浅谈金融危机下海事监管对策

文中通过透视2008年金融危机所引起的航运业的潮起潮落,指出了航运业与造船业在不景气的情况下所存在的问题,并分析了在这特殊时段海事部门应当如何做好监管与服务工作,提出了笔者一点浅显的意见。     

海峡两岸海上直航分析

金融海啸席卷全球,面对严峻的经济形势,海峡两岸能否携手开展金融合作、经济合作,共同应对危机冲击显得尤为重要和迫切。2008年11月4日,海峡两岸关系协会与台湾海峡交流基金会签署了《海峡两岸海运协议》,标志着海峡两岸实现海上直航。针对这一重大举措,文中首先对海上直航的重要性进行了分析,然后结合海峡两岸海上直航现状,深入探讨了直航的前景,最后提出了几点两岸共同应对国际金融危机的对策建议。     

金融危机对中国航运业及中国海事的影响之追踪

文中以广州南沙港区为例,通过大量的数据分析,讨论了金融危机对中国航运业所带来的冲击,以及对中国海事监管造成的影响。建议在当前形势下,中国航运业和中国海事都要紧紧抓住危机中蕴含的机遇,谋发展、求提升。     

Modeling the interactions between car and bicycle in heterogeneous traffic

In this paper, a new cellular automata model is proposed to simulate the car and bicycle heterogeneous traffic on urban road. To capture the complex interactions between these two types of vehicles, a novel occupancy rule is adopted in the proposed model to consider the variable lateral distances of mixed vehicular traffic. Based on massive simulations, microscopic fundamental diagrams under different bicycle densities are devised. With these, the bicycle's spilling behavior is then investigated and discussed. In order to reflect the interference of a bicycle on a car, the interference transformation from friction state to block state is modeled explicitly. Finally, different simulation results under different occupancy rules indicate that the constant and fixed occupancy rule adopted in the previous studies might lead to overestimation of car flux in the heterogeneous traffic flows with different bicycle densities. Copyright © 2013 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

高职院校筹资及资金管理问题探略

我国高等教育承载民众希望与国民素质提升之重任,高等教育发展关系国计民生,同时也迫切需要解决自身发展中存在的资金需求问题,本文在分析总结高职院校筹资现状和存在问题的基础上,提出优化和改进高职院校筹资的对策建议。     

船舶下舵承间隙及结构问题分析与对策

结合船舶下舵承在设计、安装和船舶营运过程中面临的问题,根据船级社相应规范和标准对船舶下舵承的规定,分析舵承间隙及结构,提出相应的解决方案。实践证明该方案可行。     

Multi-step prediction of experienced travel times using agent-based modeling

This paper develops an agent-based modeling approach to predict multi-step ahead experienced travel times using real-time and historical spatiotemporal traffic data. At the microscopic level, each agent represents an expert in a decision-making system. Each expert predicts the travel time for each time interval according to experiences from a historical dataset. A set of agent interactions is developed to preserve agents that correspond to traffic patterns similar to the real-time measurements and replace invalid agents or agents associated with negligible weights with new agents. Consequently, the aggregation of each agent’s recommendation (predicted travel time with associated weight) provides a macroscopic level of output, namely the predicted travel time distribution. Probe vehicle data from a 95-mile freeway stretch along I-64 and I-264 are used to test different predictors. The results show that the agent-based modeling approach produces the least prediction error compared to other state-of-the-practice and state-of-the-art methods (instantaneous travel time, historical average and k-nearest neighbor), and maintains less than a 9% prediction error for trip departures up to 60 min into the future for a two-hour trip. Moreover, the confidence boundaries of the predicted travel times demonstrate that the proposed approach also provides high accuracy in predicting travel time confidence intervals. Finally, the proposed approach does not require offline training thus making it easily transferable to other locations and the fast algorithm computation allows the proposed approach to be implemented in real-time applications in Traffic Management Centers.     

浅谈人际与人情之关系

本旨在探讨人际关系，人情法则的化内涵，不同背景下的人际关系对应着不同的人精法则。在市场经济条件下，人际与人情关联的工具性日渐显现。人们应关注际与人情的未来走向。     

加强公路养护体制改革后企业的资金管理

随着公路体制改革的发展,经济环境发生了根本性的变化,企业经济增长方式由粗放型逐步转向集约型。加强财务管理是企业可持续发展的一个重要环节,也是企业财务管理中的一项重要工作目标。文章针对内蒙古牙克石市公路养护管理站财务管理中存在的问题提出对策。     

金融危机下中国大中型客车的出口对策

分析金融危机下中国客车出口情况、国际市场、国际竞争对手的现状及中国客车出口下滑的原因；预测中国客车出口的趋势，并提出应对危机的对策。