The impacts of changing flight demands and throughput performance on airport delays through the Great Recession

Several significant events between 2007 and 2009 impacted flight demands and the abilities of the three major New York area airports to handle demand. This paper assesses the results of applying a probabilistic simulation method – which isolates the individual contributions of changes in flight demand and changes in airport throughput performance to changes in flight delays – to diagnose how these different events may have caused operational changes at these airports, and in turn, how the results may be used to inform policies for appropriate countermeasures. The analysis revealed two key observations. Firstly, certain patterns in throughput performance shifts caused the most significant delays, and were more likely to have been caused by controller staffing issues rather than caps. Secondly, relatively constant average delays from one year to the next may result from significant demand drops accompanied by large throughput performance degradations at an airport. This suggests that not only operational limitations on capacity encourage airlines to reduce schedules, but that changed demands can also impact throughput performance. Overall, the analysis indicates that caps may not have provided their fully intended delay benefits. Although they successfully reduced overall flight demands at LGA and JFK, they also directly limited throughput performance at critical times, in turn limiting delay benefits. In addition, demands at the busiest times of the day appear to be relatively inelastic to these operational limitations, insofar as demand profiles at EWR and JFK remained “peaky” in 2008 and 2009. Also, the recession was largely responsible for reducing demands at the airports in 2009, but the delay benefits of this were dampened by a corresponding throughput performance degradation. Based on the above observations, a more direct demand management policy combined with policies that focus on maintaining high staffing capabilities at critical times of the day may be considered, to reduce the likelihood of major queue formation on days that do experience sustained demands. The results also suggest that a more flexible caps system, particularly during times of heavy queues, could be explored. Although airport practitioners have keen understandings of how their airports operate, without the support of quantitative analysis tools, it can be more difficult to argue the need for appropriate countermeasures. An analysis such as the one presented here can provide the detailed quantitative substantiation required to build cases for these targeted policy directives and infrastructure investments.     

编制国省道改建项目可研报告的几点心得体会

通过对近年来山东省国省道改建可研报告编制工作中常见问题及设计对策的总结,用工作实例提出了解决问题的思路和方法。     

基于GA的汽车故障特征选择

特征选择是模式识别中的一个关键问题。在很多实际问题中,很难找到那些最重要的特征,或受条件限制不能对它们进行测量,从而使特征选择成为模式识别系统最困难的任务之一。遗传算法作为一种智能化的优化方法,具有适合特征选择的优势。对遗传算法做了简约介绍,通过相应的程序并结合汽车故障实例进行了分析。     

系统效能通用评估工具研究

基于数据库和算法集成,设计了一套具有良好通用性、灵活性、可扩展性的系统效能评估工具,并以此工具为基础,针对不同的评估需求、数据量和应用环境提出对应的解决方案.     

新型景观护岸结构设计

介绍一种护岸结构造型及其特点,并为水工结构设计注入景观意识提供思路。     

浅析深基坑分坑开挖对临近地铁附属结构的影响

以上海漕河泾开发区赵巷园区二期深基坑支护实例为背景,分析了邻近地铁深基坑工程的实际应用特点,介绍了基坑围护设计方案选型、分坑平面布置,以及考虑临近地铁的保护措施,基于有限元数值模拟归纳,分析了分坑的空间平面尺寸对临近地铁附属结构变形的影响,并通过有限元分析结果与基坑实际设计方案进行对比。结果表明,控制临近地铁基坑的分坑宽度在2倍的基坑挖深左右,可以有效控制基坑开挖对邻近建筑的变形速率和总变形影响。     

Chaotic movement of vortices in superconductors of high-Tc superconducting maglev system at a high speed

Vortex motion in superconductors of higb-Tc superconducting maglev system is studied by a computational simulation.The vortex system is treated in a similar fashion,as a system where defects arc arrang...     

体现“湖北制造”经济特色的数控技术专业共享型教学资源库建设

探讨了立足"湖北制造"区域经济特色,依托先进资源管理平台,构建共享、开放型数控技术专业资源库的目标、思路、内容、步骤、规格等核心问题。提出了涵盖2个专业方向、针对15门核心课程、兼顾3个学习层次、打造7个特色模块,建设8种类型资源包、设计多种表现形式的资源库建设方案,以此推动专业建设和课程建设,满足教与学不同方面、多种层次的需求。     

新型单相谐振阻抗型混合电力滤波器的研究

为了进一步降低混合电力滤波器的有源滤波器容量,采用了一种新的混合电力滤波器的拓扑结构。新拓扑结构的基本思想是增加了和有源电力滤波器(APF)并联的LC基波谐振支路,并将APF控制成受控谐波电流源。LC基波谐波支路使得有源电力滤波器的额定电压和电流大大降低。分析了新型单相谐振阻抗型混合电力滤波器的工作原理及滤波特性。通过MATLAB/Simulink仿真,验证了新型单相谐振阻抗型混合电力滤波器的滤波特性。仿真结果表明这种新型混合电力滤波器具有优良的滤波性能。     

A note on the use of correlation coefficients for assessing goodness-of-fit in spatial interaction models

The use of correlation coefficients to evaluate the accuracy of spatial interaction models is inappropriate unless such models have been fitted using least squares techniques. In other cases the correlation involves an implicit intercept value and a regression coefficient that may significantly modify the interaction model's estimates. Researchers have not acknowledged the role of these two parameters when the correlation is used. A generalized root mean square error is proposed as an alternative indicator of accuracy that may be used with any model.