烟台—大连海底真空管道高铁线路方案研究

为早日建成跨越渤海海峡的快速通道,首先,介绍科学的比选方案,并提出海底真空管道高铁概念,分析其优缺点;然后,根据渤海海峡海况与地形地质特征,建立通道范围内烟台—大连间A、B、C、D 4 条可能路径的平面线路走向和纵断面模型;最后,通过线路方案比选研究,得出以下结论: 1)海底高架、沉管铺设或海底浅埋是较为经济、理想的方式,优于海底隧道; 2)A 线全长约110km,经由海域最深处88 m,50%以上线路需要按海底隧道真空管道方式建设; 3)B 线全长约106 km,海底平缓,最深处67 m; 4)C线全长约134 km,最深处66 m,自然纵坡小; 5)D 线全长约173 km,最深处51 m。建议将B 线、C 线作为海底真空管道高铁线路重点方案予以论证和考虑。     

考虑收益管理的高铁平行车次动态差别定价

基于RP(Revealed Preference)和SP(Stated Preference)调查数据,利用潜在类别模型对高铁旅客进行细分,得到旅客对平行车次不同服务属性,如列车运行时间、发车时段和舒适度的偏好程度,并对其进行量化;引入收益管理,以多列车整体收益最大为目标,构建平行车次动态差别定价模型,并设计模拟退火算法进行求解;最后,通过京沪高铁进行实例验证.结果表明：与固定票价进行客票销售相比,所提方案能够适应高峰期和平峰期不同客流特点,提高铁路客票总收益,为高铁平行车次灵活定价提供参考.     

Structural relationships among shipper’s perception,value, and choice intention of Korea–China train ferry service

ABSTRACT

The logistics environment between China and Korea has been changing rapidly in line with the ‘Go West’ policy of international trade and logistics area. The policy includes the BRI, Western Development Strategy, and Korea–China FTA. Against this background, the Korea–China train ferry (KCTF) is being newly illuminated as an alternative mode to cope with the logistics environment between Korea and China. One of the key success factors of the KCTF depends on, among others, shippers’ perception, which will affect the choice and the successful operation of the KCTF. From this perspective, this paper develops seven hypotheses based on the Theory of Reasoned Action (TRA) and Technology Acceptance Model (TAM). We test these hypotheses using Structural Equation Modeling (SEM) to explore the structural relationship between shippers’ behavioral beliefs influencing the perceived usefulness, the attitude toward and intention to choose the KCTF. The test results confirm that among the behavioral beliefs, transport accessibility in association with an efficient network of inland roads and railway networks is an important prerequisite. In addition, we verified a high statistical significance in the structural relationships among perceived usefulness, the attitude toward and the intention to choose the KCTF.     

基于复杂网络的机场群航线网络动态特征分析

随着航空运输和区域经济一体化的快速发展,我国已形成京津冀、长三角和珠三角三大典型机场群。文章以三大典型机场群为研究对象,构建基于滑动时间窗的航线网络拓扑结构,运用复杂网络理论分析机场群航线网络动态特征和同构性。研究结果表明,机场群航线网络具有无标度和小世界网络特征,并表现出显著的波峰和波谷动态性,并且长三角机场群的航班集中度分布明显高于其他两大机场群。文章首次从航线网络视角,运用Dice相似系数衡量了机场群内部各机场之间航线网络同构性程度。     

考虑高铁客运产品间交叉弹性的动态票价策略

将由特定高铁列车所提供的起讫点间的旅客运输服务定义为单个高铁客运产品。随着高速铁路越来越公交化,同一起讫点间客运产品间的可替代性越来越强,票价的调整有了更精细化的要求。用经济学中的交叉弹性理论描述客运产品间的可替代程度,用指数需求函数描述客运产品的需求与票价的关系,构建并求解高铁动态票价优化模型,对客运产品间不同可替代程度下的最优动态票价策略进行研究。结果显示:高铁客运产品间的可替代性会影响票价策略的选择,且客运产品间可替代程度的增加是否有利于客票收益的提高与可行折扣票价集合的选取有关。     

一种基于动态分析的突变和异常波动预警方法

针对模拟量的突变和异常波动预警,给出一种基于动态分析的、可以应用于各种模拟量的统一预警方法,该方法已被应用于CSM-TH型集中监测程序和智能分析系统中,在多条线700余站现场运行的7年中,收到良好效果,得到用户认可。     

一种高铁CTC进路数据自动测试方法的设计与实现

调度集中系统与计算机联锁接口中的进路数据的测试存在工作量繁重、耗时长以及人为因素易出错等问题,针对该问题提出一种自动测试方法,可有效的解决进路数据的自动测试及测试结果的自动分析,多条高铁线路实践表明,能显著提高调度集中系统与计算机联锁接口的测试效率及数据正确率,使CTC系统产品更安全可靠。     

复杂艰险山区高速铁路减灾选线设计研究

复杂艰险山区地质灾害问题十分突出,工程建设条件差,高速铁路线型标准高,适应地形及绕避不良地质的灵活性差。对于长达数百至上千公里的复杂艰险山区高速铁路带状工程,众多的地质灾害绕无可绕、避无可避时,只能避大就小,海量筛选技术可行、经济合理、风险可控的线路和工程方案。高效识别“长线路、宽廊道”范围地质灾害,量化百年服役期铁路工程安全风险,科学确定“宏观走向”“空间线位”“工程设置”等多层次风险调控举措,实现以“减灾”为核心的方案群多目标智能优化,是复杂艰险山区高速铁路成功修建与安全运营的关键。本文简介了复杂艰险山区高速铁路减灾选线设计成套技术,该技术以“一套减灾选线理论与方法”+“三大减灾选线支撑技术”为核心,成功突破了复杂艰险山区修建高速铁路的技术瓶颈,支撑了6300 km复杂艰险山区高速铁路的工程建设,指导了1.3万km高速铁路的勘察设计,并被其他陆地交通项目借鉴利用,在服务“交通强国”战略、“一带一路”建设中具有重大意义并具有广阔应用前景。     

基于客流需求的城市轨道交通动态时刻表优化模型

为使城市轨道交通列车运行时刻表更贴合客流需求,依据不断变化的客流需求确定每列车的发车时刻和停站时间,采用多目标优化方法构建以乘客出行时间费用和列车运行时间费用最小为目标、列车发车时刻和停站时间为决策变量的城市轨道交通动态时刻表优化模型,并采用粒子群算法求解。以广州地铁13号线为例进行验证,结果表明优化后的时刻表更满足客流需求,能有效地提高乘客出行效率,具有更好的动态适应性。     

Integrated planning of static and dynamic charging infrastructure for electric vehicles

This paper investigates the optimal deployment of static and dynamic charging infrastructure considering the interdependency between transportation and power networks. Static infrastructure means plug-in charging stations, while the dynamic counterpart refers to electrified roads or charging lanes enabled by charging-while-driving technology. A network equilibrium model is first developed to capture the interactions among battery electric vehicles’ (BEVs) route choices, charging plans, and the prices of electricity. A mixed-integer bi-level program is then formulated to determine the deployment plan of charging infrastructure to minimize the total social cost of the coupled networks. Numerical examples are provided to demonstrate travel and charging plans of BEV drivers and the competitiveness of static and dynamic charging infrastructure. The numerical results on three networks suggest that (1) for individual BEV drivers, the choice between using charging lanes and charging stations is more sensitive to parameters including value of travel time, service fee markup, and battery size, but less sensitive to the charging rates and travel demand; (2) deploying more charging lanes is favorable for transportation networks with sparser topology while more charging stations can be more preferable for those denser networks.