上海市防汛能力建设调查及评价

上海位于长江入海口,低洼的地势使得上海遭受台风、暴雨、高潮、洪水(俗称“四碰头”)的袭击后易成灾,多年来上海已建设抵御灾害的防汛体系,且发挥了积极的作用。在对上海防汛能力建设体系开展调查的基础上,分析存在问题和不足。同时,结合科学的层次分析法理论构建评价指标体系,为后续防汛能力建设的进一步优化提供依据。     

无梁板式高桩码头温度效应分析

气温的年变化会引起结构内温度的均匀变化,从而使得结构内部产生变形和内力,在高桩码头工程中温度作用往往会引起不利影响。为了研究无梁板式高桩码头的温度效应,基于无限板的热传导规律,以工程实例为依托,利用有限元软件ABAQUS建立三维模型。结合杭州地区的逐时气象资料,研究了气温变化特征、面板温差场以及结构变形与位移的变化规律,并对基本气温的选取进行讨论。结果表明:气温在无梁面板中呈现以厚度方向为主的一维传热特征,温度场在水平向分布均匀;气温年变幅在面板内几无衰减,日变幅对面板温度影响不可忽略;面板的整体温差与竣工时气温和年平均气温差,以及年变幅、日变幅的衰减值有关;无梁板码头基桩的温度响应受面板的整体温差控制,两者瞬时同步变化。     

基于体能消耗规律的游憩道路规划建设

随着当前社会经济的进步,我国旅游行业发展极为迅速,人们休闲意识的提升,旅游以及游憩活动在人们日常生活中逐步增多,而游憩作为人们旅游的重要组成内容,游憩道路必须结合人们体能消耗规律进行实时规划建设,虽然目前人类交通方式的多元化使得游憩活动空间障碍得以有效减少,但徒步游览仍是大部分观光型景区及游憩区的主要活动方式,这个过程中人们游憩道路过长,体能消耗所带来的疲劳感往往会导致其自身游览满意度降低,甚至对自身健康带来一定安全隐患,且老人和幼儿等特殊人群活动时间及活动方式有限,也使其对游憩道路要求更高。对基于体能消耗规律的游憩道路规划建设,进行分析探讨,并对其做相应整理和总结。     

我国海洋船舶污染防治法律制度的缺陷与对策

伴随我国经济和航运事业的快速发展,船舶营运造成了我国海洋环境的严重破坏,但我国防治船舶海洋污染法律制度的建设却严重滞后。在充分考量我国防治船舶海洋污染法律制度的现状的基础上,借鉴美国在相关法律制度建设上的立法经验,对我国防治船舶海洋污染法律制度的建设提出建议与对策。     

An operational activity-based method to estimate CO2 emissions from container shipping considering empty container repositioning

This paper develops an operational activity-based method to estimate CO₂ emissions from container shipping in contrasts to the traditional aggregated activity-based method. Two case studies investigate the impacts of empty container repositioning policies and port handling capacity on CO₂ emission index. The results show that the aggregated method could well overestimate CO₂ emissions and the operational activity-based method is more appropriate. The paper also demonstrates that high port-handling capacity and efficient empty container repositioning could reduce CO₂ emissions in seaborne container transportation.     

Evaluating the effects of green port policy: Case study of Kaohsiung harbor in Taiwan

The paper evaluates the effectiveness of strategies designed to reduce these pollutants in port areas, based on a newly developed assessment model to calculate emissions. The case study found that the strategy of reducing the ship’s speed to 12 knots is most effective in cutting fuel consumption and costs, as well as emissions. Adopting an onshore power supply system could reduce CO₂ emission by 57.16% and PM by 39.4%. By adopting the strategies of both reduced speed and cold ironing emissions control, a reduction in emissions of 71% to 91% can be achieved with a 20 nautical mile reduced speed zone. Therefore, the goals of reductions in emissions to improve port areas air quality could be achieved through adopting a green port policy in the future.     

Effects of the ‘Belt and Road’ initiative on the wine import logistics of China

China’s Belt and Road (BR) initiative is expected to facilitate international trade between the countries involved. In this study, we review the special requirements of wine logistics and the market growth potential of wine consumption in China. A model minimizing generalized logistical costs is developed and applied to wine imports in China, so that the best candidate cities in which to locate transport gateways and distribution centers can be identified. Our analysis suggests that the most preferred gateways are Shanghai, Tianjin, Guangzhou, and Hong Kong, which all have similar delivery costs. In comparison, Beijing and Chongqing have much higher delivery costs, mainly because they do not have good access to marine transport and/or efficient domestic distribution networks. For long-distance intercontinental transport of large volumes of wine, marine shipping remains the only viable delivery mode. However, wine distribution within China extensively uses air, road, and water transport. Therefore, cities with excellent multi-modal transport services are better positioned to become wine logistics gateways. Our study also highlights the importance of value-added services and good government support, which are important factors that influence distribution costs and quality.     

Situation analysis forecasting: the case of European maritime clusters

Within the literature concerned with aspects of competitiveness, innovation and strategic management of industrial clusters, the body regarding forecasting of strategic management is still nascent. This work aspires to render a contribution within the domain of strategic management forecasting, through the indicative case of European maritime clusters. For this end, a two-tier model is formulated. A quantitative strengths, weaknesses, opportunities, and threats (SWOT) methodology that derives from the fusion of a quondam situation analysis and crosstabs’ theory is generated. This leads to the utilization of the crosstab’s conditional probabilities as transition probabilities; the latter are called to compile the transition matrix of a Markov chain. Through this methodology, and the successive Markov chain’s transition matrices, strategic forecasts are extracted for a devised European maritime cluster case. This work relinquishes a novel application with respect to strategic management forecasting, that provides a dichotomy of practical interpretations and scenarios for quantitative situation analysis. Thus, it may enable effective real-time decision-making for strategic management and/or policy drafting. The situation analysis forecasting model may find applicability in a plethora of practical and theoretical cases, wherein forecasting may be desirable. It may as well pertain to an intrinsic methodology for situation analysis forecasting of maritime clusters.     

对水运工程钢筋混凝土结构实体保护层作用的认识

钢筋腐蚀是造成水运工程钢筋混凝土破损的主要原因之一，混凝土保护层是保证钢筋延迟开始腐蚀的重要屏障。认识保护层的主要作用，对提高水运工程混凝土结构使用寿命具有重要意义。     

船舶舵鳍联合减摇模糊变结构控制研究

分析了船舶运动的非线性模型,根据实际情况进行假设,得到了船舶舵鳍联合减摇控制系统的状态方程,把非线性船舶舵鳍联合控制模型转化为可控正则型;将船舶运动模型看作是由横摇、艏摇、横荡3个子系统构成的大系统,进行了舵鳍联合控制,设计了舵鳍联合控制器和分散非线性变结构控制器,为了改善控制的品质,又进一步提出了模糊趋近律变结构控制的方法,最后针对减摇控制器进行了MATLAB仿真研究。仿真结果表明:舵鳍联合控制器能够很好的抑制船舶的横摇和艏摇,并能尽可能的减小横荡。