基于灰关联投影法的岩爆烈度分级预测研究

岩爆是高应力区开挖过程中常见的地质灾害,具有突发性和极强的破坏性,因此岩爆烈度分级预测一直是岩爆课题研究的重点。基于灰关联投影法的基本理论,综合分析影响岩爆发生的主要因素以及现有的岩爆评价指标体系,选取最大切应力与单轴抗压强度比值σθ/σc、岩石脆性系数σc/σt(单轴抗压强度与单轴抗拉强度比值)、围岩弹性储能系数Wet及岩石完整性系数Kv 4个指标,采用熵权理论确定指标权重,并运用灰关联投影法进行灰关联投影值计算和分级,从而预测出岩爆烈度等级。利用国内外多组典型工程实例对方法的可行性及适用性进行验证,将所得结果与熵权－正态云模型、RS－TOPSIS模型及实际情况进行对比。研究结果表明： 灰关联投影法用于岩爆烈度分级预测具有较高的准确性,且原理简单,运用方便,具有一定的工程应用前景。     

Projecting adoption of truck powertrain technologies and CO2 emissions in line-haul networks

In this paper we present a mixed-integer linear program to represent the decision-making process for heterogeneous fleets selecting vehicles and allocating them on freight delivery routes to minimize total cost of ownership. This formulation is implemented to project alternative powertrain technology adoption and utilization trends for a set of line-haul fleets operating on a regional network. Alternative powertrain technologies include compressed (CNG) and liquefied natural gas (LNG) engines, hybrid electric diesel, battery electric (BE), and hydrogen fuel cell (HFC). Future policies, economic factors, and availability of fueling and charging infrastructure are input assumptions to the proposed modeling framework. Powertrain technology adoption, vehicle utilization, and resulting CO₂ emissions predictions for a hypothetical, representative regional highway network are illustrated. A design of experiments (DOE) is used to quantify sensitivity of adoption outcomes to variation in vehicle performance parameters, fuel costs, economic incentives, and fueling and charging infrastructure considerations. Three mixed-adoption scenarios, including BE, HFC, and CNG vehicle market penetration, are identified by the DOE study that demonstrate the potential to reduce cumulative CO₂ emissions by more than 25% throughout the period of study.     

Competitiveness prioritisation of container ports in Asia under the background of China’s Belt and Road initiative

ABSTRACT

The understanding of the competitiveness of different ports under the background of China’s “Belt and Road Initiative” (BRI) is critical for drafting appropriate plans and taking suitable actions to select the best port in the logistics supply chains. A novel Multi-Attribute Decision Analysis (MADA) was proposed for the evaluation of port competitiveness. In the developed MADA method, the interval Analytic Hierarchy Process and the projection method was combined for the evaluation of port competitiveness. Three container ports in Asia including Shanghai, Hong Kong, and Singapore were studied under the background of China’s BRI. The results demonstrate that the port of Singapore is the most competitive at the initial stage of China’s BRI, followed by Hong Kong and Shanghai in the descending order. The results were validated by sum weighted method and Technique for Order Preference by Similarity to an Ideal Solution method, and sensitivity analysis was also carried out. The competitiveness of the three ports in the next ten years were also studied with the consideration of the influences of China’s BRI, and the results reveal that Shanghai port can even exceed Hong Kong port and Singapore port if it can effectively take the advantage s of China’s BRI.     

基于Fuzzy—AHP法的军用桥梁通行能力评价

结合军用桥梁的特点,构建了军用桥梁通行能力的评价指标体系,采用模糊数学的方法建立了评判集并制定评价指标的等级评分标准,运用层次分析法对评价指标进行权重分配,实现了军用桥梁通行能力的模糊综合评价。研究具有一定的理论意义和较高的实用价值。     

民航货机装运部队重型轮式装备专用集装板(垫板)的初步设计

针对民航现有集装板在外形尺寸和承重强度上难以满足部队重装备装运要求的现状,提出了研制与民航大型宽体货机相适应、满足部队重型轮式装备装载固定要求的专用集装板(垫板)的设想,并设计了一体式专用集装板、组合式和框架式专用垫板三种总体技术方案,为相关机场地面保障设备的研制提供技术依据,为有效解决民航货机输送部队重型轮式装备难题...     

浅析筑路机械在高速公路养护中的科学管理

对筑路机械设备管理中存在的问题进行了分析,提出科学管理筑路机械设备的方法。     

国内输油气管道施工装备存在的主要问题

管道施工一线反馈的信息表明:国内长输油气管道施工装备仍存在许多重要问题,制约着管道施工速度和水平.为此,经过现场实地考察和管道施工专业化公司调研,从沼泽地、冻土融化区、高寒地区、山区、沙漠地区管道施工,管道切割等方面总结了国内长输油气管道施工装备存在的主要问题.针对这些问题,紧紧围绕工程技术需求,提出了管道施工技术与装...     

基于投影寻踪回归模型的短时交通量预测研究

准确有效地预测短时交通量是实施交通诱导及控制的前提与关键。投影寻踪方法能从不符合正态分布的或没有多少先验信息的数据本身中找出其结构或特征,并能在线性投影中解决非线性结构的问题。文中将投影寻踪回归算法理论应用于短时交通量预测领域,采用正交Hermite多项式拟合岭函数,并用C＋＋语言设计出相应模型的实现算法,对短时交通量实施滚动预测。利用某快速路实际观测数据进行预测实验,实验结果证实该方法具有可行性、可靠性,有一定的实用价值。     

灰色关联投影法在公路网综合评价中的应用

在建立用于公路网综合评价指标体系的基础上,论述灰色关联投影法在公路网方案综合评价的应用,并根据实际数据,应用灰色关联投影模型对吉林省各地区2002年现状公路网方案进行评价并排序比较。结果表明,该方法用于公路网综合评价和排序是可行有效的。     

港口设备远程监控系统构建研究

分析了港口远程监控系统的需求,探讨了能解决系统间"信息孤岛"问题的OPC及OPC-XML技术,构建了适合港口实际的运用OPC系列技术的基于Web浏览器的远程监控系统结构.