Real time queue length estimation for signalized intersections using travel times from mobile sensors

We study how to estimate real time queue lengths at signalized intersections using intersection travel times collected from mobile traffic sensors. The estimation is based on the observation that critical pattern changes of intersection travel times or delays, such as the discontinuities (i.e., sudden and dramatic increases in travel times) and non-smoothness (i.e., changes of slopes of travel times), indicate signal timing or queue length changes. By detecting these critical points in intersection travel times or delays, the real time queue length can be re-constructed. We first introduce the concept of Queue Rear No-delay Arrival Time which is related to the non-smoothness of queuing delay patterns and queue length changes. We then show how measured intersection travel times from mobile sensors can be processed to generate sample vehicle queuing delays. Under the uniform arrival assumption, the queuing delays reduce linearly within a cycle. The delay pattern can be estimated by a linear fitting method using sample queuing delays. Queue Rear No-delay Arrival Time can then be obtained from the delay pattern, and be used to estimate the maximum and minimum queue lengths of a cycle, based on which the real-time queue length curve can also be constructed. The model and algorithm are tested in a field experiment and in simulation.     

对等网络视频点播系统中的用户行为研究

随着p2p VoD业务的快速增长,用户行为对整个系统性能的影响也越来越明显.掌握用户行为特点对提高p2p网络带宽利用率、优化资源替代算法、调整服务器带宽分配策略等一系列问题有重要的指导意义.本文通过分析实测VoD系统中的用户日志数据,建立了数学模型描述用户观看行为.仿真结果表明,该模型能够较为准确的反映用户行为的统计特征,较为全面地刻画出整个VoD系统中用户行为的基本规律,为进一步研究VoD系统的服务性能提供了理论依据.     

多分量相移键控信号码速率盲估计

为解决单通道接收机同时截获到同一频带范围内的多分量相移键控信号的参数估计问题,提出了一种不经信号分离直接提取各独立信号分量码速率的盲估计算法.从理论上推导了多分量相移键控信号的二阶共轭循环自相关具有线性特性,因此可以不受干扰地提取各信号分量的码速率;进而提出了简单而有效的谱峰增强方法,与基于二阶共轭循环自相关获得的谱峰相比,用此法获得的谱峰更为清晰.仿真实验表明:用提出的算法,当双分量信号功率比为1:1且信噪比为-5 dB时,码速率估计的正确率可达98％;尤其是在单分量环境下,该算法比现有算法的性能提高4 dB以上.     

基于马尔可夫过程的快速路OD矩阵估计方法

为得到城市快速路网络的OD矩阵,引入马尔可夫理论.运用吸收马尔可夫过程对快速路网络进行建模分析,给出相应求解算法推导路段流量,小区OD矩阵表达式,并介绍了运用MATLAB软件进行矩阵求解的方法.最后进行了算例分析,利用VISSIM仿真,通过布设线圈检测器,对OD矩阵估计模型及算法进行精度评价.结果显示,模型可很好地拟合...     

希尔伯特-黄变换应用于宽带信号参数估计

多普勒效应对主动声纳接收信号的根本影响是接收信号相对发射信号的时间延迟和尺度伸缩。在宽带信号体制下对高速运动目标进行参数估计时,利用传统的窄带信号模型会产生模糊,必须采用时间尺度域模型,即利用接收信号和发射信号的相关性实现运动目标距离和速度的估计。宽带信号模型计算量大,计算时间长。希尔伯特-黄变换具有较高的频率分辨率,利用希尔伯特-黄变换对信号进行频率预估计,减小时间尺度域二维扫描的区域和运算量。在DSP硬件平台上实现希尔伯特-黄变换有关算法。     

基于出租车GPS数据的路段平均速度估计模型

为了解决现有基于GPS数据的路段平均速度估计模型应用条件苛刻、难以满足低成本和高精度信息需求问题,考虑不同类型GPS车辆运行特征,设计了两个基于出租车GPS数据估计路段平均速度的改进模型.基于两个改进模型,设计了路段平均速度的融合估计方法.用某城市局部路网的出租车GPS数据验证两个改进模型,并与传统模型进行了对比分析....     

