潜艇导航系统航向测量及精度评定方法研究

以某型潜艇导航精度试验为例,研究了一种潜艇导航系统航向测量及精度评定方法.评定方法及评定结果获得了潜艇总体设计单位、综合导航系统和武器系统研制单位及使用方的一致认可,并在随后进行的武器发射试验中得到验证,进而为准确分离发射潜艇对武器系统命中精度的影响提供了依据.     

基于环境遥感的张崇段取（弃）土场环境评价

张家口至崇礼段工程地处山区,地质情况复杂。鉴于此,利用环境遥感技术对取（弃）土场的地质情况、气候水文、生态环境进行评价,可为工程顺利施工提供科学依据。     

汽油机燃烧室紧凑性评价参数分析

对燃烧室紧凑性评价参数面容比A/V值进行了分析,讨论了其局限性。提出了新的内燃机燃烧室紧凑性的衡量方法,即面面比S/A,在等容积条件下,进行了各种燃烧室紧凑性及火焰传播距离的比较。     

航道治理建设规划环境影响识别及指标体系建立

针对航道治理建设规划环境影响识别及指标体系建立问题,对长江干线"十三五"航道治理建设规划环境影响评价成果进行分析研究,采用系统分析、生态因子识别、生态影响判别等方法,得出规划要素与资源、环境要素之间的关系,并结合环境目标提出评价指标体系,可为航道规划环境影响评价提供参考和借鉴。     

基于模糊理论的船舶复合碰撞危险度计算

基于船舶领域和动界的概念,在船舶碰撞几何原理的基础上,利用模糊规则和模糊综合评价方法,本文提出一种船舶复合碰撞危险度的计算方法.确定最近会遇距离(DCPA)、最近会遇时间(TCPA)、两船距离、相对方位、船速比5个主要因素的隶属度函数,并考虑航行区域状况、能见度情况和船舶的操纵性能等对船舶碰撞危险度的隶属度函数修正.用原始数据对3种不同会遇态势进行仿真和对3种不同碰撞危险度计算结果分析比较,结果表明该方法的有效性.     

Environmental impacts of public transport systems using real-time control method

Public Transport (PT) systems rely more and more on online information extracted from both operator’s intelligent equipment and user’s smartphone applications. This allows for a better fit between supply and demand of the multimodal PT system, especially through the use of PT real-time control actions/tactics. In doing so there is also an opportunity to consider environmental-related issues to approach energy saving and reduced pollution. This study investigates and analyses the benefits of using real-time PT operational tactics in reducing the undesirable environmental impacts. A tactic-based control (TBC) optimization model is used to minimize total passenger travel time and maximize direct transfers (without waiting). The model consists of a control policy built upon a combination of three tactics: holding, skip-stops, and boarding limit. The environmental-related measure is the global warming potential (GWP) using the life cycle assessment technique. The methodology developed is applied to a real life case study in Auckland, New Zealand. Results show that TBC could reduce the GWP by means of reduction of total passenger travel times and vehicle travel cycle time. That is, the TBC model results in a 5.6% reduction in total GWP per day compared with an existing no-tactic scenario. This study supports the use of real-time control actions to maintain a reliable PT service, reducing greenhouse gas emissions and subsequently moving towards greener PT systems.     

Electric vehicles for greenhouse gas reduction in China: A cost-effectiveness analysis

There have been ongoing debates over whether battery electric vehicles contribute to reducing greenhouse gas emissions in China’s context, and if yes, whether the greenhouse gas emissions reduction compensates the cost increment. This study informs such debate by examining the life-cycle cost and greenhouse gas emissions of conventional vehicles, hybrid electric vehicles and battery electric vehicles, and comparing their cost-effectiveness for reducing greenhouse gas emissions. The results indicate that under a wide range of vehicle and driving configurations (range capacity, vehicle use intensity, etc.), battery electric vehicles contribute to reducing greenhouse gas emissions compared with conventional vehicles, although their current cost-effectiveness is not comparable with hybrid electric vehicles. Driven by grid mix optimization, power generation efficiency improvement, and battery cost reduction, the cost-effectiveness of battery electric vehicles is expected to improve significantly over the coming decade and surpass hybrid electric vehicles. However, considerable uncertainty exists due to the potential impacts from factors such as gasoline price. Based on the analysis, it is recommended that the deployment of battery electric vehicles should be prioritized in intensively-used fleets such as taxis to realize high cost-effectiveness. Technology improvements both in terms of power generation and vehicle electrification are essential in improving the cost-effectiveness of battery electric vehicles.     

考虑湖盆摩阻效应的川藏铁路冰碛堰塞湖地震涌浪及溃决风险分析

川藏铁路沿线存在着众多冰碛堰塞湖,且大部分位于高烈度地震区,堰塞湖溃决洪水成为对线路方案起控制作用的灾害类型,而地震涌浪是导致冰湖溃决的主要诱因之一。目前湖泊地震涌浪计算公式一般忽略湖盆的摩阻效应,对水深较浅且糙率大的冰碛堰塞湖而言,计算值偏小。鉴此,通过开展不同水深、不同地震峰值加速度、不同糙率的振动台造波模型实验,研究湖盆摩阻效应对地震涌浪的影响。根据实验结果,建立考虑摩阻效应的地震涌浪计算公式,并利用漫溢型溃决临界水文条件提出了冰湖溃决判据;最后以川藏铁路帕隆藏布流域为例进行应用说明,从而建立一种与选线原则方案确定阶段精度要求相匹配的冰碛堰塞湖地震涌浪溃决风险评估方法。本文公式考虑湖盆摩阻效应,适用于水深较浅的冰碛堰塞湖,尤其是在大震强震情况下,其计算结果偏安全。     

基于功能损伤的复杂电磁环境下炮兵目标毁伤评估

为适应复杂电磁环境,提高炮兵指挥员“科学决策,量敌用兵”的水平,依据目标在复杂电磁环境下的特点,综合利用了指数法和D-S理论等方法,分别对典型目标、电磁敏感目标和系统目标进行了功能损伤性毁伤评估。     

军用信息保障系统安全风险评估研究

信息系统安全风险评估工作是信息系统安全管理的基础和前提.本文在充分论述军用信息保障系统安全重要性的基础上,针对其安全风险评估问题,阐述了相关定义,给出了军用信息保障系统安全风险评估的思路,并着重介绍了基于系统综合、灰色理论、模糊理论和神经网络的风险评估方法,为定义系统安全需求、制定有效的安全风险控制策略提供了理论依据.