Uni- and bi-directional pedestrian flow in the view-limited condition: Experiments and modeling

In this paper, the impact of vision on the uni- and bi-directional flow has been investigated via experiment and modeling. In the experiments, pedestrians are asked to walk clockwise/anti-clockwise in a ring-shaped corridor under view-limited condition and normal view condition. As expected, the flow rate under the view-limited condition decreases comparing with that under the normal view condition, no matter in uni- or bi-directional flow. In bidirectional flow, pedestrians segregate into two opposite moving streams very quickly under the normal view condition, and clockwise/anti-clockwise walking pedestrians are always in the inner/outer ring due to right-walking preference. In the first set of experiment, spontaneous lane formation has not occurred under the view-limited condition. Pedestrian flow does not evolve into stationary state. Local congestion occurs and dissipates from time to time. However, in the later sets of experiments, spontaneous lane formation has re-occurred. This is because participants learned from the experience and adapted right-walking preference to avoid collision. To model the flow dynamics, an improved force-based model has been proposed. The driving force has been modified. The right-walking preference has been taken into account. The fact that pedestrians cannot judge the moving direction accurately under limited-view condition has been considered. Simulation results are in good agreement with the experimental ones.     

An investigation on the performances of mode shift models in transit ridership forecasting

This paper aims at investigating the over-prediction of public transit ridership by traditional mode choice models estimated using revealed preference data. Five different types of models are estimated and analysed, namely a traditional Revealed Preference (RP) data-based mode choice model, a hybrid mode choice model with a latent variable, a Stated Preference (SP) data-based mode switching model, a joint RP/SP mode switching model, and a hybrid mode switching model with a latent variable. A comparison of the RP data-based mode choice model with the mode choice models including a latent variable showed that the inclusion of behavioural factors (especially habit formation) significantly improved the models. The SP data-based mode switching models elucidated the reasons why traditional models tend to over-predict transit ridership by revealing the role played by different transit level-of-service attributes and their relative importance to mode switching decisions. The results showed that traditional attributes (e.g. travel cost and time) are of lower importance to mode switching behaviour than behavioural factors (e.g. habit formation towards car driving) and other transit service design attributes (e.g. crowding level, number of transfers, and schedule delays). The findings of this study provide general guidelines for developing a variety of transit ridership forecasting models depending on the availability of data and the experience of the planner.     

A comprehensive dwelling unit choice model accommodating psychological constructs within a search strategy for consideration set formation

This study adopts a dwelling unit level of analysis and considers a probabilistic choice set generation approach for residential choice modeling. In doing so, we accommodate the fact that housing choices involve both characteristics of the dwelling unit and its location, while also mimicking the search process that underlies housing decisions. In particular, we model a complete range of dwelling unit choices that include tenure type (rent or own), housing type (single family detached, single family attached, or apartment complex), number of bedrooms, number of bathrooms, number of storeys (one or multiple), square footage of the house, lot size, housing costs, density of residential neighborhood, and commute distance. Bhat’s (2015) generalized heterogeneous data model (GHDM) system is used to accommodate the different types of dependent outcomes associated with housing choices, while capturing jointness caused by unobserved factors. The proposed analytic framework is applied to study housing choices using data derived from the 2009 American Housing Survey (AHS), sponsored by the Department of Housing and Urban Development (HUD) and conducted by the U.S. Census Bureau. The results confirm the jointness in housing choices, and indicate the superiority of a choice set formation model relative to a model that assumes the availability of all dwelling unit alternatives in the choice set.     

