基于参数横摇的航行安全性研究

\t\t  目的  由于超大型集装箱船在波浪中稳性高的变化较为显著,对其参数横摇校核与安全评估要求较高,因此,\t\t  方法  基于参数横摇模式,针对在迎浪中航行的某10 000 TEU集装箱船,对其各个装载状况逐一并逐级进行计算。自主开发基于典型弱非线性三自由度模型的数值预报方法,对不满足第2层衡准要求的载况进行时域模拟,并综合考虑航速、波况的影响,全面探索其可能发生参数横摇的工况。\t\t  结果  根据衡准结果,得出相应的安全性评估与规避措施：降低重心高度、适当提高航速、尽量避免船舶横摇固有周期约等于2倍遭遇周期等均能有效避免参数横摇的发生。\t\t  结论  对10 000 TEU集装箱船进行的参数横摇全面校核评估能够更好地指导超大型集装箱船的总体设计,提高安全水平,具有较高的工程应用及参考价值。     

A conceptual and methdological framework for the generation of activity-travel patterns

This paper develops a conceptual framework for the generation of activity and travel patterns in the context of more general structures and presents an integrated model system as a step toward development of an improved travel demand forecasting model system. We propose a two-stage structure to model activity and travel behavior. The first stage, the stop generation and stop/auto allocation models, consists of the choices for the number of household maintenance stops and the allocation of stops and autos to household members. The second stage, the tour formation model, includes the choices for the number of tours and the assignment of stops to tours for each individual, conditional on the choices in the first stage. Empirical results demonstrate that individual and household socio-demographics are important factors affecting the first stage choices, the generation of maintenance stops and the allocation of stops and autos among household members, and the second stage choices, the number of tours and the assignment of stops to tours. This revised version was published online in June 2006 with corrections to the Cover Date.     

圆形直管湍流粗糙管区的摩擦因数计算

提出了简单适用的管路摩擦因数λ的计算方法,解决了柯尔布鲁克-怀特(Colebrook-white)公式中隐函数不易计算的问题,该方法计算精度高于其他现有简化公式;在10-8≤ε/d≤0.05、3000≤Re≤108时,该方程的计算结果与原Colebrook-White方程的平均相对偏差为0.3315%,最大偏差不超过2.0%。     

Forecasting travel behavior using Markov Chains-based approaches

Recent advances in agent-based micro-simulation modeling have further highlighted the importance of a thorough full synthetic population procedure for guaranteeing the correct characterization of real-world populations and underlying travel demands. In this regard, we propose an integrated approach including Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) simulation and profiling-based methods to capture the behavioral complexity and the great heterogeneity of agents of the true population through representative micro-samples. The population synthesis method is capable of building the joint distribution of a given population with its corresponding marginal distributions using either full or partial conditional probabilities or both of them simultaneously. In particular, the estimation of socio-demographic or transport-related variables and the characterization of daily activity-travel patterns are included within the framework. The fully probabilistic structure based on Markov Chains characterizing this framework makes it innovative compared to standard activity-based models. Moreover, data stemming from the 2010 Belgian Household Daily Travel Survey (BELDAM) are used to calibrate the modeling framework. We illustrate that this framework effectively captures the behavioral heterogeneity of travelers. Furthermore, we demonstrate that the proposed framework is adequately adapted to meeting the demand for large-scale micro-simulation scenarios of transportation and urban systems.     

Evaluating Flexible Transport Solutions

Abstract

Flexible transport services (FTS) have been of increasing interest in developing countries as a bridge between the use of personal car travel and fixed route transit services. This paper reports on findings from a recent study in Queensland Australia, which identified lessons from an international review and implications for Australia. Potential strategic directions, including a vision, mission, key result areas, strategies, and identified means of measuring performance are described. Evaluation criteria for assessing flexible transport proposals were developed, and approaches to identifying and assessing needs and demands outlined. The use of emerging technologies is also a key element of successful flexible transport services.     

Tradable credits for managing car travel: a review of empirical research and relevant behavioural approaches

Recently, there has been a surge of interest in Tradable Credits (TC) as an alternative measure to manage the growth of personal car use. This paper summarises the results and methodologies of studies that have sought to anticipate the behavioural responses to several proposed TC schemes that target personal travel. In a critical reflection on this work and in an attempt to inspire future research, we argue that future empirical studies on TC behaviours can greatly benefit from insights from the fields of behavioural economics and cognitive psychology. Therefore, in the second part of the paper, we bring together behavioural concepts from these fields that are relevant in a TC decision-making context. Based on observations from current TC studies and the behavioural mechanisms identified in the second part of the paper, we propose promising directions for future research on understanding the impact of TC on personal car travel.     

基于电子风扇控制的混合动力客车散热器面积计算

混合动力客车配置电子风扇是发展趋势,但电子风扇的转速、扇叶直径、整车电流对冷却效果有较大影响。用传统方法匹配散热器,很难满足发动机的冷却需要。本文提出一种针对于电子风扇控制冷却的散热器散热面积计算方法。     

小半径连续叠合钢箱梁弯桥设计及其受力性能浅析

以某工程立交D、F匝道小半径连续钢箱梁弯桥为例,该桥平面为不规则曲线,介绍其构造特点及空间计算分析方法,采用梁单元及空间板壳单元建模对支反力及强度、刚度等计算并对比分析,供同类桥梁设计参考。     

伦洲大桥主桥结构设计

伦洲大桥主桥为100 m+2×170 m+100 m空腹式连续梁—刚构组合体系.主梁采用单箱双室截面,主梁上、下弦汇合段采用柔性中板方案;下弦设置顶板束,梁段根部下弦设置腹板下弯束,顶板悬臂浇筑束两两错开布置;上、下弦汇合前施加顶推力并设置临时固结;主墩为实体墩,中主墩固结,边主墩释放,边主墩横向设3排支座,墩顶设临时固结块.0号块、边跨现浇段及合龙段采用支架现浇,其他节段采用挂篮悬臂浇筑.分别采用MIDAS Civil 2010、ANSYS 10.0软件进行主桥总体及局部应力分析,计算结果表明:伦洲大桥各项指标均能满足规范要求,且有一定的安全储备.