可达性评价等，提出了多指标交通影响分析方法.多指标交通影响分析方法不仅能定量计算城市建设项目带来的在道路和交叉口上新增的交通流量，而且能够计算新增交通量对环境和土地利用的负面影响，从而更全面地考虑城市建设项目对交通的影响.     

基于节点需求重要度的交通区位路网布局研究

根据区域需求的差异特性,基于节点需求重要度的改进交通区位路网布局方法,在路网布局规划中符合实际情况,能够取得良好的效果,具有应用推广价值.     

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随着社会经济的快速发展，北京市居民出行需求日益增长,机动车辆拥有量也随之迅猛上升。北京市1986年和2000年的居民出行调查结果表明，在过去的15年内，居民交通出行模式发生了变化，公交出行比例比原来略有减少，主要的变化是原来的自行车出行这部分中，有很大一部分转变为机动车出行。本文通过对类似规模的几个国际大都市交通出行结构演变过程的回顾，找出其关键之处在于采用政策策略促使居民出行选择有利于城市可持续发展模式；根据广泛调查和专家资讯，确定了一个北京城市交通出行各种方式的合理比例，作为发展目标；并参考发达国家和一些快速发展的国家和城市的经验，提出了达到这个目标的对策和策略。     

Using BDI agents to improve driver modelling in a commuter scenario

The use of multi-agent systems to model and to simulate real systems consisting of intelligent entities capable of autonomously co-operating with each other has emerged as an important field of research. This has been applied to a variety of areas, such as social sciences, engineering, and mathematical and physical theories. In this work, we address the complex task of modelling drivers’ behaviour through the use of agent-based techniques. Contemporary traffic systems have experienced considerable changes in the last few years, and the rapid growth of urban areas has challenged scientific and technical communities. Influencing drivers’ behaviour appears as an alternative to traditional approaches to cope with the potential problem of traffic congestion, such as the physical modification of road infrastructures and the improvement of control systems. It arises as one of the underlying ideas of intelligent transportation systems. In order to offer a good means to evaluate the impact that exogenous information may exert on drivers’ decision making, we propose an extension to an existing microscopic simulation model called Dynamic Route Assignment Combining User Learning and microsimulAtion (DRACULA). In this extension, the traffic domain is viewed as a multi-agent world and drivers are endowed with mental attitudes, which allow rational decisions about route choice and departure time. This work is divided into two main parts. The first part describes the original DRACULA framework and the extension proposed to support our agent-based traffic model. The second part is concerned with the reasoning mechanism of drivers modelled by means of a Beliefs, Desires, and Intentions (BDI) architecture. In this part, we use AgentSpeak(L) to specify commuter scenarios and special emphasis is given to departure time and route choices. This paper contributes in that respect by showing a practical way of representing and assessing drivers’ behaviour and the adequacy of using AgentSpeak(L) as a modelling language, as it provides clear and elegant specifications of BDI agents.     

The effect of prices and income on car travel in the UK

The objective of this paper is to analyse the factors determining household car travel, and specifically the effects of household income and the prices of cars and motor fuels, and to explore the intertemporal pattern of adjustment. The question of asymmetry in the response to rising and falling income is also addressed. Such asymmetry may be caused by habit or resistance to change or the tendency to acquire habits to consume more easily than to abandon them. The impact of prices, the speed of adjustment and the resistance to change will be important in determining the possibility of influencing travel behaviour and specifically car use. The study utilises repeated cross-section data from the annual UK Family Expenditure Surveys and employs a pseudo-panel methodology. The results are compared with those for car ownership estimated on the basis of similar models.     

近年世界油运市场的发展与趋势

总结了近年世界石油海运市场的需求、供给、发到船量与运价的发展趋势,对中国油运船队的发展提出一些看法。     

城市轨道交通线网规模的确定方法

城市轨道交通适当的发展规模与城市的人口规模、城市面积以及经济发展水平等因素有关。在分析总结快速轨道交通线网合理规模的匡算方法基础上,并对以城市面积及估算轨道年客运量综合计算法进行改进,提出综合因素法。通过对比分析各种匡算方法在合肥市应用的结果;说明综合因素法适合应用于轨道交通线网合理规模的确定问题。     

停车需求预测方法及应用

工程领域传统的停车需求预测方法存在两大缺陷,不能保证停车需求总量预测结果处于现实的合理区间,且模糊了停车泊位与车辆之间的内在联系。为了克服这些缺陷,提出了停车泊位总量约束的需求-供应预测方法,将停车需求划分为住宅区内、工作地和访问地3类,根据机动车拥有情况和分目的机动车出行OD进行预测,能够较为细致地预测各类停车需求的空间分布状况。最后,将停车泊位总量约束的需求-供应预测方法应用于《温州市停车发展专项规划》中,证明了该方法的合理性和可行性。     

城市道路照明节能探讨

文章针对目前城市道路照明存在的问题,结合对城市路灯照明的能耗分析,提出了道路照明节能途径,为缓解城市道路照明与电力供应紧张的矛盾提出了解决的方案。