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Forng-Chen Chiu Wen-Chuan Tiao Jenhwa Guo 《Journal of Marine Science and Technology》2007,12(4):203-217
It is well known that the hydrodynamic responses of a high-speed vessel traveling in regular head waves of even moderate wave
height can show significant nonlinear behavior, and so linear statistical techniques become insufficient for predicting the
statistics of responses in irregular waves. On the other hand, it has been shown that an approximate third-order Volterra
model is applicable to handling the statistics of some nonlinear seakeeping problems, such as motions and vertical hull girder
loads. In the present study, the focus is on the nonlinear behavior of the pressure responses of the hull surface, especially
on the pressures acting on alternately wet and dry areas near the waterline and on the bow zone with high deadrise angles
that may be subject to slight impact and water pile-up effects. To clarify the validity of applying Volterra modeling to this
problem, a series of experiments in regular and irregular head waves were carried out, and approximate third-order and fifth-order
Volterra models with the proposed algorithm for finding frequency response functions (FRFs) were applied as a means of validation.
In the present article, the first part of the validation was performed using experimental data in regular waves. It was confirmed
that the third-order Volterra model has adequate accuracy to simulate deterministically the variation of pressure responses
in regular waves of different wave steepness up to a wave amplitude to wavelength ratio of 0.01 even for the highly nonlinear
pressures acting on the above-mentioned areas of the hull surface. 相似文献
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Marine ecosystem models are becoming increasingly complex and sophisticated, and are being used to estimate the effects of future changes in the earth system with a view to informing important policy decisions. Despite their potential importance, far too little attention has been, and is generally, paid to model errors and the extent to which model outputs actually relate to real-world processes. With the increasing complexity of the models themselves comes an increasing complexity among model results. If we are to develop useful modelling tools for the marine environment we need to be able to understand and quantify the uncertainties inherent in the simulations. Analysing errors within highly multivariate model outputs, and relating them to even more complex and multivariate observational data, are not trivial tasks. Here we describe the application of a series of techniques, including a 2-stage self-organising map (SOM), non-parametric multivariate analysis, and error statistics, to a complex spatio-temporal model run for the period 1988–1989 in the Southern North Sea, coinciding with the North Sea Project which collected a wealth of observational data. We use model output, large spatio-temporally resolved data sets and a combination of methodologies (SOM, MDS, uncertainty metrics) to simplify the problem and to provide tractable information on model performance. The use of a SOM as a clustering tool allows us to simplify the dimensions of the problem while the use of MDS on independent data grouped according to the SOM classification allows us to validate the SOM. The combination of classification and uncertainty metrics allows us to pinpoint the variables and associated processes which require attention in each region. We recommend the use of this combination of techniques for simplifying complex comparisons of model outputs with real data, and analysis of error distributions. 相似文献
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以某桥梁工程为例,通过定量分析人材机单价变化对桥梁工程造价带来的影响,建立预测模型。通过同样的分析手段,建立路基、路面、隧道的预测模型,作为指导今后工作的依据。 相似文献
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对于不成对机车周转图,多基于固定的机车运转区段且为单机牵引进行研究,传统机车周转图的勾划方法难以适应非固定区段机车周转图编制的需求.机车的非固定区段运用有利于缩短机车周转时间,优化机车周转方案,对提高机车运用效率意义重大.本文在充分考虑部分双机牵引不成对机车周转图中可能出现的情况:到达单机牵引列车数与出发单机牵引列车数不同,到达双机牵引列车数与出发双机牵引列车数不同.综合分析铁路运输运营效益、列车运行图均衡性等具体要求,以机车在站停留时间、机车周转图均衡性、机车周转距离、机车运用数量等4个目标函数为求解目标的基础上,建立了机车周转图的01多目标规划模型,并给出求解的方法.最后以西宁西—西宁货区段进行实例验证,得出了对应的最少机车总消耗时间,最优附挂方案和机车周转图. 相似文献
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为了确定提标调蓄设施布局方法,选择了排水特点各异的三个排水系统,研究调蓄设施布局的一般规律.模型计算结果表明,提标调蓄设施的布局主要取决于排水系统的积水位置,将调蓄设施设置于积水位置上游处可获得良好的积水削减效果.根据研究结果,提出了以积水削减潜力为准的调蓄设施布局评价指标及相应的调蓄设施布局规划设计方法,为提标调蓄设... 相似文献