用人工神经网络预测沥青路面材料的回弹模量

将人工神经网络应用于沥青路面材料的回弹模量的预测 ,提出了一种有效的预测方法 ,并构造了预测回弹模量的神经网络模型 .预测结果表明 ,该模型具有较高的预测精度 ,为预测路面材料的回弹模量等力学指标提供了一种新的方法     

接触网检测车振动补偿研究

针对接触检测车实际工况,分析了检测车车体振动的动力学特性,建立了基于运动规律的数学模型,论述了训练样本得出检测车拉出值振动补偿函数的原理和方法。     

移动Agent在网络信息安全中的应用研究

针对如今计算机网络面临的信息安全问题,分析了传统的解决网络安全问题的入侵检测技术、拥塞控制技术和故障管理技术的不足之处,引入移动Agent应用于这三种系统中,分析其可行性,并提出了基于移动Agent的三种系统的组成和系统结构。     

舰艇编队无线自组网建模分析研究

路由协议是自组网的关键技术.路由协议的设计和性能评估都要涉及到一些基本的网络参数.本文结合舰艇编队无线通信网络实际,对编队无线自组网进行了合理假设,运用马氏链建模的方法对这一问题进行了研究,推导了任意节点相邻概率和邻居数的计算公式,实现了路由协议性能研究中涉及到的一些基本网络参数的定量处理.最后结合海军战斗群的典型应用进行了实例计算.文章基于马氏链建模所得到的结论,为军用无线自组网的理论分析提供了依据,对编队无线自组网的工程实践具有一定的指导意义.     

基于贝叶斯网络的声呐系统战场损伤评估及修复模型

为了解决战场环境下的声呐系统损伤评估及修复（SSBDAR）问题,本文研究了战场损伤评估及修复模型。针对舰艇声呐系统战场损伤评估的因果推理特性,建立了基于贝叶斯网络的战场损伤评估模型,提出了基于贝叶斯网络的评估流程,给出了基于贝叶斯网络的评估决断算法。该模型利用贝叶斯网络对各评估修复节点进行分析,能够解决损伤信息不确定性,而且充分利用舰艇声呐系统各节点的损伤信息,提高了模型评估及修复效率,是解决舰艇声呐系统战场损伤评估及修复问题的一个有效途径。     

基于LM算法的组合导航系统的故障诊断

LM (Levenberg-Marquardt)算法是梯度下降法与高斯-牛顿法的结合,在训练次数与精度上明显优于标准的BP算法.介绍了BP神经网络,采用LM算法对标准BP算法进行改进,并应用于船舶组合导航系统的故障诊断.仿真结果表明,LM算法可有效地提高学习速度,缩短训练时间,诊断效果好.     

无线Ad-Hoc网络密钥分发和认证机制研究

针对Ad Hoc网络没有管理中心,资源受限等特点,解决了Ad-Hoc网络面临的新的安全问题,使Ad-Hoc网络得到更广泛的应用.结合基于身份加密和门限秘密共享两个基本理论,提出了一个适用于Ad-Hoc网络、没有管理中心的分布式密钥分发和认证方案.其优点是:减少了运算量,节省了存储空间和带宽,并无需在网络形成之前假设密钥已经分发完毕,从而有效解决了Ad-Hoc网络安全中密钥管理的问题.     

The value of options for time charterparty extension: an artificial neural networks (ANN) approach

The most frequently associated options in the physical shipping market are options to extend the charter period on time charters and additional shipment options on contracts of affreightment. The value of freight options, in practice, is estimated mostly by referring to forward curves. An option on freight has different properties from its financial counterparts, and the straightforward adoption of theoretical models does not produce promising results. In this paper, extension options, which have the property of options on futures, were transformed into regular European options before the application of the Black-Scholes model (BSM). The efficient market hypothesis, which justifies the parity of the performance of a long-term charter to that of repetitive short-term charters, worked as the basis for the transformation. The option values determined by the BSM were compared with actual realized values. Additionally, the artificial neural networks (ANN) was employed to derive the option values. This study is meaningful as the first-time application of both the closed-form solution and the ANN to the valuation of physical freight options. The research results can contribute to the quality of chartering decisions. The results could also be used in quantifying credit risk, as extension options tend to be granted to charterers with more creditability.     

A latent class accelerated hazard model of social activity duration

Over the past decade, activity scheduling processes have gained increasing attention in the field of transportation research. However, still little is known about the scheduling of social activities even though these activities account for a large and growing portion of trips. This paper contributes to this knowledge. We analyze how the duration of social activities is influenced by social activity characteristics and characteristics of the relationship between the respondent and the contacted person(s). To that end, a latent class accelerated hazard model is estimated, based on social interaction diary data that was collected in the Netherlands in 2008. Chi-square tests and analyses of variance are used to test for significant relations between the latent classes and personal and household characteristics. Findings suggest that the social activity characteristics and the characteristics of the relationship between the socializing persons are highly significant in explaining social activity duration. This shows that social activities should not be considered as a homogenous set of activities and it underlines the importance of including the social context in travel-behavior models. Moreover, the results indicate that there is a substantial amount of latent heterogeneity across the population. Four latent classes are identified, showing different social activity durations, and different effects for both categories of explanatory variables. Latent class membership can be explained by household composition, socio-economic status (education, income and work hours), car ownership and the number of interactions in 2 days.     

多工序加工单元的移动机器人调度优化

为合理分配动力电池生产线容量确定单元中移动机器人的任务,优化机器人调度路径,提高调度效率,在考虑设备加工工时、物理位置等约束下,以最小化调度任务时间为目标,建立多工序加工单元单轨约束下多移动机器人调度模型,设计遗传算法并采用MATLAB进行求解,给出不同机器人分配方案下的目标函数值和收敛情况。结果表明,采用所提出的调度方法对单轨多机器人服务范围进行规划能够减少调度时间、提高调度效率。