On the variance of recurrent traffic flow for statistical traffic assignment

This paper generalizes and extends classical traffic assignment models to characterize the statistical features of Origin-Destination (O-D) demands, link/path flow and link/path costs, all of which vary from day to day. The generalized statistical traffic assignment (GESTA) model has a clear multi-level variance structure. Flow variance is analytically decomposed into three sources, O-D demands, route choices and measurement errors. Consequently, optimal decisions on roadway design, maintenance, operations and planning can be made using estimated probability distributions of link/path flow and system performance. The statistical equilibrium in GESTA is mathematically defined. Its multi-level statistical structure well fits large-scale data mining techniques. The embedded route choice model is consistent with the settings of O-D demands considering link costs that vary from day to day. We propose a Method of Successive Averages (MSA) based solution algorithm to solve for GESTA. Its convergence and computational complexity are analyzed. Three example networks including a large-scale network are solved to provide insights for decision making and to demonstrate computational efficiency.     

Formal scientific research of traffic collision data utilizing GIS

This paper explores the tenuous link between speeding behavior and accident causation, one that has not been well established in the international literature to date. Taking advantage of established engineering conventions and formulae, we were able to set up an a priori hypothesis suitable for testing. Utilizing this formal scientific method (which GIS researchers have been criticised for not using) we establish a statistical link for this relationship. Our methodology can be used to support all police intervention strategies, including the controversial photo radar systems. The results from our research have been entered into a GIS in order to create a map for spatial display. This map illustrates the relative probability or risk of collision occurrence resulting from speeding at all intersections and interchanges within the scope of the study. It is suggested that this methodology could easily be maintained with periodic updates of data, thus creating a dynamic model from which to monitor traffic safety within the city. Furthermore, this model can be utilized to study specific strategies, allowing for the scrutiny of before, during and after effects. The study area is the entire city of Calgary, Alberta, Canada, and includes all traffic collisions occurring during the year of 1994.     

现代大学生公寓电气设计浅析

文章采用文献资料、归纳与综合、专家访谈等研究方法,对现代大学生公寓电气设计进行了系统研究,主要内容包括配电系统、负荷系统、防雷接地、消防系统和智能化五个方面,旨为大学生公寓的电气设计提供有益资讯．     

高速公路中收费和清分的动态解决方案

在高速公路收费和清分过程中,由于新增的高速公路和收费站点特别是环型路段的增加使得原有的静态算法已经不适宜于现实情况。本文提出了高速公路中基于最短路径和环型路段的动态收费和清分解决方案,并给出了详细的基于环型路段的动态算法。环型路段问题解决后,可以判知车辆实际行车路线,从而大幅提高收费及清分的准确性和效率。     

基于时间约束的铁路空车调配系统可靠性分析

为弥补现有铁路空车调配系统缺乏空车调配可靠性研究的缺陷,在传统空车调配优化模型的基础上,本文提出了一种新的基于时间约束的空车调配可靠性分析方法。通过深入分析铁路空车调配过程,建立效益最大化目标函数,生成约束条件,以规定时间内的实际到达空车数与需求空车数之比计算出各需求站的空车调配可靠性,再利用各需求站可靠性均值求解空车调配系统的可靠性。最后,使用LINGO软件进行算例分析,论证了该方法的可行性和有效性。     

水润滑橡胶轴承板条型式及硬度分区对接触性能影响研究

轴承硬度分区设计思想的提出,为改善轴承接触性能提供了新思路。板条式水润滑橡胶应用广泛,针对凹面型、平面型、凸面型三种不同的板条型式,结合硬度分区设计的思想,对板条型式及硬度分区对接触陛能的影响进行了研究。建立了未进行硬度分区和分区后三种板条型式下的轴段与轴承有限元接触模型,对比分析了三种不同板条型式下硬度分区对接触性能的影响效果。结果表明,硬度分区能显著改善轴承的接触性能,凹面型板条型式的静态接触性能较佳。     

船舶配电系统交流智能配电关键技术研究

本文首先论述了船舶交流配电系统的发展需求,然后重点研究了船舶配电系统交流智能配电的关键技术,包括限流判断控制策略、短路故障判断策略及冲击性负载引起限流后解除限流的判断策略,最后通过原理样机,验证了船舶配电系统交流智能配电关键技术解决途径的可行性。     

在役港工混凝土强度时变规律

钢筋混凝土构件是港口码头结构中的主要组成部分,研究其构件在服役一段时间后混凝土强度的分布特征以及时变规律具有重要的实际意义。对大量混凝土强度的检测数据进行统计分析,采用W检验法对混凝土强度进行了概率分布类型的拟合检验,验证了采用正态分布的可行性,并给出了采用不同检测方法混凝土强度的参考值;通过统计不同年限混凝土强度的实测值,采用回归分析的方法得到回弹法测得的混凝土强度值与服役年限之间的关系。     

海流作用下沉管—双驳船沉放系统沉放过程的阻力特性分析

文章通过CFD方法对海流作用下沉管管节与双驳船组成的沉放系统在不同沉放水深时的阻力进行分析,采用RANS方程和SST k-ε湍流模型,利用试验结果验证所用模型和方法的正确性。结合沉放过程三个典型工况,分析90°来流时的流场变化对阻力特性变化产生的影响。结果表明数值结果与试验结果差异较小,驳船和沉管之间的相对位置、沉管沉放深度对流阻力大小影响较大。     

盲源分离技术在水声信号中的应用研究

通过研究α稳定分布,提出海洋噪声、舰船辐射噪声等符合低阶α稳定分布,在进行对称α稳定分布且独立的随机源信号进行盲分离处理时,若仍然采用高斯分布将不收敛。本文设计了分数低阶矩阵盲源分离算法,最后通过实验对比本文所设计算法和时延分离算法。实验结果表明:本文所设计的算法对于α稳定分布且有独立的随机信号,具有较好的收敛性,能够有效实现盲源信号分离。通过从复杂的海洋噪声中仍能较好地提取出船舱辐射噪声的实验,说明即使信噪比发生变化,源信号分离后相似系数较分离前仍然有稳定地提高。