交通信息在出行行为中的影响分析

分析了交通信息对出行者在驾驶员路径选择行为中的作用机理和过程,阐述了之间的相互作用关系,论述了交通信息的效用度和出行者信任度之间的影响并提出相应的定性模型。     

桥梁评估中以功能价值为基础的权重计算

该文在以层次分析法为基础的桥梁评估中,引入了经济指标分析权重的思想,提出了功能价值的概念,以及相应的权重计算公式和计算方法;考虑了功能价值中间接损失及其计算;并解释了其合理性。接着,利用该文方法对实际桥梁进行了权重计算,并与专家调查咨询获取的权重值进行了比较。     

规则波和不规则波中船舶艉砰击及其振动响应的试验研究

在拖曳水池中对某船舶进行了艉砰击及其振动响应的试验研究.在规则波以及不规则波中的零航速、艉随浪情况下观察到了严重的艉砰击现象.试验数据分析表明,合成弯矩可以分成由波浪载荷引起的低频成分以及由砰击载荷引起的高频成分.由于严重艉砰击载荷的作用,发现在某次规则波试验中合成弯矩比波浪弯矩要大出44%,在3.24m不规则波中合成弯矩增加了43%.不规则波中的试验数据统计表明合成弯矩分布范围服从Weibull分布.推导了服从Weibull分布随机变量的短期概率极值预报公式,针对试验数据进行了预报.还讨论了试验数据分析中的不确定性问题.试验研究表明,对于艉部平坦肥大的船舶,在设计和使用中需要引起对艉砰击及其振动响应问题的重视.     

江海通航顶推船铰接装置的波浪载荷模型试验研究

在不规则波中对某5000吨级的江海通航顶推船进行了两销式铰接装置的载荷模型试验.模型试验数据的无因次分析表明,在浪向角60°情况下铰接装置受力比其它浪向角时都要大,并且铰接装置受到的水平弯曲力比垂向弯曲力、轴向力大得多.推导了服从Weibull概率分布变量的短期概率极值预报公式.针对试验数据,进行了实船12小时短期概率极值预报,结果表明,在设计波高4.2m时,超越概率1%时的最大弯曲力相当于该顶推船推轮的排水量.本次试验及其数据预报的极值可供设计同类型铰接装置的江海通航顶推船时参考使用.     

基于模糊决策的炮兵火力打击目标价值研究

运用模糊决策理论,对炮兵火力打击目标价值进行了分析与排序,并结合实例说明了该方法的具体应用,旨在为指挥员和指挥机关的科学决策提供依据。     

吉布提LNG厂址波浪极值推算

在吉布提LNG厂址的设计过程中,由于当地可用水文资料缺乏,现场观测活动起步晚、持续时间短(仅1 a),无法满足多年重现期设计波浪要素推算的需求,给后续工作带来了较大的困难。以CCMP风场数据作为驱动,基于波作用量平衡方程建立印度洋大范围波浪数学模型、嵌套的亚丁湾中等范围模型及工程区小范围模型,在现场实测资料的基础上,结合同期的Jason卫星轨道资料对模型进行验证对比,模型验证结果良好。在此基础上,计算了1988—2017年的逐时波浪要素过程,并据此构建出年极值波浪序列,利用P-III型分布函数推算工程区深水处的各重现期波浪极值,结合不同水文条件计算得出工程区的设计波浪要素。     

Using the sustainable modified TAM and TPB to analyze the effects of perceived green value on loyalty to a public bike system

This article explores the effects of perceived green value, perceived green usefulness, perceived pleasure to use, subjective norms and perceived behavioral control on green loyalty to a public bike system. The mediators between perceived green value and green loyalty and a moderator of general attitude toward protecting the natural environment are also discussed. The aim of this research was to understand how to establish green loyalty via the other dimensions based on the sustainable modified technology acceptance model (modified TAM), the theory of planned behavior (TPB), and a moderator. The findings reveal that perceived pleasure to use and subjective norms have the strongest power to influence loyalty for both users and non-users. The implications of this finding are that fun in people’s lives has a strong influence on sustainable continuous use of public bikes, and that subjective norms are more effective for non-users. In addition, environmental attitude has stronger moderating effects for non-users than for users on perceived green usefulness, perceived pleasure and subjective norms. Therefore, governmental policies should promote the attitude of protecting the natural environment, perceptions of pleasure, and subjective norms so as to increase green loyalty to public bike-sharing.     

美国气垫登陆艇围裙技术发展及分析

文中介绍了美国气垫登陆艇(LCAC)围裙的技术发展历程,随着艇装载量、耐波性、全寿命周期维护等总体性能和作战使用要求的提高,围裙技术在不断发展改进。通过利用先进的计算分析及三维设计软件,提高了围裙设计放样精度与寿命,降低了波浪中阻力,改善高速抗埋首及侧滑安全性,减轻自重也减少了维护工作量。此外,围裙改进均经过拖曳船模试验以及实艇的长期运行考验。这些技术手段及科研思路值得国内学习与借鉴。     

探讨泊位利用率数值的确定方法

借助排队论分析某港一期工程的统计资料,确定其港口服务系统的数学特征及主要特征值,探讨选取泊位利用率应考虑的因素,并提出一种确定泊位利用率数值的方法。     

Consumer purchase intentions for electric vehicles: Is green more important than price and range?

In view of global warming and climate change, a transition from combustion to electric vehicles (EVs) can help to reduce greenhouse gas emissions and improve air quality. However, high acquisition costs and short driving ranges are considered to be main factors which impede the diffusion of EVs. Since electricity needs to be produced from renewable energy sources for EVs to be a true green alternative, the environmental performance of EVs is also presumed to be an important factor. This paper investigates the role of environmental performance compared to price value and range confidence regarding consumer purchase intentions for EVs. To develop our hypothesis, we interview 40 end-user subjects about their beliefs toward EVs. Then, we perform 167 test drives with a plug-in battery EV and conduct a survey with the participants to test the hypothesis. Results of a structural equation modeling support the hypothesis that the environmental performance of EVs is a stronger predictor of attitude and thus purchase intention than price value and range confidence.