超定量系列波浪重现期值研究

首先建立波浪超定量概率模型,提出超定量抽样分组原则以保证数据独立性,通过检验可知该原则下波浪超定量系列能较好地拟合GP分布;提出根据年平均出现频次、是否服从Possion分布和拟合GP情况综合分析判断,寻找合理阈值的方法;分别用GP分布和相应的复合极值分布分析超定量系列,并比较传统的P-III分布,分析可知,采用GP分布和P-GP(Poisson-GP)复合分布计算超定量系列所得的重现期值基本一致,且P-III曲线所得结果接近。     

圆沉箱护岸结构波浪力试验研究

大直径圆沉箱护岸适用于水深较大的外海海域。采用物理模型试验,探究带有连接件的大直径圆沉箱压力分布的规律及影响因素,研究包括沉箱上部胸墙的位置,胸墙顶超高与波浪要素等因素。通过比较试验结果与各家水平波浪压力的理论公式,进行波浪总水平力的计算方法研究,给出合田良实公式的折减系数来拟合大直径圆沉箱护岸的波浪总水平力计算公式,供工程设计参考与进一步研究。     

义乌内陆港一期工程弱电系统IP网络传输设计

针对港口工程弱电各子系统分散的网络传输,将其集成在统一的一个网络传输平台是设计关键。介绍义乌内陆 港一期工程弱电IP网络传输设计方案,运用统一的网络传输平台达到了减少网络重复建设及减少日常维护成本的目的。可 供港口工程设计时参考。     

AMP系统在集装箱船上的应用研究

主要阐述了可替换船用电力系统（以下简称AMP系统）构成和原理,并以实船应用为例,分析了适用于集装箱船的全集成固定式和半固定式AMP系统基本设备配置;船舶到港、离港时半固定式AMP系统的操作流程及AMP系统的应用前景。     

岩溶特征参数概率分布检验及概率密度拟合分析

文章根据柳州地区多个工程的溶洞数据,运用K-S检验法对各岩溶特征参数的概率分布形式进行了统计检验,得出了不同地层年代的不同岩溶特征参数的分布类型及概率密度函数,为岩溶地区参数优化和可靠度设计提供了基础资料。     

穿梭油船电力配置分析

结合穿梭油船的典型工况分析电力负荷的配置要求,对电力配置的两种计算方法进行分析及案例比较,根据比较结果及实例情况,提出某13万t穿梭油船电力配置方案.     

Statistical mechanics for analytic planning: an application to domestic air traffic in China

Abstract

Statistical mechanics has shown its usefulness when assessing the topology of many networks, including those of infrastructure. Its principles take into account the large-scale and network-wide effects of changes in its key parameters, which in turn may provide critical input when planning for infrastructure projects. One objective would be to modify the pattern of capacity expansions inside a system to make it less exposed to local shortfalls in demand. To illustrate our point, we shall use domestic air traffic in China; airports are spatially distributed and they also need to respond to the potential demand that they face locally. Airlines that control parts of the traffic system are identified as agents. A relationship between the agent's behavior and the system-wide level of variance in traffic flows can be established by regression analysis. It is shown how intervention on these agents would reduce negative traffic variance while enhancing a more balanced, less costly growth of the system itself.     

Daily newspaper distribution planning with integer programming: an application in Turkey

Abstract

This paper concerns the newspaper distribution problem. It addresses the transportation of newspapers from printing plant to newsagents with distribution vehicles under various particular constraints. The objective is to minimize the distance traveled by the vehicles and/or the number of vehicles. In this study, the routes for vehicles of a leading newspaper distributor company in the Turkish press sector are examined. The problem is defined as determining optimal delivery routes for a fleet of homogeneous vehicles, starting and ending at the printing plant that is required to serve a number of geographically dispersed newsagents with known demands under capacity and time constraints, while minimizing the total distribution cost. An integar linear programming model is proposed as a solution using Cplex. Computational results demonstrate that the proposed model is fast and able to find optimal solutions for problem scenarios with up to 55 newsagents within reasonable computing times. It was found that the proposed model reduced the delivery cost by 21% on average when compared to the current manual method. The results show that this model is adequate for medium-sized distribution problems.     

基于网络核密度的网约车上下客热点识别

为分析网约车上下客热点的时空分布特性,利用网约车订单数据,构建基于网络核密度估计的上下客热点识别模型,采用回归模型对热点进行聚类和分级。通过研究区域划定、数据清洗和筛选,引入以路网距离为度量的网络核密度估计方法,基于非均质网络方向延展和网络距离衰减效应,对工作日和非工作日的特征时段内网约车上下客点的核密度值进行估计。采用零膨胀负二项回归模型对核密度值进行聚类,识别出研究区域的热点路段分布及其等级。通过与平面核密度估计结果对比分析,本文提出的网络核密度估计方法体现了上下客热点在路段和交叉口的分布特点,表征了实际的交通需求与路网结构的关系。研究结论为优化城市网约车的运营管理、提高城市居民出行效率提供理论依据。     

厦深铁路对汕尾市公路客运的影响研究及发展策略探讨

为研究铁路对公路客运的影响,从出行者偏好和运输方式特性出发,选取安全性、经济性等7项指标确定运输产品的效用值,对传统的Logit模型特征函数求解进行了改进,基于旅客出行行为和意向调查数据,结合层次分析法和可能满意度法对分担率模型进行求解.与典型方法和调查结果进行对比分析表明,改进后的Logit模型在样本量较小的情况下比较简便有效.利用二次曲线时间序列法和改进的分担率模型,计算出未来2年内公路客运量将同比减少56%,铁路和公路的客流分担率分别为56%和44%.可见,厦深铁路的开通将对汕尾公路客运产生较严重的冲击.最后通过SWOT战略分析对公路客运的发展提出几点建议.