非线性滤波器在动力定位船位估计中的应用

针对动力定位船舶在作业过程中因丢失GPS位置测量信号,从而导致动力定位系统不能正常工作,而使船舶偏离作业点的问题,设计了一种非线性滤波器,它可以利用以前保存的历史数据进行船舶位置的实时估计,从而使船舶在一定的时间内可以维持在作业点附近,当重新获得GPS信号后,又可以快速地进入正常工作状态。为了使历史数据能够更准确地反映船舶的实时位置,利用历史数据相对于作业点的平均偏差对历史数据进行了补偿。最后给出了此非线性滤波器在船舶仿真系统中的仿真曲线,分析表明在有滤波器的情况下,船舶真实位置估计的准确度比没有滤波器的情况下有明显的改善。     

融合卡尔曼滤波的高速公路状态估计误差界限分析

为分析高速公路交通流检测数据质量,本文构建平方流量误差界(Squared Flow Error Bound, SFEB)和扩展卡尔曼滤波(Extended Kalman Filter, EKF)的决策级融合模型SFEB-EKF,在检测器空间覆盖不足情况下,计算检测路段和无检测器路段的交通状态估计误差界限。与SFEB 算法相比,融合模型利用EKF交通状态估计模型估计全路段交通状态,基于得到的估计样本计算全路段交通状态估计误差下界。同时,采用最近邻法(Nearest Neighbor Method, NNM)计算全路段交通状态估计误差上界。应用开源高速公路数据集测试模型,结果表明,与需要输入真实样本的SFEB算法相比,融合模型SFEB-EKF在缺少真实样本情况下,能取得相似的结果且误差保持 在5%以内,不同检测器覆盖率实验下模型表现出良好的稳定性。本文模型通过给出无检测器路段交通状态估计界限,为高速公路交通检测器布设方案提供参考。     

A competing Markov model for cracking prediction on civil structures

Cracks on the surface of civil structures (e.g. pavement sections, concrete structures) progress in several formations and under different deterioration mechanisms. In monitoring practice, it is often that cracking type with its worst damage level is selected as a representative condition state, while other cracking types and their damage levels are neglected in records, remaining as hidden information. Therefore, the practice in monitoring has a potential to conceal with a bias selection process, which possibly result in not optimal intervention strategies. In overcoming these problems, our paper presents a non-homogeneous Markov hazard model, with competing hazard rates. Cracking condition states are classified in three types (longitudinal crack, horizontal crack, and alligator crack), with three respective damage levels. The dynamic selection of cracking condition states are undergone a competing process of cracking types and damage levels. We apply a numerical solution using Bayesian estimation and Markov Chain Monte Carlo method to solve the problem of high-order integration of complete likelihood function. An empirical study on a data-set of Japanese pavement system is presented to demonstrate the applicability and contribution of the model.     

Suspension system state estimation using adaptive Kalman filtering based on road classification

This paper provides a new method to solve the problem of suspension system state estimation using a Kalman Filter (KF) under various road conditions. Due to the fact that practical road conditions are complex and uncertain, the influence of the system process noise variance and measurement noise covariance on the estimation accuracy of the KF is first analysed. To accurately estimate the road condition, a new road classification method through the vertical acceleration of sprung mass is proposed, and different road process variances are obtained to tune the system’s variance for the application of the KF. Then, road classification and KF are combined to form an Adaptive Kalman Filter (AKF) that takes into account the relationship of different road process noise variances and measurement noise covariances under various road conditions. Simulation results show that the proposed AKF algorithm can obtain a high accuracy of state estimation for a suspension system under varying International Standards Organisation road excitation levels.