Identifying optimal data aggregation interval sizes for link and corridor travel time estimation and forecasting

With the recent increase in the deployment of ITS technologies in urban areas throughout the world, traffic management centers have the ability to obtain and archive large amounts of data on the traffic system. These data can be used to estimate current conditions and predict future conditions on the roadway network. A general solution methodology for identifying the optimal aggregation interval sizes for four scenarios is proposed in this article: (1) link travel time estimation, (2) corridor/route travel time estimation, (3) link travel time forecasting, and (4) corridor/route travel time forecasting. The methodology explicitly considers traffic dynamics and frequency of observations. A formulation based on mean square error (MSE) is developed for each of the scenarios and interpreted from a traffic flow perspective. The methodology for estimating the optimal aggregation size is based on (1) the tradeoff between the estimated mean square error of prediction and the variance of the predictor, (2) the differences between estimation and forecasting, and (3) the direct consideration of the correlation between link travel time for corridor/route estimation and forecasting. The proposed methods are demonstrated using travel time data from Houston, Texas, that were collected as part of the automatic vehicle identification (AVI) system of the Houston Transtar system. It was found that the optimal aggregation size is a function of the application and traffic condition.

Estimation of origin-destination matrices from link counts and sporadic routing data

Estimation of origin-destination (OD) matrices from link count data is a challenging problem because of the highly indeterminate relationship between the observations and the latent route flows. Conversely, estimation is straightforward if we observe the path taken by each vehicle. We consider an intermediate problem of increasing practical importance, in which link count data is supplemented by routing information for a fraction of vehicles on the network. We develop a statistical model for these combined data sources and derive some tractable normal approximations thereof. We examine likelihood-based inference for these normal models under the assumption that the probability of vehicle tracking is known. We show that the likelihood theory can be non-standard because of boundary effects, and provide conditions under which such irregular behaviour will be observed in practice. For regular cases we outline connections with existing generalised least squares methods. We then consider estimation of OD matrices under estimated and/or misspecified models for the probability of vehicle tracking. Theoretical developments are complemented by simulation experiments and an illustrative example using a section of road network from the English city of Leicester.     

斗轮堆取料机生产信息优化与共享

针对如何将斗轮堆取料机司机与司机、操作员和生产管理者之间相互连接的问题,对斗轮堆取料机生产信息的优化和共享进行研究,通过在散货码头流程控制系统和生产信息系统的基础上融合再开发,利用现场工业以太网,实现了斗轮堆取料机与操作员之间、斗轮堆取料机司机之间、斗轮堆取料机与生产信息管理系统之间、斗轮堆取料机与远程管理者之间4个层面的信息共享,使各方可根据需求实时共享信息,并对生产进行指导和控制。斗轮堆取料机生产信息的优化和共享提高各方联动互通性,尤其是提高了混配作业的准确性和有效性,增强了散货码头在混配生产上的竞争力。     

长江航道大型整治工程施工安全控制关键技术

长江航道大型整治工程施工河段长、工程量大且工序多,施工水域船舶通航密度大、船舶种类多,施工安全生产控制与河段通航安全面临巨大挑战。依托长江干线下、中、上游典型大型航道整治工程,围绕工程施工全过程风险管控及安全保障技术,采用理论分析、仿真模拟、现场试验、系统研发相结合的方法,提出了长江航道大型整治工程风险识别与评估方法,构建了通航安全与施工生产安全风险预测模型,研究了长江航道大型整治工程全方位、全过程、全要素施工安全保障与控制技术,并基于AIS和云技术开发了长江航道整治工程施工区安全综合信息平台,为保障大型航道整治工程生产及通航安全提供了理论依据和技术手段。     

智能船舶集成设计技术

针对符合CCS《智能船舶规范》入级符号的船舶设计开发,研究分析智能船舶集成设计技术的设计思想、设计要素、设计框架和关键技术,设计目标船解决方案,并讨论了未来需要突破技术方向。     

中低雷诺数流动直接数值模拟的算法比较

文章采用不同的算法对中低雷诺数方腔驱动流动进行了直接数值模拟,所用算法分别是人工压缩方法、SIMPLE算法以及PISO算法.三种算法均采用有限体积法基于交错网格技术离散N-S方程,时间项采用全隐格式离散,对流项采用QUICK格式离散,并将它们得到结果与Ghia发表的基准解进行了比对.文中分析了在同样的收敛条件下,不同算法之间的稳定性,收敛速率以及准确性的差异,发现PISO算法在较低雷诺数Re=400和Re=1000情况下最准确,而人工压缩算法在雷诺数为5000时最准确,在所有计算的不同Re数条件下,发现人工压缩法达到收敛所需时间都是最少的,这可以使它成为中低雷诺数下研究直接数值模拟最好的算法之一.     

我国船舶行业智能制造的新内涵与应用

加快推动新一代信息技术与先进船舶制造技术深度融合,将对我国船舶行业的发展带来重大影响.本文从分析智能制造的内涵人手,研究探索把人工智能、物联网、大数据、云计算等新技术与智能制造相融合的思路,尝试提出新一代信息技术条件下智能制造的新内涵,并对其在我国船舶行业的应用进行分析,进一步讨论目前发展所面临的问题,最后结合现状提出建议.     

论信息网络传播权

2001修订的《著作权法》增加了信息网络传播权,弥补了法律上的空白,为法院审理有关著作权纠纷提供了法律依据。本文在阐述信息网络传播权的内涵、特征的基础上,对法律没有明确规定的信息网络传播权的保护和限制问题进行探讨,以加强和完善我国著作权法对信息网络传播权的保护。     

集装箱运输组织信息集成模式研究

基于对集装箱运输组织流程的剖析,提出了集装箱运输组织信息的集成模式。这个模式涉及信息集成需求分析、体系结构的确定和基于多Agent的信息集成实现等内容。研究表明：集装箱运输组织必须得到来自不同信息源、具有不同特征的不同类型信息的支持、具有多数据源支持、集成分析功能多样和存储虚拟等特点．它可以通过建立虚拟视图的方式来实现基于多Agent的集装箱运输组织信息集成．     

城市道路交通系统频谱分析方法及应用

对实际道路交通系统特征的研究是通过分析布设在路网中不同地点大量交通信息采集设备采集的数据来进行的。交通信息采集是对城市道路交通系统在时间和空闻上一个采样过程,其数据具有时问和空间属性．本文系统地建立了一种城市道路交通系统频谱分析方法。对于时间采样,通过功率谱分析认为：不同的数据采样间隔,获得的交通信息不同,从而分析出的...