Experiential Incrementalism: On the Theory and Technique to Implement Transport Plans and Policies

The paper describes an approach to the vexing problem of transport planning and policy. It deals jointly with three questions, which in today's practice are addressed separately: How are hypotheses about transport problems and alternatives to their solution developed? How can a good plan or policy be identified? What is the process of implementing a transport plan or policy? In doing this the paper has the ambitious objective of proposing a new model and process for transport planning and policy. It is applicable in developed and developing countries and is not restricted to the transport sector. The paper builds on, and is a reinterpretation of two cornerstone transport planning and decision-making models – the CATS (Chicago Area Transportation Study) Planning and Design Model and Braybrooke and Lindblom's Disjointed Incrementalism. It advances a technique of experiential incrementalism (termed polisanalysis) to develop and implement plans and policies. It proposes that problems should be diagnosed by observation and continuous data collection; that their continuous analysis, finding the “cure”, and implementation take place through the method of experiential incrementalism. In this method interventions are grounded on the theories of neoinstitutional economics and psychoanalysis and derived using contact function, explained in the paper, which renders the method scientific replicability. Experiential incrementalism can employ a wider array of options in planning and policy than is presently thought possible. Like other scientific methods, its application requires rigorous training.     

Dual extended Kalman filter for vehicle state and parameter estimation

The article demonstrates the implementation of a model-based vehicle estimator, which can be used for combined estimation of vehicle states and parameters. The estimator is realised using the dual extended Kalman filter (DEKF) technique, which makes use of two Kalman filters running in parallel, thus 'splitting' the state and parameter estimation problems. Note that the two problems cannot be entirely separated due to their inherent interdependencies. This technique provides several advantages, such as the possibility to switch off the parameter estimator, once a sufficiently good set of estimates has been obtained. The estimator is based on a four-wheel vehicle model with four degrees of freedom, which accommodates the dominant modes only, and is designed to make use of several interchangeable tyre models. The paper demonstrates the appropriateness of the DEKF. Results to date indicate that this is an effective approach, which is considered to be of potential benefit to the automotive industry.     

连续下坡路段交通安全的改善措施

分析运营阶段连续下坡路段事故特征以及存在的突出问题,借鉴国内外典型连续下坡路段安全改造的经验,提出了一系列连续下坡路段的安全改善措施。道路管理部门可以合理运用这些措施,减少交通事故,提高连续下坡路段的安全性能。     

The Impact of Travel Time Information on Travelers’ Learning under Uncertainty

In this work, laboratory experiment was conducted in order to evaluate the effect of feedback on decision-making under uncertainty, with and without provided information about travel times. We discuss the prediction of travelers’ response to uncertainty in two route–choice situations. In the first situation travelers are faced with a route–choice problem in which travel times are uncertain but some external information about routes’ travel times is provided. The second situation takes place in a more uncertain environment in which external information about travel times is not provided, and the travelers’ only source of information is their own experience. Experimental results are in conflict with the paradigm about traveler information systems: As a consequence of information, the propensity of travelers to minimize expected travel time is not necessarily increased. Providing travelers with static information about expected travel times reveals an increase in the heterogeneity of travelers’ choices and reduces the maximization rate.     

基于雨水资源化利用的城市排水系统优化设计

为解决城市日益突出的水资源危机以及现有雨洪排水系统所导致的城市水涝、城市生态环境恶化等一系列严重环境问题,提出了基于雨水资源化利用的城市雨洪排水系统优化设计方法,采取相应的工程措施,将汛期雨水“先就地利用,后排出,再蓄积调节利用”。该方法可以达到节约城市生活饮用水资源并减轻防洪压力的目的。     

深圳市梧桐山盘山公路改造设计

梧桐山盘山公路原是一条等外级公路,通过合理组织交通,线形标准采用山岭重丘区三级公路的标准,注重道路景观、结合边防设施的需求,改造为城市次干道。     

混凝土内植筋技术的应用一例简述

在城市建设中,常遇到新增管线穿越已建桥梁的问题,在桥梁上增设管线支架对桥梁构造或多或少会产生一些影响。该文通过工程实例,介绍在桥台台身位置采用植筋技术浇筋牛腿作为支托,架设一条热力管道穿越桥下的设计、施工及应用评估。     

孝感市城区排水、排渍可行性研究

结合湖北孝感市的实际情况,对孝感市区老城区排水管道、渍水现象进行了分析,根据其存在的问题,对其旧城区原有排水管道进行了部分改造,实施了截流式合流制排水体制,对其新城区采用了雨污分流制的设计方案,并对其泵站排渍方案进行了经济比较论证。     

济南经十路SMA混合料的质量控制

SMA属于间断级配沥青混合料,它依靠大量粗集料形成嵌挤并通过沥青玛蹄脂填充而形成高性能沥青路面,其设计与验证依然沿用马歇尔试验方法,另附加了其他试验方法以弥补马歇尔法的不足。SMA设计必须对其混合料是否形成嵌挤进行验证。     

桥梁地基部分被淘蚀后的稳定性研究

处于斜坡上的桥梁地基常会受到冲刷淘蚀而使基底面积减小,对桥基造成不利影响。针对这一情况,研究淘蚀形状不规则的桥基稳定性计算方法和计算公式。