论市场环境下高速公路工程项目管理的实施

以市场环境下高速公路工程项目管理为研究对象,分析了高速公路质量管理的措施,以期为提升我国高速公路建设水平提供理论层面的参考。     

基于灰色多层次的机场投资风险评价研究

根据全面性、系统性、科学性与可行性相结合的原则,针对机场投资的特点,建立了机场投资风险评价指标体系。运用可拓相似系数法和灰色多层次评价相结合的综合评价法对机场投资风险进行评价。以衡阳机场为例,进行了风险评价研究,得出综合评价值。     

长江中游相对湿度的气候变化特征及其对航运的影响分析

利用1965～2008年长江中游附近17个气象观测站点的相对湿度数据分析了长江中游相对湿度的气候变化特征.分析结果表明:长江中游年平均相对湿度在65％～85％之间,除个别站点外年平均相对湿度以及年高湿日天数均有减小的趋势;大部分站点6～8月份的相对湿度比其他月份要高,且与其他月份相对湿度的差值有增加趋势;高湿日天数在1/3以上,较西的站点7月份高湿日最多,较东的站点3月份高湿日最多;相对湿度与降雨量呈正相关,与蒸发量和日照时间呈负相关.相对湿度的这种变化对粮食、化肥等货物的运输是有利的.     

考虑出行竞争的网约车能源环境效应不确定性研究

在碳中和背景下,交通行业推进节能减排刻不容缓。随着网约车的蓬勃发展,它被认为替 代了部分传统出行方式出行量,与传统出行方式形成竞争关系,网约车对绿色出行量的影响引发 了人们对其能源环境效应的思考。本文基于反事实思维视角,从网约车对传统出行方式出行量 影响的角度建立网约车能源环境效应评估模型;以北京市为案例城市,运用网约车进入北京之前 不同指标的数据,推演近年不考虑网约车影响的传统出行方式出行量;结合推演出行量和建立的 能源环境效应评估模型得到网约车带来的净碳排放。结果表明,网约车对公交车和地铁出行量 产生一定的抑制作用,其能源环境效应具有不确定性特征,并且随着共乘比例的增大,网约车的 负能源环境效应削弱,说明网约车仍然具有节能减排的潜力,相关部门需要合理管理网约车。研 究结论揭示了网约车的能源环境效应及发展共乘模式的重要性,对以网约车为代表的共享出行 可持续发展具有参考意义,为实现碳中和作贡献。     

航运企业非理性投资行为影响因素的实证研究

非理性投资行为是导致航运危机的重要原因,也是航运企业可持续发展的关键障碍.基于行为金融学理论,分析组织因素、环境因素、个人因素与航运企业非理性投资行为间的关系,并构建非理性投资行为影响因素的结构方程模型.实证结果显示:问责制度、激励措施、项目熟悉度和经验水平对非理性投资行为具有显著的负向影响;运价走势和竞争压力对非理性投资行为具有显著的正向影响;非理性投资行为会导致航运企业投资风险增加,投资绩效降低.     

Maritime logistics as an emerging discipline

The evolution of maritime logistics as an emerging discipline has resulted, to a large extent, from the increasing and varied demands of shippers and customers and the rapidly changing role of ports in the context of supply and logistics chains. Scholars are becoming increasingly aware of the need to integrate logistics and supply chain management concepts in the maritime transportation chain and operations. This article aims to provide a review and foundation for understanding the domain of maritime logistics and to assess its potential as an emerging discipline. To do so, a framework for understanding the various aspects of maritime logistics strategy and implementation is developed. A synthesis of the existing knowledge on maritime logistics is done by integrating diverse explorations forming the basis of this framework. We draw upon the literature on maritime transport and ports and primarily theliterature that analyses concepts by adopting an economic or management perspective.     

A cause of oversupply and failure in the shipping market: measuring herding behavior effects

ABSTRACT

The shipping market is volatile. In general, the shipping market cycle shows four stages, through—recovery—peak—collapse, while a upward trend lasts for 7~8 years and a downward trend for another 7~8 years. So the market’s bubble is not sustainable but always ends in a recessionary trend. The economic cycle is common knowledge and an axiom of the shipping industry, but many ship-owners take no account of it. Previous study stated that ship-owners’ fears, triggered by a violently changeable market, make them mimic the crowd mind or herd mentality, following market sentiment. This study aims to measure the effects of herding behavior (HB), triggered by market sentiment, on the shipping market. We attempt to address two research questions: (1) How does HB arise, and what course does it follow? (2) How many vessels (or how many tons) were purchased under the influence of HB? We estimate that 50.5% (227.8 vessels) of the total vessels or 30.4% (3,670.2 tons) of the total tonnage were purchased under the influence of HB. Looking at international finance, we found that ship investment HB is a very strong factor of the recent shipping market, at least in Korea.     

运城地区高速公路服务设施冬季采暖环境问题分析及对策

通过调查对运城地区高速公路服务设施冬季采暖存在的环境问题进行分析,结合国家节能减排要求,提出了利用地源热泵清洁能源代替燃煤锅炉的对策措施,并从技术、经济和环境方面分析了地源热泵技术应用的可行性。     

高速公路环境影响后评价的发展现状及存在的问题

随着高速公路建设的飞速发展,高速公路建设对环境的影响也越来越大。通过对高速公路环境影响后评价发展历程的介绍,指出了高速公路环境影响后评价中存在的问题,最后对高速公路环境影响后评价进行了展望。     

价值工程在工程设计方案优选中的应用

建设项目投资控制贯穿于工程建设全过程,设计阶段是全过程投资控制的关键环节。在工程设计方案优选中引入价值工程理论,并指出价值工程分析的不确定性,应用灰色关联分析理论改进价值工程,使工程造价、使用成木及建筑产品功能匹配合理,有效降低建设投资。