Situation analysis forecasting: the case of European maritime clusters

Within the literature concerned with aspects of competitiveness, innovation and strategic management of industrial clusters, the body regarding forecasting of strategic management is still nascent. This work aspires to render a contribution within the domain of strategic management forecasting, through the indicative case of European maritime clusters. For this end, a two-tier model is formulated. A quantitative strengths, weaknesses, opportunities, and threats (SWOT) methodology that derives from the fusion of a quondam situation analysis and crosstabs’ theory is generated. This leads to the utilization of the crosstab’s conditional probabilities as transition probabilities; the latter are called to compile the transition matrix of a Markov chain. Through this methodology, and the successive Markov chain’s transition matrices, strategic forecasts are extracted for a devised European maritime cluster case. This work relinquishes a novel application with respect to strategic management forecasting, that provides a dichotomy of practical interpretations and scenarios for quantitative situation analysis. Thus, it may enable effective real-time decision-making for strategic management and/or policy drafting. The situation analysis forecasting model may find applicability in a plethora of practical and theoretical cases, wherein forecasting may be desirable. It may as well pertain to an intrinsic methodology for situation analysis forecasting of maritime clusters.     

航道保护及其范围划定方法探讨

针对航道保护的现状和需求,分析航道保护的内容及影响航道稳定的主要因素,提出核心保护区、敏感区的概念及相应保护措施,探讨航道保护范围划定的基本要求以及需要开展的基础工作等内容。以长江南京以下12.5 m深水航道一期工程航道保护的范围划定为例,对航道保护范围的划定流程提出可操作的建议。     

Evaluating the effects of green port policy: Case study of Kaohsiung harbor in Taiwan

The paper evaluates the effectiveness of strategies designed to reduce these pollutants in port areas, based on a newly developed assessment model to calculate emissions. The case study found that the strategy of reducing the ship’s speed to 12 knots is most effective in cutting fuel consumption and costs, as well as emissions. Adopting an onshore power supply system could reduce CO₂ emission by 57.16% and PM by 39.4%. By adopting the strategies of both reduced speed and cold ironing emissions control, a reduction in emissions of 71% to 91% can be achieved with a 20 nautical mile reduced speed zone. Therefore, the goals of reductions in emissions to improve port areas air quality could be achieved through adopting a green port policy in the future.     

An operational activity-based method to estimate CO2 emissions from container shipping considering empty container repositioning

This paper develops an operational activity-based method to estimate CO₂ emissions from container shipping in contrasts to the traditional aggregated activity-based method. Two case studies investigate the impacts of empty container repositioning policies and port handling capacity on CO₂ emission index. The results show that the aggregated method could well overestimate CO₂ emissions and the operational activity-based method is more appropriate. The paper also demonstrates that high port-handling capacity and efficient empty container repositioning could reduce CO₂ emissions in seaborne container transportation.     

漳州南太武海滩泥化综合整治

南太武海滩前部水域浪小流弱,九龙江和近岸陆域排洪排污对海滩直接影响较大,造成严重的沙滩泥化和环境问题。面对复杂的外部边界条件,综合海岸动力学、生态学、环境学等多学科的方法,统筹城市排洪排污需求和景观生态需要,分析沙滩泥化的现状和机理,从技术、经济和生态方面论证了治理方案的可行性,并创新性探索减淤屏在整治海滩泥化工程设计中的应用。     

海事诉讼协议管辖制度之探讨

依据《民事诉讼法》和《海事诉讼特别程序法》的规定,特定类型的海事纠纷可由当事人协议选择管辖法院.但现行海事诉讼协议管辖制度在案件类型、可协议选择的管辖法院范围、数量、管辖协议形式及默示协议管辖等方面存在着若干问题,应通过修改《民事诉讼法》的方式在我国建立完整、严密的协议管辖制度.     

改进振动法在地下工程动力时程计算中的应用

地下工程受到周围土体的约束作用,其动力反映与地面工程有所区别,如将源于地面工程的振动法用于地下工程的动力时程计算分析,需要进行相应的改进.文章通过计算分析发现,振动法用于地下工程动力时程计算时,在计算模型边界条件和波动传播时间效应方面不能反映波动对地下工程作用的实质；通过对比分析,在这两个方面对常规振动法进行了改进；提出了适用于地下工程动力时程计算的改进振动法.该方法的计算模型采用左右两侧粘弹性底部固定的人工边界条件,波动输入采用能够反映波动传播时间效应的分层加速度动态输入法,其计算分析结果与理论解吻合较好,适用于地下工程的动力时程计算分析.     

非对称建筑荷载作用下小净距隧道施工模拟分析

在非对称建筑荷载作用下,采用CRD法和预留核心土弧形导坑法两种施工开挖方案,对小净距隧道的施工过程进行了数值模拟研究.对两种施工方案的洞室周边竖向变形、地中围岩变形和洞室周边的围岩应力进行了对比分析,揭示了非对称建筑荷载作用下两种方案的洞室周边竖向变形规律和变形规律的相似性,获得了地中围岩变形的变化规律,对信息化反馈施工,指出了必须重点监控与关注的位置.     

海事司法鉴定存在的问题及完善

文中分析了当前我国海事司法鉴定工作存在的问题,结合海事审判特点,从建立海事司法鉴定法律体系、完善海事司法鉴定人资格审核制度、建构海事司法鉴定机构、对海事司法鉴定机构实行统一管理、完善鉴定人出庭制度等五个方面提出解决对策,以期对完善我国海事司法鉴定制度有所裨益。     

新七道梁隧道量测位移反分析及工程应用

以新七道梁隧道为工程背景,采用平面应变边界元BM P 90程序,将围岩简化成等效连续均质各向同性的线弹性介质,将锚喷支护提供的支护抗力看成边界元上的分布力,根据收敛值和拱顶下沉值推求等效弹性模量和侧压力系数。然后利用反分析得出结果,对围岩的应力与变形进行了分析。