An agent-based approach to modelling driver route choice behaviour under the influence of real-time information

This paper presents an agent-based approach to modelling individual driver behaviour under the influence of real-time traffic information. The driver behaviour models developed in this study are based on a behavioural survey of drivers which was conducted on a congested commuting corridor in Brisbane, Australia. Commuters’ responses to travel information were analysed and a number of discrete choice models were developed to determine the factors influencing drivers’ behaviour and their propensity to change route and adjust travel patterns. Based on the results obtained from the behavioural survey, the agent behaviour parameters which define driver characteristics, knowledge and preferences were identified and their values determined. A case study implementing a simple agent-based route choice decision model within a microscopic traffic simulation tool is also presented. Driver-vehicle units (DVUs) were modelled as autonomous software components that can each be assigned a set of goals to achieve and a database of knowledge comprising certain beliefs, intentions and preferences concerning the driving task. Each DVU provided route choice decision-making capabilities, based on perception of its environment, that were similar to the described intentions of the driver it represented. The case study clearly demonstrated the feasibility of the approach and the potential to develop more complex driver behavioural dynamics based on the belief–desire–intention agent architecture.     

航空物流与区域经济高质量发展协同性——基于重庆的实证研究

自2017年十九大提出经济高质量发展以来,重庆根据中央部署,经济高质量发展取得了初步成功。在这一过程中,发现航空物流产业与区域经济高质量发展间存在正相关关系。为了研究重庆航空物流与区域经济高质量发展的协同性,采用数据包络分析(DEA)模型,对重庆市2008年至2018年GDP、航空货邮吞吐量等指标进行代入计算。结果表明,重庆航空物流与区域经济高质量发展存在较高的协同性,且呈现上升趋势,但由于航空物流和区域经济发展内部资源分配不合理,导致有效协同发展程度波动较大。结合重庆市实际情况,以资源配置优化为侧重点,提出提高二者协同性的建议。     

实现城市防洪经济、社会、环境效益三统一

本文从分析防洪经济效益、社会效益、环境效益三者关系入手 ,明确了在生态失衡、灾害频繁、环境问题已经成为危及人类生存与发展的今天 ,实现三者统一协调、整体推进的重要性 ,并提出了工作思路与对策     

运用经济杠杆长效治理超载超限运输

分析了经济利益贯穿的货主—运输业户—车辆生产、改装厂家的超载超限运输链条的成因、现状和危害;提出了要从以核定载质量为依据转而以货车实际总重和轴载限额为依据对货车实施计重收费的思路,通过区别对待,体现公平,分步推进,累积治理,实现运用经济杠杆,达到长效治理超载超限运输的目的;阐述了江苏、河南、青海等省份实行计重收费所产生的积极效果以及他们推广的安排;提出在计重收费方法以及低速动态轴载称重设备精度、可靠度和价格方面还需要进一步探讨。     

筑路设备维修的经济分析

利用经济学基本原理,阐述如何对设备的维修工作进行效益分析,对提高施工企业的设备维修管理水平具有一定的借鉴作用.     

超大跨度缆索承重桥梁结构体系

设计和建造跨海连岛大桥是新世纪桥梁工程面临的巨大挑战。超大跨度桥梁并不只是常规概念的外推,需要与之对应的结构体系。从根本上改变缆索承重桥梁的缆索体系,可以突破跨度极限。本文指出了常规结构体系向更大跨度发展的制约因素,从缆索体系的角度介绍了超大跨度斜拉桥、悬索桥以及斜拉 悬索组合桥可能采用的各种体系。这些体系试图在静力、动力方面能远远超出现有限制范围,极大地提高桥梁的跨越能力。同时,新体系的采用也给材料、设计和施工提出了很大的挑战。     

