组合预测在港口吞吐量预测中的应用研究

以某港口1996—2002年吞吐量为原始数据,按照“误差平方和最小”的准则,把一元线性回归模型和GM(1,1)模型组合起来,对某港口2004—2008年的吞吐量进行了组合预测。     

澜沧江绣花滩群整治试验研究

在分析澜沧江绣花滩群中各种滩险滩性的基础上,同时考虑滩群中各滩险的滩性迥异、成因复杂以及之间的相互影响、相互制约的关系,整治工程方案布置以“顺应河势、因势利导、中水控制、低水整治、统筹兼顾”为主要原则,对澜沧江绣花滩群整治工程进行了河工模型试验研究,提出的整治措施已被实际工程采纳。     

全长粘结岩锚抗拔受力特性

根据锚杆与锚固浆之间界面耦合机理,分析了岩锚抗拔状态下界面剪应力的分布特征。基于变形协调得出小荷载情况下界面剪应力随离锚固受力点距离的增大成指数衰减,并随荷载增加,界面出现4个变形段,分离段和残余变形段随着塑性区开展产生非耦应力向远端传递。耦合区界面剪应力分布与小荷载情况不同,其相关模量参数可采用综合折减系数表示。同时,提出了单孔多锚杆受力剪应力衰减模型,并通过试验证示了现场锚杆在荷载逐级加大时,剪应力峰值强度的变化规律。     

象山港大桥建设对湾内潮流特性的影响

利用潮流数学模型，分析象山港大桥工程建设前后象山港内的潮流特性和工程建设对桥区潮流变化的影响。计算结果表明，大桥建设前后港内纳潮量基本不变，湾内高潮位略有下降，桥位区流速有所增加，港湾内整体流速有所减小，但改变幅度的相对值均不超过5％。除局部地区外，工程建设对湾内的潮流特征影响较小。     

高强钢筋混凝土非线性力学模型研究

针对高强钢筋混凝土非线性分析，对非线性分析中裂缝的模拟、钢筋混凝土材料本构关系及其非线性问题求解方法的改进进行研究，提出了适用于高强混凝土的本构曲线，并将混合法用于非线性问题，为高强钢筋混凝土梁非线性分析提供了理论基础。     

Modelling navigation in muddy areas through captive model tests

Many access channels and harbours suffer from sedimentation and formation of mud layers. To keep navigation safe and economic, extensive maintenance dredging is needed. Until now, the required level of dredging has always been determined by making use of the physical characteristics of the mud layer, which does not necessarily result in efficient dredging. Ship behaviour also matters, and knowledge of ship manoeuvrability can help to redefine the level of dredging required. A mathematical model of manoeuvring for simulation purposes, based on a comprehensive series of captive model tests, is presented, along with a selection of results.     

Coupled transport-reaction pathways and distribution patterns between siliciclastic-carbonate sediments at the Ria de Vigo

This paper examines the linkages between the space-distribution of grain sizes and the relative percentage of the amount of mineral species that result from the mixing process of siliciclastic and carbonate sediments at the Ria de Vigo (NW of Spain).The space-distribution of minerals was initially determined, starting from a detailed mineralogical study based on XRD-Rietveld analysis of the superficial sediments. Correlations between the maps obtained for grain sizes, average fractions of either siliciclastic or carbonates, as well as for individual-minerals, were further stabilised. From this analysis, spatially organized patterns were found between carbonates and several minerals involved in the siliciclastic fraction. In particular, a coupled behaviour is observed between plagioclases and carbonates, in terms of their relative percentage amounts and the grain size distribution.In order to explain these results a conceptual model is proposed, based on the interplay between chemical processes at the seawater–sediment interface and hydrodynamical factors. This model suggests the existence of chemical control mechanisms that, by selective processes of dissolution-crystallization, constrain the mixed environment's long-term evolution, inducing the formation of self-organized sedimentary patterns.     

一种新型建筑管理模式Partnering

介绍了Partnering模式的概念、组织结构和工作流程；分析了香港地铁将军澳延长线合同604在建立实施Partnering模式的一些实践做法，说明Partnering模式同样能给国内的建设项目管理带来有益的帮助。     

宁波港发展现代物流的模式及策略初探

现代物流已成为我国经济发展的重要产业和新的经济增长点。发展现代物流服务成为港口企业的一种必然选择。通过现状的分析,探讨宁波港发展现代物流的模式及策略。     

贺江航道通航水深问题研究

建立了贺江白沙至江口区段航道一维河网数学模型,采用该模型对贺江航道进行模拟分析,深入研究了水库不同调度条件下贺江航道断面水深问题.计算结果表明,贺江航道自白沙至江口区段的整体状况良好,只有在枯水期和中水期工况下在都平闸下存在不满足通航要求的区段,并且距离短、易整治.最后给出了不符合航道设计尺度要求的断面区间及其断面类型,对整体的贺江模型模拟计算结果进行了分析,提出了整治意见.