城市轨道交通新建线路对沿线住宅价格增值的时空效应

定量分析城市轨道交通对沿线土地价值的影响，是通过土地价值捕获将外部效益内部化， 解决中国新型城镇化过程中城市轨道交通财务可持续的关键问题。本文在开源数据环境下，获 取2011—2016年北京市二手房交易数据，采用特征价格模型(HPM)分析北京城市轨道交通新建 线路对沿线住宅价格增值的时空效应。研究表明：与全局常参数的多元线性回归模型(MLR)、空 间滞后模型(SLM)、空间误差模型(SEM)和空间杜宾模型(SDM)相比，局部变参数的地理加权回归 模型(GWR)拟合效果更优，可以更好地消除残差的空间效应，刻画轨道交通与土地价值关系的空 间异质性。城市轨道交通带来的可达性提升对沿线80%以上住宅小区的房价具有显著的正效 应，住宅价格增值比率随地铁站距离递远递减，且具有显著的空间异质性。轨道交通对住宅价格 的影响在空间上具有网络化效应，新建线路不仅会改变周边房价，对城轨网络其他位置的住宅也 具有影响。城市轨道交通对住宅价格的影响范围为1 km，在该范围内，住宅价格受到的增值效应 在 2011—2016 年基本稳定，约为 3%；受新线直接影响区域的住宅价格会产生相对更大的提升 (0.02%~0.22%)。     

Distinguishing the land use effects of road pricing based on the urban form attributes

This paper studies the effects of road pricing on land use under different development scenarios (business as usual scenario and transit oriented development scenario) by a quantitative method, which combines the integrated land use and transport interaction model (TRANUS model) with the scenario-planning techniques. Moreover, in order to further analyze the differences of the land use effects of road pricing on traffic analysis zones (TAZs) with different urban form attributes, a quantitative classification method combining factor analysis and cluster analysis is then used to quantitatively classify TAZs. The results demonstrate that the effects of road pricing on the land use of a specific region depend on the urban form attributes of the region. The higher the densities of employments and population, and better street design (high densities of street and intersections) and public transportation condition, the less the region is negatively affected by road pricing, and vice versa. More importantly, rail transit can alleviate the negative impact of road pricing on commercial development and population concentration of the region. Therefore, before introducing a road pricing policy, it is necessary to develop public transport system, especially rail transit.     

An activity pattern – destination land use choice model of low income households of informal settlements – Case study of Delhi

Various transportation studies carried out in India, while estimating the travel demand, do not take into consideration the travel characteristics of different income groups. The conventional transportation travel demand model lacks the ability to address the travel needs of the urban poor. This paper explores the factors influencing the travel destinations of urban poor living in informal settlements and finds that travel times have a significant negative impact on the choice to travel and influences the choice of the destinations. The study also finds that the inhabitants of informal settlements are adversely affected by urban policies that displace them and rehabilitate them far from their employment opportunities and that the travel characteristics of low income households living in informal settlements are significantly different from higher income households.     

泊松曲线法在填海造地道路软基沉降预测中的应用

结合某填海造地道路地基处理工程实例,以软基沉降监测数据为依据,采用泊松曲线法对软土地基沉降进行预测,并与双曲线法、三点法预测结果及现场实测数据进行对比分析。研究结果表明：泊松曲线法所得预测曲线与实测曲线较为吻合,是一种实用且精度较高的地基沉降预测方法,可为类似工程提供借鉴。     

"国货年"运动与社会崇洋观念

以上海为中心的国货年运动，并未获致与洋货竞胜市场和减少外贸入超的预期利益，民众的崇洋心态构成了民族产品市场的重大阻力之一，而此种心态的形成，则与洋货物美价廉的路径依赖式影响、上层社会的消费示范作用、以及消费风尚籍商品广告和人员流动而广播蔓延不无关联。     

造成水泥砼路面断裂的原因及防治措施

分析造成水泥砼路面裂缝的原因,从施工与设计角度提出了防止水泥砼路面裂缝的措施。     

浅谈高速公路桥头跳车的原因及防治措施

广州市北二环高速公路路线全长42.5公里,全线结构物较多且填土较高。为尽量避免桥头跳车现象的发生,北二环高速公路项目管理处针对不同的情况,采取相应的处理措施,取得了良好的效果。结合以往工程实例及北二环高速公路工程的实践,就桥头跳车的原因及台背处理问题,从理论与实践上作以下简单探讨。