Spatial and Temporal Modeling of Beach Use: A Case Study of East Anglia,UK

As tourists are sensitive to weather conditions and changes to the environments they visit, it is likely that climate change will affect coastal recreation in the future. To understand these impacts, it is first important to quantify how visitor numbers are associated with beach characteristics and weather patterns. Using the East Anglian coastline, UK, as a case study, information on the spatial distribution of visitors recorded from aircraft flights is combined with beach characteristic data in a Geographical Information System. In addition, surveys are undertaken at two beaches to assess temporal variations in visitation. The study finds a diverse range of characteristics are associated with visitor numbers. These findings are evaluated alongside the anticipated effects of climate change and management policies. Although it is predicted that warmer weather will increase visitor numbers overall, sea-level rise may reduce numbers at wide sandy beaches, which are currently most preferred by tourists.     

Public Stakeholders' Perception of ICZM and Coastal Erosion in the Mediterranean

The Mediterranean area plays a pivotal role within the definition and implementation of regional strategies for integrated coastal zone management (ICZM). Under the umbrella of the Regional Framework Operation BeachMed-e, a research project was carried out in five Mediterranean EU regions (East Macedonia and Thrace in Greece, Lazio, Liguria, and Emilia Romagna in Italy and Languedoc-Roussillon in France), in order to study the different approaches to ICZM that have been applied and also to test new approaches to these regions. The aim of this article is to present and discuss the results of the common surveys conducted in order to investigate the institutional stakeholders’ perception on ICZM in the five Mediterranean regions considered. The results are presented region by region, while comparisons are carried out among regions. Summarizing the results it can be stated that some differences and common problems affecting the coastal decision-makers of the five Mediterranean regions considered were identified. Particularly, stakeholders involved in coastal management generally perceived a lack of collaboration and a poor information exchange in all the regions, resulting sometimes in a lack of awareness on coastal erosion issues.     

新农村建设背景下加快广西农村公路发展对策探讨

文章基于农村公路建设在社会主义新农村建设中的重要性,分析了广西农村公路建设发展中存在的问题,提出了加快广西农村公路发展的相关对策,以期不断提高广西农村公路建设和管理的水平.     

基于层次聚类分析的城乡公交线路诊断倡——以安宁市为例

合理设置城乡公交为城乡居民出行提供优质的公交服务,是打破城乡二元分割的重要手段之一。分析城乡居民出行特征和城乡公交服务特性,从公交乘客及公交企业2个角度,构建表征城乡公交线路物理、运营和公交客流特性的诊断指标体系。以安宁市15条城乡公交线路为例,对选取样本的8类指标数据进行主成分分析,经定量分析各成分贡献率后,确定出3个主成分(贡献率累计为92%)。将主成分作为城乡公交线路层次聚类分析的变量,作出线路的聚类关系图,构建判别函数定量诊断四类线路。结合实际验证了指标体系的合理性及诊断方法的有效性。提供了1种较准确高效的城乡公交线路诊断方法,并为城乡公交线路的优化与运营调整提供决策依据。      

基于片区组织的城乡公交运力配置方法研究

基于片区组织的城乡公交运力配置对促进资源优化配置、提高运营效益有重 要意义.本文针对城乡公交单线片区干支线联运及多条支线联运组织、多线片区内相邻城 镇公交干线跨线运行组织,研究运力配置方法.单线片区干支线联运的运力配置以干线运 力为主,采取传统配车法测算干线运力规模;提出多条支线联合运行组织的车辆总规模 测算方法.多线片区组织的运力整合主要体现在相邻干线车辆跨线调配节省的运力,分别 针对利用高峰时间差、方向不均衡进行运力调配过程分析与建模.最后结合算例研究运力 配置方法的应用,比较分析联运前后运力资源的节省. 结果表明,配置方法能较好地应用 于基于片区组织的运力配置研究中.     

适时信息对农村客运营运的影响分析

受客运路线上旅行时间波动,以及旅客上、下车时间波动的影响,农村客运班车到达客运班线中途停靠点时间也是随机的,农村客运班线运行状态适时信息手机(或电话)查询系统能有效减少这种随机性对班线营运带来的损失。通过定义乘客的主动候车时间概念,定量化地分析了农村客运班车缩短或延长乘客主动候车时间所带来的营运损失,从而定量化分析了农村客运班线运行状态适时信息手机(或电话)查询系统对提高农村旅客候车质量、增加农村客运运营收入程度。研究发现农村客运班车缩短主动候车时间带来营运损失小于延长主动候车时间带来的营运损失。     

交通静化技术在步行和自行车交通系统规划中的应用——以咸宁市旅游区为例

为营造和谐、安全、便利的步行和自行车交通出行环境,在咸宁市旅游区步行和自行车交通系统规划中引入交通静化技术。首先,指出交通静化技术的内涵和工程措施。然后,解读咸宁市旅游区空间布局,并着重从安全的角度分析旅游区步行和自行车交通系统现状及步行和自行车交通出行特征。最后,从宏观交通宁静带与交通宁静区划分、中观交通宁静廊道构建及微观交通静化措施应用三个方面对旅游区步行和自行车交通系统进行规划。     

农村公路小环岛设计与应用

针对农村公路交叉口交通事故多发的状况,引入了在国外广为应用的小环岛来改善农村公路交叉口交通安全,提出了适用于农村公路交叉口的小环岛形式和小环岛的设计方法。这对提高我国农村公路交叉口交通安全具有一定意义。     

基于活动的旅游出行链选择行为研究

通过对在京旅游的游客进行调查,以游客的个人属性和出游属性作为影响因素,将游客对不同类型活动的时间分配作为前提,对游客的出行链选择行为建立了Multinomial Logit模型。模型分析表明:年龄、职业、出游时间、是否本地游客、对景点是否熟悉以及游客对活动时间的分配等均对出行链选择有显著影响;模型具有较高的精度,为游客出行预测提供了理论依据。     

发展小件快运 搞活农村汽车客运站

目前,内蒙古地区大多数乡镇已建立了农村汽车客运站,农村客运网络化已初现规模,但作为农村客运网络化节点的部分农村汽车客运站却出现了运营难的问题。文章认为发展小件快运是解决运营难,搞活农村汽车客运站的有效途径,并对小件快运的意义进行阐述。