大跨度CFRP缆索和钢缆索悬索桥经济性能对比研究

为了分析CFRP缆索和钢缆索悬索桥在经济性能方面的优劣,首先推导了悬索桥各个构件的材料用量和造价公式,然后对主跨为1000～5000 m的CFRP缆索和钢缆索悬索桥的造价进行参数影响性研究,考虑的参数有主跨跨径、材料价格、桥跨布置方式、矢跨比和边中跨比。结果表明：跨径较小时钢缆索悬索桥占优,当跨径不断增大,CFRP缆索悬索桥的优势方能逐步体现;随着CFRP材料制造工艺的成熟、价格的不断下降,CFRP缆索悬索桥的竞争力越来越明显;桥跨布置方式对两者的经济性能影响较小;相对于钢缆索悬索桥,CFRP缆索悬索桥的总造价对矢跨比敏感程度较低,其选择范围也更广;边中跨比为0．2～0．3时,CFRP缆索悬索桥的总造价最低。     

Real time detection of driver attention: Emerging solutions based on robust iconic classifiers and dictionary of poses

Real time monitoring of driver attention by computer vision techniques is a key issue in the development of advanced driver assistance systems. While past work mostly focused on structured feature-based approaches, characterized by high computational requirements, emerging technologies based on iconic classifiers recently proved to be good candidates for the implementation of accurate and real-time solutions, characterized by simplicity and automatic fast training stages.In this work the combined use of binary classifiers and iconic data reduction, based on Sanger neural networks, is proposed, detailing critical aspects related to the application of this approach to the specific problem of driving assistance. In particular it is investigated the possibility of a simplified learning stage, based on a small dictionary of poses, that makes the system almost independent from the actual user.On-board experiments demonstrate the effectiveness of the approach, even in case of noise and adverse light conditions. Moreover the system proved unexpected robustness to various categories of users, including people with beard and eyeglasses. Temporal integration of classification results, together with a partial distinction among visual distraction and fatigue effects, make the proposed technology an excellent candidate for the exploration of adaptive and user-centered applications in the automotive field.     

Spatial impacts of road pricing: Accessibility, regional spillovers and territorial cohesion

Road pricing policies are gaining prominence in EU countries. These policies have positive impacts leading to mobility patterns which are socially and environmentally more desirable, but they also have negative impacts. One negative impact is to be found in regional accessibility, due to the increase in generalized transport costs. This study presents a methodology based on accessibility indicators and GIS to assess the accessibility impacts of a road pricing policy. The methodology was tested for the Spain’s road network considering two road pricing scenarios. It enables not only the more penalized regions to be identified but also negative road pricing spillover effects between regions. These effects are measured in terms of accessibility changes occurring in one region produced by charges implemented in another region. Finally, the study of accessibility disparities (by calculating inequality indexes for each of the scenarios considered), provides policymakers with useful information regarding the impact of road pricing policies from the point of view of territorial cohesion.     

Total cost analysis: An alternative to benefit-cost analysis in evaluating transportation alternatives

This paper explains the theory in support of total cost analysis (TCA) to compare transportation system alternatives. The full costs of each alternative are first aggregated, including travel time costs and monetizable environmental and social costs. Many costs which are considered on the benefits side of the equation in benefit-cost analysis (BCA) as "cost savings" are brought over to the costs side. Total cost differences among alternatives are then traded off against their estimated non-monetized benefits or impacts, just as a consumer trades off product quality against cost before deciding which product he or she will buy. One advantage of TCA over traditional BCA is that the concept of "total cost" is more easily understood by the public and by political decision-makers than BCA concepts such as "net present worth", "benefit-cost ratio" and "internal rate of return". A second advantage is that there is no suggestion that all "benefits" have been considered; decision-makers are free to use their own value judgements to trade off total cost against non-monetizable social, environmental and economic impacts, just as they trade off quality and convenience against cost when purchasing goods and services in their roles as consumers. The TCA approach is demonstrated in this paper through a case study of two systemwide alternatives for the Baltimore, MD urban area.