Uncertain demand,modal competition and optimal price-capacity adjustments in air transportation

A new microeconomic model for the operation of an airline facing modal competition with uncertain total demand is developed to analyze optimal price capacity combinations. The novelty is the treatment of the capacity restriction, which is not viewed as affecting negatively individual preferences (e.g. probability of a full flight), but does influence aggregate utility. A mode choice model is used to represent unrestricted individual preferences assuming full availability (phone call demand); air capacity is treated as a variable that acts on the actual choice set. Restricted choices and total demand stochasticity are integrated in welfare calculations (users' benefits and profits). Numerical examples are given and results are analyzed in terms of load factors fare levels, and sensitivity to the stochasticity of requests.This research was partially funded by FONDECYT, Chile, Direction Génerale de l'Aviation Civile, France, the Andes Foundation and the Fulbright Commission.     

150系列柴油机模锻件选材的经济性问题

以150系列大功率高速水冷柴油机的齿轮、气门、曲轴、气缸套等模锻件为研究对象,论述柴油机模锻零部件选材的经济性问题,阐明其选材应满足经济性要求的必要性和重要性。     

水资源配置方案的相对有效性评价

将水资源配置定义为一种广义的投入产出问题,在给出水资源配置的基本投入产出指标后,探讨了应用GEM(群组特征根法)-MAUT(多属性效用理论)模型对配置方案的相对有效性进行评价.该模型运用群组特征根法确定指标权重,而后由多属性效用理论给出方案的优劣次序.相对于DEA(数据包络分析)或ANN(人工神经网络)法,该模型更适用于对评价指标有特别要求的情况.     

甘肃经济增长质量的综合评价

经济增长是经济学界一直关注的热点问题,改革开放以来,经济增长已成为地区经济发展的主要评价指标.本文目的在于全面、客观、多视角地阐述影响经济增长的量化和非量化因素,从而测算出甘肃省经济增长的适度区间,并对我省1979-2004年经济增长质量进行综合评价,以确定经济发展的高质量期.     

提高电动公交车经济性的营运方式与技术方案

在分析比较电动公交车两种营运方式的电费、电池折旧费后,指出目前国内正在试运行的电动公交车的营运方式并不经济。提出了电动公交车采用自动集电器的技术方案,一方面能实现大幅度延长电池寿命的“浅充浅放”的营运方式,另一方面可以省去占地较大的专用充电站,显著降低电动公交车营运项目投资额。     

城市轨道交通车辆基地室外综合管沟的应用研究

室外管线综合设计是城市轨道交通车辆基地设计的重点和难点,通常室外管线多以直埋的方式敷设于地下,但这种方式在设计、施工、运营维护阶段均存在着一些问题,因此提出了在室外设置综合管沟的方式,尽可能解决目前出现的问题.针对相关问题,提出了设置室外综合管沟的必要性和意义,从入沟管线种类分析、综合管沟管线布置原则、断面设计、特殊节...     

Vehicle lift-off modelling and a new rollover detection criterion

The modelling and development of a general criterion for the prediction of rollover threshold is the main purpose of this work. Vehicle dynamics models after the wheels lift-off and when the vehicle moves on the two wheels are derived and the governing equations are used to develop the rollover threshold. These models include the properties of the suspension and steering systems. In order to study the stability of motion, the steady-state solutions of the equations of motion are carried out. Based on the stability analyses, a new relation is obtained for the rollover threshold in terms of measurable response parameters. The presented criterion predicts the best time for the prevention of the vehicle rollover by applying a correcting moment. It is shown that the introduced threshold of vehicle rollover is a proper state of vehicle motion that is best for stabilising the vehicle with a low energy requirement.     

基于差异时效的服务评价模型

针对KNN(k-nearest neighbor)方法在服务评价过程中存在的时效量化、评价窗口宽度以及反馈控制等问题,提出了具有差异时效的服务评价模型(WSEM-VTU).在WSEM-VTU中,采用系统动力学方法研究复杂时效量化方法,以获得差异时效量化结果;基于复杂时效量化方法得到的结果,自适应计算评价窗口宽度;根据评价统计特征,设计恶意评价反馈控制策略.通过实验,将WSEM-VTU与现有评价模型WSEM-E及WSEM-KNN进行比较,结果表明:WSEM-VTU的平均误差为0.877,比WSEM-E和WSEM-KNN分别降低了1.020和0.135;引入反馈控制策略后,WSEM-VTU出现恶意评价的情况平均降低67%.